The Grant Williams Podcast

The Grant Williams Podcast Ep. 115 - Michael Every FULL EPISODE

Mon, 09 Feb 2026 00:01:00 -0500

In this episode of The Grant Williams Podcast, I’m joined by Rabobank’s Michael Every for a provocative exploration of why the post-Cold War liberal world order is breaking down — and what may replace it. Michael argues that decades of hyper-market economics hollowed out America’s industrial and military base, and that Trump’s project represents a radical attempt to reverse that trajectory by fusing national security and economic policy. Drawing on deep historical parallels with the collapse of the Soviet Union, he sets out his ‘reverse Gorbachev’ thesis: an effort to impose a form of capitalism with a national-security face, subordinating markets to strategic necessity, elevating the Treasury over the Federal Reserve, and accepting higher inflation, heavier state intervention, and intensified political conflict at home and abroad in order to rebuild power and resilience.

Every episode of the Grant Williams podcast, including This Week In Doom, The End Game, The Super Terrific Happy Hour, The Narrative Game, Kaos Theory, Shifts Happen and The Hundred Year Pivot, is available to Copper and Silver Tier subscribers at my website www.Grant-Williams.com.

Copper Tier subscribers get access to all podcasts, while members of the Silver Tier get both the podcasts and my monthly newsletter, Things That Make You Go Hmmm…

The Hundred Year Pivot Ep. 12 – Kamran Bokhari

Mon, 26 Jan 2026 00:01:00 -0500

In this episode of The Hundred Year Pivot, Demetri and I are joined by geopolitical strategist Kamran Bokhari for a sweeping, historically grounded exploration of how Iran arrived at its present moment of instability—and where it may be heading next. Kamran traces Iran’s modern political evolution from Qajar Persia through the Pahlavi monarchy, the 1953 Mosaddegh coup, and the 1979 Islamic Revolution, explaining how the regime’s dual-military structure—split between the regular army and the IRGC—was forged in war and later transformed into a vehicle for political and economic dominance.

From Iran’s revolutionary ideology and fear of encirclement to the rise and possible unraveling of its proxy network, the conversation builds toward a sober assessment of today’s protests, currency collapse, and internal decay—arguing that while the Islamic Republic may be weakening in unprecedented ways, the path forward is likely to be turbulent, uncertain, and region-shaping rather than clean or sudden.

Copper Tier subscribers get access to all podcasts, while members of the Silver Tier get both the podcasts and my monthly newsletter, Things That Make You Go Hmmm…

The Hundred Year Pivot Ep. 11 – Brian Winter

Wed, 14 Jan 2026 20:00:00 -0500

Demetri and I welcome journalist and author Brian Winter to The Hundred Year Pivot to discuss the recent events in Venezuela and where they fit into the upheaval coming at us from seemingly every direction. Brian is the editor-in-chief of Americas Quarterly and a seasoned analyst of Latin American politics and his balanced perspective is a welcome antidote to the unbridled certainty about the future that seems to have erupted since Maduro’s extradition/kidnap. We discuss the finer details of Venezuelan politics, what likely happens next, other key potential flashpoints in Latin America as well as the surprising resurgence of right-wing politics across a continent with a history of tending very consistently towards the other extreme of the political spectrum.

Copper Tier subscribers get access to all podcasts, while members of the Silver Tier get both the podcasts and my monthly newsletter, Things That Make You Go Hmmm…

The Grant Williams Podcast Ep. 114 - Dr. John Bosetti, MD. FULL EPISODE

Sat, 03 Jan 2026 15:13:21 -0500

In this episode of The Grant Williams Podcast, I’m joined by Dr. John Bosetti, MD, an eye surgeon who has dedicated his career to tackling one of the most devastating—and most solvable—health crises in the developing world: preventable blindness. Dr. Bosetti recounts how a life running a successful ophthalmology practice in Napa, California gave way to a mission in Sub-Saharan Africa after witnessing first-hand the scale of untreated cataracts and the limits of short-term medical missions. What followed was a bold plan to build local capacity through Eye Surgeons International—creating world-class training, infrastructure, and sustainability to restore sight, dignity, and economic vitality to millions of people who have been left behind by global healthcare systems.

What better way to start the new year than with a profoundly moving conversation that offers hope to thousands and provides an opportunity for us to give back?

Happy New Year everyone!

Copper Tier subscribers get access to all podcasts, while members of the Silver Tier get both the podcasts and my monthly newsletter, Things That Make You Go Hmmm…

Super Terrific Happy Hour Ep. 26: The Downloadable Ringtone

Tue, 30 Dec 2025 00:01:00 -0500

In this episode of Super Terrific Happy Hour, Steph and I return with our customary blend of easy-going banter coupled with a shameless plug and a sobering assessment of the global financial landscape. What begins with complaints about the cold weather and Seinfeld callbacks, as well as our upcoming live event in St. Petersburg, quickly turns into a candid examination of sovereign refinancing risks, leveraged corporate balance sheets, and a Treasury market increasingly supported not by central banks but by hedge funds and private foreign buyers. As short-term debt dependence grows and refinancing waves collide across governments, corporates, and AI-driven capex, we explain why we continue to sleep better owning gold—and why this moment feels less like a trade than long-term insurance for an unstable monetary age.

Every episode of the Grant Williams podcast, including This Week In Doom, The End Game, The Super Terrific Happy Hour, The Narrative Game, Kaos Theory, Shifts Happen and The Hundred Year Pivot, is available to Copper, Silver and Gold Tier subscribers at my website www.Grant-Williams.com.

Copper Tier subscribers get access to all podcasts, while members of the Silver Tier get both the podcasts and my monthly newsletter, Things That Make You Go Hmmm… Gold Tier subscribers have access to my new series of in-depth video conversations, About Time.

The Grant Williams Podcast Ep. 113 - Diana Choyleva

Mon, 08 Dec 2025 17:03:00 -0500

In this episode of The Grant Williams Podcast, I welcome Diana Choyleva, Chief Economist at Enodo Economics, for a rigorous unpacking of what ‘de-dollarisation’ really means—and what it doesn’t. Moving beyond the familiar extremes of “the dollar is finished” versus “the dollar is untouchable,” Diana explains how China is methodically building an alternative financial infrastructure centred on the digital yuan and modern payment rails. The issue, she argues, is not oil being priced in dollars, but how energy is paid for and how those dollars are recycled. From Saudi Arabia’s pivotal role to the quiet technological arms race in cross-border payments, this is a masterclass in how currency, geopolitics, and technology are converging to reshape the global monetary order far faster than most realise.

Copper Tier subscribers get access to all podcasts, while members of the Silver Tier get both the podcasts and my monthly newsletter, Things That Make You Go Hmmm…

The End Game Ep. 58 - Gerard Minack PREVIEW

Thu, 13 Nov 2025 00:01:00 -0500

n the latest episode of The End Game, Bill and I welcome Gerard Minack for a masterclass in macro perspective and market realism. Gerard, founder of Minack Advisors, dissects the current investment landscape—where AI euphoria collides with fiscal fragility and complacent bond markets. Drawing on historical parallels to the late 1990s tech bubble, he explains why today’s optimism may mask structural risks: stretched valuations, rising deficits, and a world growing comfortable with unsustainable debt dynamics. The conversation spans AI’s commercial limits, the growing strain on fiscal and monetary policy, and gold’s curious role as both hedge and mirror of uncertainty, offering a sharp, grounded assessment of what the end game may truly look like for global markets.

Copper Tier subscribers get access to all podcasts, while members of the Silver Tier get both the podcasts and my monthly newsletter, Things That Make You Go Hmmm…

The Hundred Year Pivot Ep. 10 – Peter Atwater

Sun, 09 Nov 2025 00:01:00 -0500

In this latest episode of The Hundred Year Pivot, Demetri Kofinas and I are joined by Peter Atwater, adjunct professor at William & Mary and author of The Confidence Map: From Chaos to Clarity. Together we explore Peter’s groundbreaking framework for understanding how confidence shapes behaviour, societies, and markets through four emotional quadrants: the comfort zone, the stress centre, the launch pad, and the passenger seat. What begins as a psychological model quickly expands into a sweeping reflection on generational fragility, social media conformity, and the dangerous imbalance of a world where too few people feel in control of their own lives—and where the next shift in collective mood could redefine politics, finance, and community itself.

Copper Tier subscribers get access to all podcasts, while members of the Silver Tier get both the podcasts and my monthly newsletter, Things That Make You Go Hmmm…

The Grant Williams Podcast Ep. 111 - Ned Naylor-Leyland

Wed, 05 Nov 2025 00:01:00 -0500

In this episode of The Grant Williams Podcast, I welcome my old mate Ned Naylor-Leyland, long-time precious-metals fund manager, for a detailed discussion on the shifting dynamics of gold, silver, and the mining sector. Ned argues that gold has decisively emerged from a 44-year bear market against Treasuries to reclaim its role as the world’s true risk-free asset, signalling the start of a genuine, structural bull market. He outlines why silver—still lagging behind gold—may soon explode higher, driven by surging industrial demand, physical shortages, and growing Indian appetite, before turning to the extraordinary profitability now building within mining equities. The result is a conversation that reframes precious metals not as relics of the past, but as vital assets in a new monetary era.

Copper Tier subscribers get access to all podcasts, while members of the Silver Tier get both the podcasts and my monthly newsletter, Things That Make You Go Hmmm…

The Hundred Year Pivot Ep. 9 – Roger Mitchell

Sun, 26 Oct 2025 00:01:00 -0500

In the ninth episode of The Hundred Year Pivot, Grant and Demetri welcome Roger Mitchell for a deeply reflective conversation on faith, values, and the unraveling of the modern social contract. Against the backdrop of growing disillusionment in Western society, Roger shares his personal journey and explores how the erosion of traditional anchors—family, faith, and community—has left many searching for meaning in a world defined by materialism and inequality. Together, we examine the rise of financial nihilism, the politicisation of belief, and the enduring human need for moral and spiritual grounding, offering a thoughtful exploration of how ancient principles might guide us through contemporary darkness.

Every episode of the Grant Williams podcast, including This Week In Doom, The End Game, The Super Terrific Happy Hour, The Narrative Game, Kaos Theory, Shifts Happen and The Hundred Year Pivot, is available to Copper, Silver and Gold Tier subscribers at my website www.Grant-Williams.com.

The Grant Williams Podcast Ep. 110 - Robert Glazer FULL EPISODE

Thu, 23 Oct 2025 00:01:00 -0500

In this episode of The Grant Williams Podcast, I welcome author and entrepreneur Robert Glazer to discuss his new book, The Compass Within—a powerful exploration of how uncovering and living by one’s personal core values can transform leadership, relationships, and decision-making. Robert shares how identifying his own guiding principles reshaped his approach to life and business, and how that experience evolved into a story-driven framework designed to help others find clarity and alignment. Together, we explore the difference between corporate “values” that often ring hollow and genuine personal ones forged through experience—showing how an internal compass, once discovered, can guide people toward purpose, resilience, and meaningful success.

The Grant Williams Podcast Ep. 109 - Julien Garran

Mon, 20 Oct 2025 00:01:00 -0500

In a blockbuster episode of The Grant Williams Podcast, I welcome Julien Garran of MacroStrategy for a penetrating discussion on what Julien believes is the most dangerous bubble in modern financial history—the AI mania. Drawing parallels to the dot-com and housing booms but arguing this one far exceeds both, Julien dissects how years of ultra-loose fiscal and monetary policy have produced staggering capital misallocation, distorted incentives, and a fragile financial order. He explores the structural flaws in large language models, the monopolistic grip of tech giants, and the unsustainable losses lurking beneath the surface, warning that the eventual unwinding of this bubble could reshape global capital flows, undermine productivity, and accelerate inflation across the developed world.

Every episode of the Grant Williams podcast, including This Week In Doom, The End Game, The Super Terrific Happy Hour, The Narrative Game, Kaos Theory, Shifts Happen and The Hundred Year Pivot, is available to Copper, Silver and Gold Tier subscribers at my website www.Grant-Williams.com.

The Grant Williams Podcast Ep. 108 - Larry McDonald

Wed, 15 Oct 2025 00:01:00 -0500

In this long-overdue episode of The Grant Williams Podcast, I’m joined by Larry McDonald, founder of The Bear Traps Report and author of How to Listen When Markets Speak, to explore how extraordinary fiscal and monetary responses have reshaped the investing landscape. Larry argues that the disinflationary era is over, replaced by an inflationary, multipolar world that calls for a fresh approach to portfolios—one that favours hard assets like copper, coal, and natural gas over stretched technology stocks.

Our conversation spans the political and structural forces driving this shift, from chronic underinvestment in energy and the policy bottlenecks that worsen shortages, to the rising populism fuelled by inflation. Larry highlights how the makeup of the S&P 500 is set to evolve, with industrials, materials, and energy poised to reclaim influence, while risks mount in areas such as passive investing, private credit, and certain financial stocks.

We close by examining the implications of the AI-driven capital expenditure boom, the strain it places on power infrastructure, and what it all means for the dollar, gold, and Bitcoin. The result is a timely, wide-ranging conversation offering investors both a roadmap to today’s shifting market environment and practical insight into how to navigate what lies ahead.

Every episode of the Grant Williams podcast, including This Week In Doom, The End Game, The Super Terrific Happy Hour, The Narrative Game, Kaos Theory, Shifts Happen and The Hundred Year Pivot, is available to Copper, Silver and Gold Tier subscribers at my website www.Grant-Williams.com.

The Grant Williams Podcast Ep. 107 - David Fergusson FULL EPISODE

Sun, 14 Sep 2025 00:01:00 -0500

In this episode of The Grant Williams Podcast, I’m joined by David Fergusson, CEO of Atlas Consolidated in Singapore, for a fascinating look at the disruptive rise of digital banking. From his early days building Hugosave in Singapore to launching Atlas’s HugoHub platform for banks, fintechs, and insurers worldwide, David explains how technology, open banking, and shifting regulations are reshaping the industry. Our discussion highlights how digital platforms slash costs, expand access in underserved markets, and integrate AI to accelerate adoption—all pointing to a future where financial services are more efficient, affordable, and transformative than ever before as David digs into the mechanics of this transformation, sharing how digital platforms cut operating costs, improve compliance, and unlock adoption in markets where legacy infrastructure has historically failed to reach.

Every episode of the Grant Williams podcast, including This Week In Doom, The End Game, The Super Terrific Happy Hour, The Narrative Game, Kaos Theory, Shifts Happen and The Hundred Year Pivot, is available to Copper, Silver and Gold Tier subscribers at my website www.Grant-Williams.com.

The Grant Williams Podcast Ep. 106 - Michael Oliver

Wed, 10 Sep 2025 00:01:00 -0500

In thie latest episode of The Grant Williams Podcast, I’m joined by Michael Oliver, founder of Momentum Structural Analysis, for a deep dive into the powerful undercurrents driving today’s markets. Michael explains why the US equity rally rests on shaky ground, with broken momentum structures in the S&P 500, Nasdaq-100, and leading tech names hinting at sharp declines ahead. He also outlines how weakening bonds, a faltering dollar, and the setup for explosive moves in commodities and precious metals point to a much broader period of market upheaval. From the risk of Bitcoin tumbling back toward $50,000 to the likelihood of central banks turning once more to the printing presses, Michael makes the case that investors are standing on the cusp of a structural rupture that could redraw the financial landscape.

Every episode of the Grant Williams podcast, including This Week In Doom, The End Game, The Super Terrific Happy Hour, The Narrative Game, Kaos Theory, Shifts Happen and The Hundred Year Pivot, is available to Copper, Silver and Gold Tier subscribers at my website www.Grant-Williams.com.

The Hundred Year Pivot Ep. 8 – Jonathan Kirshner

Thu, 21 Aug 2025 00:01:00 -0500

In this episode of The Hundred Year Pivot, Demetri and I sit down with Jonathan Kirshner, a leading classical realist and scholar of international relations, for a wide-ranging discussion on realism, uncertainty, and America’s shifting role in global affairs. Jonathan outlines realism as a descriptive framework for understanding a world defined by anarchy—where no supreme authority exists—and the resulting unpredictability of state behaviour. We explore how changing geopolitical conditions are prompting nations, including the US, to more clearly articulate and pursue their national interests, touching on recent US foreign policy choices, the weakening of the dollar order, and the rise of personalist regimes and pluto-populism. The conversation draws on history to distinguish between risk and uncertainty, while warning of the dangers that arise when societies lose shared truths—making realism an essential lens for navigating today’s turbulent international landscape.

This is a conversation that’s simply too good to miss.

Every episode of the Grant Williams podcast, including This Week In Doom, The End Game, The Super Terrific Happy Hour, The Narrative Game, Kaos Theory, Shifts Happen and The Hundred Year Pivot, is available to Copper, Silver and Gold Tier subscribers at my website www.Grant-Williams.com.

The Hundred Year Pivot Ep. 7 – Edward Chancellor

Thu, 07 Aug 2025 00:01:00 -0500

In the seventh episode of The Hundred Year Pivot, Demetri Kofinas and I are joined by renowned financial historian Edward Chancellor for a sweeping conversation on the century-long evolution of money and interest rates. Our discussion traces the abandonment of gold-backed currency, the rise of fiat money, and the resulting waves of speculation, monetary intervention, and economic distortion. Eddie examines how decades of artificially low rates fueled bubbles and imbalances that are now unwinding, reshaping industries from real estate to renewable energy. Together, we explore the political and societal consequences of ‘mispriced’ money, mounting deficits, and wealth inequality—and consider whether the world is nearing a return to sounder forms of money, albeit through a turbulent and uncertain path.

Every episode of the Grant Williams podcast, including This Week In Doom, The End Game, The Super Terrific Happy Hour, The Narrative Game, Kaos Theory, Shifts Happen and The Hundred Year Pivot, is available to Copper, Silver and Gold Tier subscribers at my website www.Grant-Williams.com.

The Hundred Year Pivot Ep. 6 – Lawrence Fossi

Tue, 24 Jun 2025 06:49:44 -0500

In the latest episode of The Hundred Year Pivot, Demetri and I sit down with Lawrence Fossi—better known to many as Montana Skeptic—for a fearless exploration of America’s fraying social fabric. From the shifting character of New York City to the cults of personality surrounding Elon Musk and Donald Trump, we dissect the cultural, political, and institutional forces eroding public trust and cohesion.

With Lawrence’s trademark candour, the conversation delves into the dangers of celebrity-driven populism, the fragility of democratic norms, and the deep structural imbalances threatening the US political and economic system. This is a sobering yet essential listen for anyone trying to make sense of the chaos—and looking for slivers of hope within it.

Every episode of the Grant Williams podcast, including This Week In Doom, The End Game, The Super Terrific Happy Hour, The Narrative Game, Kaos Theory, Shifts Happen and The Hundred Year Pivot, is available to Copper, Silver and Gold Tier subscribers at my website www.Grant-Williams.com.

Super Terrific Happy Hour Ep. 25 - It’s Been HOW Long?

Mon, 09 Jun 2025 00:01:00 -0500

After a ridiculously long hiatus, The Super Terrific Happy Hour returns as Steph and I dive back into the rapidly changing world of global finance, exploring how Japan’s decades-long experiment with low interest rates and high debt is no longer unique, as the United States and other developed economies find themselves on a similar path.

We unpack Japan’s recent inflation surge, the Bank of Japan’s extraordinary bond holdings, and the risks of major capital flows if Japanese investors start bringing their money home before pivoting to the broader implications of a world where globalization may be reversing—raising questions about reshoring, capital controls, and whether governments might coerce institutions to buy more domestic debt. There’s bundles of skepticism on display as we evaluate policymakers’ ability to manage these seismic shifts and a warning of systemic risks, fragile financial systems, and the potential for a painful redistribution of wealth.

Amid the uncertainty, we discuss the enduring appeal of gold, the limits of monetary policy, and the high geopolitical stakes for the dollar and the petrodollar system, offering the kind of big-picture insights and candid cynicism you’ve come to expect from the two of us.

Every episode of the Grant Williams podcast, including This Week In Doom, The End Game, The Super Terrific Happy Hour, The Narrative Game, Kaos Theory, Shifts Happen and The Hundred Year Pivot, is available to Copper, Silver and Gold Tier subscribers at my website www.Grant-Williams.com.

The End Game Ep. 57 - Harley Bassman PREVIEW

Sat, 07 Jun 2025 00:01:00 -0500

In the latest episode of The End Game, Fleck and I welcome back Harley Bassman—aka the ‘Convexity Maven’—for a deep dive into the shifting landscape of global bond markets, inflation, and the future of the US dollar. Harley contends that while US bond yields have risen sharply in recent years, they are now approaching fair value when measured against historical spreads and nominal GDP. The real challenge, he argues, lies in the rapid adjustment after decades of suppressed rates, and in how markets adapt to this new reality.

Our discussion explores the profound impact of demographic trends, such as the early retirement of baby boomers and delayed household formation among millennials, as well as the often-underappreciated role of immigration in sustaining US economic growth. We also examine the risks associated with persistent fiscal deficits and mounting debt, as the potential erosion of the dollar’s reserve currency status presents a problem with potentially far-reaching consequences.

Despite the scale of these challenges, Harley remains sanguine, suggesting that the system’s imbalances are more like slow-moving trains than imminent crashes. But, with heightened volatility and policy uncertainty likely to persist, diversified portfolios—including gold and inflation hedges—are prudent responses.

Every episode of the Grant Williams podcast, including This Week In Doom, The End Game, The Super Terrific Happy Hour, The Narrative Game, Kaos Theory, Shifts Happen and The Hundred Year Pivot, is available to Copper, Silver and Gold Tier subscribers at my website www.Grant-Williams.com.

The Grant Williams Podcast Ep. 104 - Dmitri Alperovitch

Thu, 05 Jun 2025 00:01:00 -0500

In this episode of The Grant Williams Podcast, I talk with with cybersecurity expert and author Dmitri Alperovitch to discuss his book, ‘World on the Brink,’ and the escalating risk of conflict between China and Taiwan. Dmitri, who forecast Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, draws striking parallels between Vladimir Putin’s motivations and those now driving Xi Jinping’s ambitions toward Taiwan, identifying five recurring factors—distorted historical narratives, belief in national destiny, security imperatives, personal ego, and the urgency of aging leaders—that are converging once again, this time in East Asia.

The conversation examines concrete evidence of China’s preparations for a potential invasion, from military training sites in Inner Mongolia replicating Taipei’s streets, to sophisticated cyber campaigns targeting US infrastructure, and the construction of landing craft engineered for amphibious assaults and Dmitri argues that Taiwan’s significance extends well beyond its semiconductor industry; control of the island would enable China to project power across the Pacific, fundamentally altering the regional balance and eroding U.S. influence.

Dmitri calls for urgent strategic measures, including decoupling from China in critical technologies and forming a new economic alliance—TAME (Treaty of Allied Market Economies)—to help smaller nations withstand Chinese pressure, and he contends that Western responses to China are not provocations, but long-overdue reactions to years of aggression and intellectual property theft. With a potential invasion window between 2028 and 2032, the discussion underscores the need for robust deterrence, stronger alliances, and strategic competition to preserve stability in the region.

Every episode of the Grant Williams podcast, including This Week In Doom, The End Game, The Super Terrific Happy Hour, The Narrative Game, Kaos Theory, Shifts Happen and The Hundred Year Pivot, is available to Copper, Silver and Gold Tier subscribers at my website www.Grant-Williams.com.

The Hundred Year Pivot Ep. 5 - Charles Calomiris

Tue, 03 Jun 2025 00:01:00 -0500

In the fifth episode of The Hundred Year Pivot, Demetri Kofinas and I sit down with economist Charles Calomiris for a probing exploration of America’s fiscal future and the deeper societal forces shaping it. The conversation delves into the concept of fiscal dominance—the point at which mounting government debt and deficits compel inflationary policies, sidelining the intentions of central banks, with Charles warning that the US is edging closer to this scenario, driven by unsustainable deficits and a political system gridlocked by the self-interest of key voting blocs and an unwillingness to confront hard choices around entitlements like Social Security and Medicare.

However, the discussion moves beyond the technicalities of economic policy as Charles contends that the roots of the crisis are as much moral and societal as they are financial, pointing to a broader decline in civic responsibility and shared values across generations. Drawing on historical parallels, he suggests that periods of crisis can also spark transformative leadership and a renewed search for social cohesion. This leads to a reflection on the possibility of hope—if individuals and communities can rediscover a sense of purpose and responsibility—as well as the importance of integrity and leadership at every level.

Every episode of the Grant Williams podcast, including This Week In Doom, The End Game, The Super Terrific Happy Hour, The Narrative Game, Kaos Theory, Shifts Happen and The Hundred Year Pivot, is available to Copper, Silver and Gold Tier subscribers at my website www.Grant-Williams.com.

The Grant Williams Podcast Ep. 103 - Victor Haghani

Fri, 23 May 2025 00:01:00 -0500

In the latest episode of The Grant Williams Podcast, I’m joined by Victor Haghani, founder and CIO of Elm Wealth, for a conversation that spans revolution, crisis, and hard-earned wisdom. From seeing his family lose nearly everything during the Iranian revolution, to his high-stakes years at Salomon Brothers and as a founding partner of the infamous Long-Term Capital Management, Victor’s journey is nothing short of extraordinary.

After stepping back from markets for over a decade following LTCM’s collapse, he returned with a mission: to help investors avoid the pitfalls he’d seen firsthand. We discuss the crucial—and often overlooked—importance of position sizing, the seductive danger of private equity pitches, and why too many wealthy investors are flying blind.

Victor shares the principles behind his “eyes open” investing philosophy and explains why sticking to low-cost, diversified, logic-based strategies may be the most underrated path to long-term success. This is a conversation packed with insight, humility, and lessons that only experience can teach.

Every episode of the Grant Williams podcast, including This Week In Doom, The End Game, The Super Terrific Happy Hour, The Narrative Game, Kaos Theory and Shifts Happen, is available to Copper, Silver and Gold Tier subscribers at my website www.Grant-Williams.com.

The Hundred Year Pivot Ep. 4 - Dr. Pippa Malmgren

Thu, 22 May 2025 00:01:00 -0500

In another compelling episode of The Hundred Year Pivot, Demetri and I are joined by Dr. Pippa Malmgren to unpack the profound challenges facing American society today. Drawing from her extensive experience in US and UK political spheres, Pippa explores the collapse of shared narratives amid political polarization, economic pressures, and an overwhelming flood of information that drives people into ideological silos. She highlights how this ‘narrative collapse,’ fueled by repeated national traumas and algorithm-driven media, threatens public trust, rational discourse, and the very legitimacy of government.

Pippa calls this moment a Copernican shift in American reality, emphasizing the urgent need for what she so beautifully describes as ‘heartware’- empathy, compassion, and courageous dialogue – to navigate these turbulent times. We also touch on the implications of recent UAP disclosures as symbols of institutional opacity and the limits of current scientific paradigms as Pippa offers a vital perspective on how we might rebuild understanding and resilience in an era defined by uncertainty and division.

The Grant Williams Podcast Ep. 102 - Warren Pies

Sat, 17 May 2025 08:51:38 -0500

In this episode of The Grant Williams Podcast, I’m joined by Warren Pies of 3Fourteen Research to unpack the challenges of investing in a world defined by policy shocks, geopolitical uncertainty, and persistent volatility. His data-driven approach allows Warren to cut through the noise of political unpredictability—particularly around Trump-era tariffs—and we focus the conversation on market signals, sentiment shifts, and technical indicators in today’s unstable landscape. From the precarious relationship between bonds and equities to the evolving role of the U.S. dollar, Warren offers a grounded yet insightful take on where the real risks—and opportunities—lie.

We dive deep into sector dynamics, especially the misunderstood signals coming from oil and credit markets, and Warren explains how quantitative models can help investors adapt to a regime defined by monetary debasement. With a candid look at sentiment extremes and capital flow inertia, Warren frames the U.S. not as a market without problems, but as the “cleanest dirty shirt” in a soiled global wardrobe—still investable, but only for those prepared to stay agile.

The Hundred Year Pivot Ep. 3 - Russell Napier

Thu, 15 May 2025 04:30:00 -0500

In the third episode of The Hundred Year Pivot, Demetri and I are joined by one of our main inspirations for setting out on this podcast journey, renowned financial historian Russell Napier, for a sweeping exploration of the deep structural imbalances reshaping the global economic and monetary order. Russell lays out a powerful framework for understanding the unwinding of decades-long distortions—rising debt, trade and capital flow asymmetries, and the pivotal role of China in the shifting global balance. As geopolitical alliances realign and governments turn increasingly to capital controls and financial repression, Russell warns that traditional investment strategies may prove dangerously inadequate.

From the future of the U.S. dollar to the strategic role of gold and real assets, Russell offers a masterclass in navigating a world where preserving wealth demands foresight, flexibility, and a willingness to think far beyond the consensus as The Hundred Year Pivot forces us to completely change the way we think about the world around us and how we invest therein.

The Hundred Year Pivot Ep. 2 - Neil Howe

Fri, 09 May 2025 00:01:00 -0500

In the second episode of The Hundred Year Pivot, Demetri and I talk with the man whose work inspired us to set off on this journey together – the co-author of seminal book The Fourth Turning and author of The Fourth Turning is Here, Neil Howe.

What follows is a timely and thought-provoking conversation on generational theory and the turbulent state of not just the United States, but the entire world today. From rising partisanship and institutional decay to shifting cultural norms around religion, gender, and substance use, Neil unpacks the patterns he sees repeating—and what they might mean for the road ahead.

We explore the defining characteristics of a Fourth Turning, why America and the rest of the world may already be deep into one, and what the implications could be both at home and on the world stage—including the possibility of a major confrontation with China.

This is a deep dive into the forces reshaping our society with one of their keenest observers—and a disturbing look at what history tells us might come next.

The Grant Williams Podcast Ep. 101 - Tian Yang

Wed, 07 May 2025 00:01:00 -0500

In this thought-provoking episode, I’m joined by Tian Yang of Variant Perception to explore the deep structural forces reshaping the global economy and geopolitical order. From the unintended consequences of Donald Trump’s tariff policies to China’s underappreciated resilience and strategic foresight, Tian offers a fresh, data-driven perspective on the shifting balance of power between East and West. The conversation moves beyond headlines to examine how innovation, manufacturing re-shoring, and changing reserve dynamics are altering the investment landscape.

Tian also highlights the growing divergence in policymaking philosophies between major economies and the investment opportunities arising from those fractures before highlighting Europe’s fiscal constraints, the risks of financial repression in the US, and the emergence of a CapEx-driven supercycle.

The Grant Williams Podcast Ep. 100 - Lynne Bryan Phipps FULL EPISODE

Thu, 01 May 2025 05:49:38 -0500

To celebrate the 100th episode of The Grant Williams Podcast, I’m delighted to welcome my friend Lynne Bryan Phipps for a discussion unlike any of the 99 that preceded it as she and I take a personal journey into the incredible world of Integrative Equine Therapy (IET).

Lynne – an ordained minister, architect and psychologist and the founder of one of Rhode Island’s leading charter schools – also founded Beachwood Centre, an extraordinary place where Lynne and her staff provide help for those suffering from trauma, anxiety, PTSD, grief and other stress-related issues, with the aid of horses.

My own personal experience working with Lynne opened my eyes to something remarkable and, in this conversation, we talk about the remarkable work being done at Beachwood, the extraordinary data collected by Brown University, demonstrating the incredible healing power of IET and how (and why) horses are a transformational factor when it comes to this kind of work.

This is a conversation you won’t forget.

At the end of the conversation you’ll find ways in which you can help Lynne continue the important work being done at Beachwood. So, if you’ve enjoyed my work, and you’re in a position to make a contribution – no matter how small – please consider donating to this wonderful cause.

The Hundred Year Pivot Ep. 1 - Demetri Kofinas

Mon, 21 Apr 2025 00:01:00 -0500

This is a brand new podcast series for which I’ve teamed up with my good friend Demetri Kofinas, to explore and understand the changing world around us.

Welcome to The Hundred Year Pivot.

This joint effort is based on a shared belief that we are living through a once-in-a-century reordering - geopolitical, economic, moral, even spiritual. Everything – our families, societies, and governments- depends on us getting it right.

Demetri and I invite you to join us as we develop novel maps and investment frameworks to help us navigate:

• The breakdown of our existing political and social systems of organization and control
• The emergence of new economic, financial, and monetary trading blocks
• The reprioritization of national and economic security
• The channeling of national savings into a new military and technological arms race
• The development of a new investment paradigm with historic implications for investors

Together, Demetri and I will be speaking with the smartest, most thoughtful people we know to help us chart a path through this gathering storm as we seek to position ourselves, our organizations, and our families for the changes to come.

The Grant Williams Podcast Ep. 97 - Marco Papic

Mon, 14 Apr 2025 00:01:00 -0500

In the latest episode of The Grant Williams Podcast, I sit down with Marko Papic of BCA Research to explore the intricate interplay between geopolitics and the global economy. Marko, a good friend and seasoned geopolitical strategist, walks us through his invaluable framework for understanding the preferences and constraints of policymakers—a critical lens for navigating today’s rapidly shifting dynamics—before we dive into trade wars and regional integration in a conversation which delves into how political decisions are shaping financial markets and economic opportunities around the world.

Also discussed the Trump administration’s use of tariffs and trade wars, which Marko analyzes through the prism of U.S. constraints compared to other nations, and Europe’s unique position to capitalize on current geopolitical shifts, particularly through deeper integration and increased investment prospects. Meanwhile, Marko explains why China faces significant challenges in stimulating domestic demand while grappling with risks such as potential conflict over Taiwan. Marko’s insights provide an invaluable guide to understanding the complexities of today’s geopolitical landscape and their far-reaching implications for economies and markets worldwide.

The Grant Williams Podcast Ep. 96 - Kathleen Thelen

Tue, 08 Apr 2025 00:01:00 -0500

This terrific discussion with Kathleen Thelen examines the historical origins and rise of large retail chains and e-commerce platforms in the United States, tracing the parallels between the business models of early mail-order retailers like Sears Roebuck and modern companies like Amazon. Kathleen explainss how antitrust laws and the fragmented regulatory environment in the US enabled the growth of these large, low-cost retailers by making it difficult for alternative models like consumer cooperatives to gain a foothold.

We focus on the reliance on low-wage labor and how the prioritizing of low prices over other considerations has become deeply embedded in the American consumer economy and, as the retail landscape has shifted with the rise of Amazon and other online shopping, she suggests that this business model remains difficult to dislodge due to the coalition of interests – manufacturers, third-party sellers, and consumers themselves – that have come to depend on these large retail platforms.

The importance of the centrality of the American consumer to the US economy has significant implications for the future as factors like inflation, tighter credit, and labor organizing threaten to challenge the dominance of the current retail giants.

The End Game Ep. 55 - Fred Hickey PREVIEW

Thu, 20 Mar 2025 00:01:00 -0500

Joining Fleck and me for the latest episode of The End Game is our mutual friend, Fred Hickey, the renowned High Tech Strategist. As always, Fted offers a compelling analysis of the gold and gold mining markets and, with gold tripling in price since its 2015 bottom and, while recent surges have been driven by geopolitical turmoil, money printing, and central bank buying, Fred cautions that the gold market may be overbought in the short-term and could face a correction.

When it comes to gold mining stocks, Fred is highly selective, favoring well-run companies in safe jurisdictions with high-grade deposits and conservative management and he runs us through his favourites in the sector before the conversation shifts to Fred’s skepticism about the recent hype surrounding AI and generative AI. He views the space as an unsustainable bubble, driven by excessive spending and deteriorating economics at major tech companies and makes several bold prediction around how the AI bubble could lead to a broader market downturn.

The Grant Williams Podcast Ep. 95 - Thomas Thornton

Mon, 10 Mar 2025 00:01:00 -0500

Joining me for the latest episode of The Grant Williams Podcast is my old mate Tommy Thornton of Hedge Fund Telemetry and, in a market increasingly driven by speculation and the allure of quick riches, we discuss whether investors are playing a dangerous game as a “gambler’s mentality” grips Wall Street – making excessive risk and leverage the norm. Tommy also challenges the prevailing narrative of ever-rising stock prices and questions the disconnect between market valuations and the underlying fundamentals of many companies.

From Nvidia’s AI-fueled ascent to the precarious perch of Tesla’s insane valuation, Tommy delves into the potential for market volatility to return with a vengeance, and the complex challenges facing the Federal Reserve and the economic policies of the incoming Trump administration.

The Narrative Game Ep. 10: Into The Moral Vacuum We Go… - FULL EPISODE

Thu, 06 Mar 2025 00:01:00 -0500

In a thought-provoking return for The Narrative Game, Dr. Ben Hunt and I engage in a candid conversation about the soul of America, exploring the unsettling trends eroding the nation’s moral compass. We dissect the alarming shift toward prioritizing power, efficiency, and leverage over traditional values like justice, liberty, and the common good and together we paint a picture of a society inching closer to totalitarianism, grappling with the rejection of the ideal that the U.S. should be a moral force on the world stage.

Beyond the diagnosis, we offer potential paths forward in these challenging times, as our discussion delves into the importance of building strong, trusted communities and finding solace in religion and spirituality, even for those who may not consider themselves traditionally religious. We highlight the urgent need to combat the erosion of community and shared values, fostering integrity and purpose amidst the rising tide of polarization and cynicism. This episode is a call to action, urging listeners to seek deeper connections and moral guidance to navigate the turbulent waters ahead.

The Grant Williams Podcast Ep. 94 - Ronan Manly FULL EPISODE

Mon, 03 Mar 2025 00:01:00 -0500

In the latest episode of The Grant Williams Podcast, Ronan Manly joins me for a deep dive into the fascinating world of the gold market. We explore its rich history and intricate structure, from the pivotal roles of the London Bullion Market Association (LBMA) and the COMEX futures exchange in shaping global trade, to the concept of ‘unallocated gold’ and the fractional reserve system that underpins much of the market.
We also examine the recent surge in central bank demand for physical gold, a trend that’s straining delivery systems and causing delays at institutions like the Bank of England. Against a backdrop of rising geopolitical tensions, we discuss how these dynamics could signal a shift away from the US dollar-based monetary system, potentially positioning gold as a cornerstone of international trade or even as backing for new regional currencies.
Finally, we tackle the possibility of a seismic event in the paper gold market—where pricing power might move from London to exchanges like Shanghai—leading to a divergence between paper and physical gold prices.

The Grant Williams Podcast Ep. 93 - Steve Diggle

Fri, 21 Feb 2025 00:01:00 -0500

In the latest episode of The Grant Williams Podcast, Steve Diggle of Vulpes Investment Management discusses his return to the volatility trading space after a 14-year hiatus. Steve cites several key factors that have led him to believe the risk-reward dynamic for downside hedging is now more favorable, including elevated market valuations, reduced central bank intervention capabilities, and the unpredictability of the Trump administration.

Steve also provides an update on the biotech industry, which has faced significant challenges in the post-COVID environment. He sees an unprecedented opportunity to invest in promising biotech companies whose valuations have collapsed, though caveat emptor, as the level of complexity and risk involved is significant.

If Steve is right, markets are facing heightened uncertainty that could lead to significantly increased volatility-a situation which makes the timing perfect for his ‘particular set of skills’ as downside protection strategies become first more attractive, and then imperative.

The Grant Williams Podcast Ep. 92 - Adam Rozencwajg

Tue, 18 Feb 2025 00:01:00 -0500

In a fascinating discussion, I sit down with Adam Rozencwajg of Goehring and Rozencwajg to delve into the intricate world of commodity markets and their far-reaching implications for the global economy. The conversation uncovers a hidden dynamic in the financial landscape, where the suppression of commodity markets is fueling a widespread carry trade that has investors heavily leveraged in growth and speculative stocks. As Adam explains, this delicate balance could be on the verge of a dramatic shift, potentially leading to a significant revaluation of real assets.

We also explore the future of energy, with a particular focus on the transformative potential of nuclear power. Adam highlights the promise of small modular reactor technology as a game-changer in the pursuit of clean, safe, and efficient energy sources and addresses the limitations of the U.S. shale boom and its implications for domestic oil and gas production. Finally, the conversation concludes with an exploration of gold’s resurgence as a monetary asset, hinting at possible changes in the global financial system that could reshape the economic landscape for years to come.

The Grant Williams Podcast Ep. 91 - Andrew McDermott

Sat, 15 Feb 2025 00:01:00 -0500

In this episode I’m joined by Andrew McDermott of Mission Value Partners to explore Japan’s remarkable journey from economic dominance to stagnation and its ongoing revival as a hub of opportunity. Andrew delves into how Japan has adapted to challenges such as demographic shifts and monetary policy constraints while maintaining its global relevance. He argues that Japan’s transformation offers valuable lessons for investors and policymakers alike, and, as Western investors increasingly take note of Japan’s strong corporate management and innovative strategies, our discussion sheds light on why Japan remains an inspiring example of reinvention in a rapidly changing world.

Despite critics long pointing to missteps by Japan’s central bank and corporate culture during this period, Andrew explains how, beneath the surface, Japanese companies have been quietly transforming—streamlining operations, prioritizing quality, and adopting shareholder-friendly practices, to the point where, today, many of these firms are considered paragons of efficiency and governance, attracting high-profile investors like Warren Buffett (who was given a little personal nudge along the road to investing in Japan by none other than Andrew himself).

The Grant Williams Podcast Ep. 90 - Demetri Kofinas FULL EPISODE

Tue, 04 Feb 2025 13:36:19 -0500

In a deeply personal and startlingly frank conversation, my great friend Demetri Kofinas and I dissect the current state of the world around us looking for answers to what is, perhaps, a set of unsolvable problems that simply need to play out to their predetermined conclusion.

In a necessarily freeform conversation, Demetri offers a compelling exploration of the concept of “financial nihilism,” a provocative investment philosophy that sees speculative assets as devoid of intrinsic value, before we delve into the societal and economic forces driving this mindset, including the erosion of trust in institutions, the corruption of money the prolific rise of gambling in everyday life, and the absence of both consequences and accountability for bad actors.

Together, we examine the rise of populism and moral decay, questioning whether these trends signal an inevitable descent into chaos or an opportunity for systemic reform and, while we struggle to find any sunny conclusions from the depths of personal reflection, what emerges is a sobering yet thought-provoking analysis of our current trajectory which seems set to take us further into the abyss.

The End Game Ep. 54 - Dan Oliver PREVIEW

Sun, 02 Feb 2025 00:01:00 -0500

In another captivating episode of The End Game Fleck and I are joined by returning special guest Dan Oliver for a deep dive into the current state of global financial markets as we explore the potential consequences of shifting liquidity dynamics and their impact on the financial landscape.

Dan brings a wealth of knowledge to the table as he dissects the various sources of liquidity that are currently undergoing significant changes. From interest rate policies to the Federal Reserve’s balance sheet reduction and the Treasury’s management of its account, Dan paints a comprehensive picture of the challenges facing the financial system.

Picking apart the intricate web of political dynamics between key financial institutions, Dan offers insights into the potential conflicts and hurdles that lie ahead and, as the discussion unfolds, we examine the broader implications of the bubble-like conditions in financial markets, drawing parallels to historical financial frenzies and their inevitable conclusions.

The Grant Williams Podcast Ep. 89 - Kris Sidial

Thu, 23 Jan 2025 00:01:00 -0500

In the latest episode of The Grant Williams Podcast, volatility manager and Ambrus Group co-CIO Kris Sidial, returns for a thought-provoking conversation which delves into the intricacies of financial market volatility. The discussion covers a wide range of themes, beginning with an analysis of recent shifts in volatility markets that have surprised many observers before exploring the impact of institutional investor behavior on equity market dynamics, as Kris sheds light on how large-scale positioning can lead to extreme market moves.

Also under the microscope are the psychological aspects of volatility trading, as Kris offers valuable insights into the mindset required for success in what is an immensely challenging field.

Throughout the conversation, Kris shares his expertise on the factors driving market instability and offers a forward-looking perspective on potential sources of future volatility, including the growing importance of bond and currency markets, providing a rare insider’s view of the complex world of volatility trading and its far-reaching implications for broader market stability.

The Grant Williams Podcast Ep. 88 - Simon Mikhailovich

Sun, 19 Jan 2025 00:01:00 -0500

In the latest episode of The Grant Williams Podcast, Simon Mikhailovich returns to explore the increasingly intertwined worlds of geopolitics, economics, and financial markets. As we enter a period of heightened global uncertainty, Simon offers valuable insights into the shifting landscape of possibilities and probabilities for major geopolitical events. The discussion delves into the “geopoliticization” of various aspects of our lives, examining how national security concerns are now taking precedence over financial and economic stability for governments worldwide. Simon also highlights the potential for severe disruptions and their cascading effects, using examples like the California wildfires to illustrate the far-reaching impacts on US finances and foreign policy.

Throughout a thought-provoking conversation, the complex, interconnected nature of global events in our current environment and the importance of personal preparedness in the face of growing risks are reinforced in multiple ways.

The Grant Williams Podcast Ep. 87 - Felix Zulauf

Thu, 16 Jan 2025 00:01:00 -0500

In another thought-provoking conversation, my returning guest, renowned investor Felix Zulauf, offers a comprehensive outlook for the next 12-24 months, predicting a “roller coaster year” filled with market volatility and geopolitical tensions. Felix paints a sobering picture of the global economic landscape, highlighting China’s deflationary balance sheet recession, Europe’s political stagnation, and the United States’ deceptively strong economy masking an impending slowdown. He warns of potential market corrections, a shift from growth to value stocks, and the challenges facing inexperienced traders in these turbulent times. Additionally, we discuss the broader geopolitical context, including U.S.-China tensions and evolving political dynamics in Europe, all of which contribute to an environment of heightened uncertainty and risk.

Just Felix being Felix… but, as always, Felix being Felix is supremely interesting stuff!

The Grant Williams Podcast Ep. 83 - David Murrin

Fri, 25 Oct 2024 00:01:00 -0500

In the latest episode of The Grant Williams podcast, I’m joined by Global Forecaster, David Murrin who offers us some valuable insight into his background before we dive into a riveting discussion about lateral versus linear thinking, the cycles of empires, and the geopolitical tensions between the West and China.

David argues that the West is in decline while China is an ascendant power seeking global dominance and predicts an escalating series of conflicts, potentially leading to a third world war in the coming decade as China seeks to displace the US as the global hegemon.

David’s detailed analysis of China’s strategic approach and the West’s vulnerabilities make a compelling case that the world is heading towards a major confrontation with grave consequences.

Some of the issues discussed may prove challenging for listeners, but engaging with these difficult topics and considering their implications for the future are, without doubt, an important use of your time.

The Grant Williams Podcast Ep. 81 - Jeff Sarti

Thu, 26 Sep 2024 00:01:00 -0500

Jeff Sarti of Morton Wealth in Calabasas, CA joins me for a discussion around the ever-evolving dynamic between investor and manager the difficulties inherent in navigating changing economic circumstances through a more unconventional, more resilient approach to investing. Jeff explains how he and his colleagues try to think differently about investment strategies and portfolio diversification, particularly in the current economic environment. Jeff’s focus on building resilient portfolios that can withstand market volatility, rather than just chasing returns can be a difficult proposition in a world where quarterly returns against a benchmark have become many investors’ most important yardstick. We discuss the the importance of educating investors on long-term thinking and owning their portfolios, not just renting them and follow the breadcrumbs to how the impact of central bank policies and the growing debt burdens facing many countries, influence investment strategies focused on hard assets and hedges against inflation.

This Week In Doom Ep. 20: FORE! He’s A Jolly Good Fellow??? PREVIEW

Fri, 09 Aug 2024 00:01:00 -0500

Doomberg and I discuss various topics including Donald Trump’s golf swing and the potential importance of his recent round with Bryson DeChambeau, the assassination attempt made on Trump’s life the week prior to its airing on YouTube, conspiracy theories surrounding the Kennedy assassination, the standing down of Joe Biden, and the potential nomination of Kamala Harris and the conspicuous lack of media coverage since these major upheavals in American politics took place. This one will no doubt set a few tongues wagging and probably drive plenty of emails from those energized by the subject matter but, at the end of the day, please try to remember that I’m just a boy, standing in front of a Green Chicken, asking it to talk to me.

The Grant Williams Podcast: Shifts Happen - Episode Eight FULL EPISODE

Wed, 17 Jul 2024 00:01:00 -0500

In episode eight of Shifts Happen, Luke Gromen returns to discuss the current fiscal situation and its implications for rates trading, explaining how his views on the fiscal situation have made him unpopular among rates traders, as his predictions suggest that their industry may become obsolete. We also discuss the possibility that policymakers either don’t understand the situation, refuse to acknowledge it, or are too deep in to change course, and Luke also highlights the need for a new benchmark for pristine collateral, which he believes will be gold. Also under the microscope is the latest CBO report, which shows the need for a “super bubble” in the US, and Luke offers an explanation as to why he believes a recession in the US is unlikely. Finally, we conclude by looking at the potential outcomes of the current fiscal situation, including the possibility of retrenchment and reshoring or a dangerous escalation leading to nuclear war. Plenty to think about here with Luke once again on top form.

The End Game Ep. 51 - Cem Karsan PREVIEW

Tue, 16 Jul 2024 00:01:00 -0500

In this episode of The End Game, Bill and Grant are joined by returning guest, Cem Karsan, founder of Kai Volatility, for a mind-bending conversation about the importance and influence of structural flows passive investing and structured products. Cem explains that the market is currently being supported by these structural flows, which have kept the market from experiencing normal fundamentals. However, Cem explains why he believes that at some point, these structural forces will be overcome by fundamental negatives and valuations, leading to a major market correction. Also discussed are the importance of volatility and dispersion in the market, and how these factors can indicate the health of the underlying supply of volatility. and we also touch on the potential for inflation and the role of central banks in managing the debt and inflationary pressures. Cem warns that, while the market may continue to rise in the short term, there are significant risks and challenges ahead that could lead to a major market downturn so beware!

The End Game Ep. 50 - Le Shrub PREVIEW

Mon, 15 Jul 2024 00:01:00 -0500

In this episode of The End Game, Bill and Grant are joined by the excellent “Le Shrub,” an anonymous Twitter account both of us have followed religiously for several years. Le Shrub discusses his approach to investing and his use of social media as a feedback loop mechanism. He also shares his views on Japan’s monetary policy, the role of gold and real assets as hedges against fiscal recklessness, and the potential for a market crash after the US election. We discuss the importance of having an outsized allocation to commodities and cash-flowing assets to protect against the risks posed by policymakers’ monetary and fiscal policies, and the significance of certain events, such as the South African elections and the recent Freddie Mac proposal, in shaping market dynamics.

This Week In Doom Ep. 19: Chicken In A China Shop PREVIEW

Sun, 14 Jul 2024 00:01:00 -0500

In the latest episode of This Week In Doom, Grant and Doomberg turn their focus to China’s strategic push to become self-sufficient in semiconductor technology, drawing parallels to its successes in electric vehicles and solar energy. Along the way, Doomberg highlights China’s use of intellectual property theft and internal competition to establish national champions like Huawei and we also cover the geopolitical implications of U.S. and European sanctions on China, emphasizing the potential for China to dominate despite Western efforts. Finally, we pick apart the shifting global power dynamics, particularly the weakening of U.S. dollar hegemony and the strengthening alliance between China, Russia, and the global south as we try our hardest to figure out what the hell happens next.

The End Game Ep. 49 - Paulo Macro PREVIEW

Sat, 13 Jul 2024 00:01:00 -0500

Joining Bill and me for the latest episode of The End Game is fintwit superstar Paulo Macro as we pick apart the problems facing a series of central banks and try to handicap the various outcomes they face as The End Game approaches. On the slate are the Japanese economy, the yen, the Chinese renminbi, and the outlook for gold, with Paulo suggesting that Japan may have a longer road ahead in terms of fighting external pressures and that the BoJ may be able to turn the tide on the yen in the near- to medium-term. We also discusses the possibility of China allowing the renminbi to appreciate rather than devalue, the potential for a weaker dollar to drive the rest of the world’s economies and why Paulo thinks gold is acting more like a currency that may continue to strengthen against other fiat. Finally, Paulo explains why he believes the trading environment is set to become more challenging and that experienced traders will need to be more selective in their strategies.

The Grant Williams Podcast Ep. 79 - Mark J. Higgins

Fri, 10 May 2024 00:01:00 -0500

Joining me for this episode of The Grant Williams Podcast, is author Mark J. Higgins who has just published his excellent new book ‘Investing in US Financial History.’ We begin by discussing the overall importance of understanding financial history and segue into a conversation about the comprehensive narrative of the US financial system from 1790 to the present which his book provides. Mark highlights the role of key figures such as Alexander Hamilton, discusses the establishment of the Federal Reserve in 1913 and introduces one of the least-known, but perhaps biggest trailblazing characters in US financial history: Hetty Green. Higgins also shares his insights on investor behavior and the cyclical nature of markets, as well as his views on the current crypto craze. Throw in Ray Dalio, Andrew Jackson, Robert Triffin and Charlie Munger and there’s something for everyone in this excellent conversation.

The End Game Ep. 48 - Gerard Minack PREVIEW

Fri, 26 Apr 2024 00:01:00 -0500

Joining Bill Fleckenstein and me once again is our favourite Aussie-based analyst, Gerard Minack, who returns to The End Game to discuss various topics including Japan’s economy and market, US fiscal and monetary policy, central bank independence, gold, and the US dollar. Gerard shares his views on Japan, explaining that while he believes the Japanese equity market is worth being bullish about, he’s not quite as optimistic about the country’s economy. He also addresses the issue of everybody’s favourite issue – Japan’s public sector debt, which Gerard believes is often exaggerated and that the crucial figure to understand -net debt – is actually much lower. We also zero in on the importance of wage growth in Japan and its impact on inflation before pivoting to discuss the broader global markets, where he sees a major gap between market expectations and actual economic conditions. Gerard believes the market is far too optimistic about earnings growth and that there is a risk of a correction in the near future. Other topics under discussion include the US dollar and the recent movements in gold and copper prices.

Super Terrific Happy Hour Ep. 22 - Let's Give Them Something To Talk About

Mon, 15 Apr 2024 00:01:00 -0500

Steph and Grant return to discuss allllll kinds of stuff including (but not limited to) private credit, the Fed’s balance sheet (I know, I know) inflation and the reality around the market’s curious reliance upon rate cuts.

The Grant Williams Podcast Ep. 78 - Travis Kling FULL EPISODE

Tue, 09 Apr 2024 00:02:00 -0500

My guest on this edition of The Grant Williams Podcast is Travis Kling of Ikigai Asset Management, who joins me to explore a concept gaining increasing traction in today’s market environment – financial nihilism. Along the way, we also discuss the delicate balance between keeping interest rates low and inflating our way out of debt, the challenges faced by central banks in managing monetary policy to support economic growth while preventing excessive inflation and the potential impact of technological innovation on inflation as well as the possibility of a great wealth transfer from older generations to younger ones. Of course, we couldn’t end without a discussion around the role of cryptocurrencies in this changing economic landscape, so there’s that as well…

The Grant Williams Podcast Ep. 77 - Brent Johnson

Tue, 09 Apr 2024 00:01:00 -0500

Joining me on this episode of The Grant Williams Podcast is my great friend Brent Johnson of Santiago Capital, for a discussion about global markets and, of course, The Milkshake Theory.

Brent explains how he uses the Theory as a framework to help him understand how a sovereign debt and currency crisis might play out and how, though he’s been uncertain about markets recently, this framework has helped him navigate the volatility.

Brent emphasizes the importance of remaining objective and questioning one’s own beliefs, as well as the need to be prepared for drawdowns in asset prices as we discusses the extraordinary bull market in certainty and the importance of diversification. There’s also time for a look at the current political situation in the US and its potential impact on the markets with Brent arguing that, while the US may be facing political and economic turmoil, the rest of the world still relies heavily on the US dollar, and a divided US would be a disaster for the global economy. Something for everyone in here…

The Grant Williams Podcast Ep. 76 - Michael Howell

Thu, 28 Mar 2024 00:01:00 -0500

Returning to the podcast this time out is Michael Howell of CrossBorder Capital, and what a return it is as we discuss the continuing (some would say escalating) importance of liquidity in global markets. Michael explains how central banks have been the main source of liquidity since the 2008 financial crisis, with their primary goal being to preserve the integrity of sovereign debt markets and ensure a smooth refinancing environment for some $350 trillion of debt. He also highlights the British gilt crisis in September 2022 as a wake-up call for policymakers, signaling that markets are no longer robust and are, in fact, remarkably fragile. We also discuss how the path of least resistance for central banks is to continue kicking the can down the road and monetize the deficit, leading to higher structural inflation rates.

The Grant Williams Podcast Ep. 75 - Remi Tetot

Wed, 20 Mar 2024 00:01:00 -0500

Remi Tetot, the man behind The Mad King, joins me for a discussion around three of his most recent pieces of research. We discuss Remi’s observations around the Bitcoin ETFs and his views on the current up-cycle in crypto before switching to the growth potential of India, during which we discover a fascinating opportunity as India’s GDP expands with inevitable consequences for its defence sector. Finally, we switch our attention to the Magnificent 7… sorry, Magnificent 6, as Remi picks apart the fascination with NVIDIA, AI and data centres, drawing parallels to the broadband ‘revolution’ of the late-1990s.

This Week In Doom Ep. 18: Something For Everyone PREVIEW

Wed, 06 Mar 2024 15:36:35 -0500

Join Doomberg and I as we discuss several topics sure to stir even the most languid of blood including the ongoing conflict between Russia and Ukraine, the changing nature of warfare with the rise of drone technology, and the concept of peak cheap oil. Doomberg’s argument that peak cheap oil is a fallacy and that human ingenuity will always find ways to extract and produce more hydrocarbons has garnered plenty of attention (and pushback) in recent weeks so here’s another chance to understand why and to hear about the backlash they received for their views on the matter. Finally, just when you think we’ve run out of controversial subjects, the conversation turns to an upcoming piece on the assault on climate denialism and the labeling of certain views as hate speech…

The Grant Williams Podcast: Shifts Happen - Episode Seven FULL EPISODE

Fri, 16 Feb 2024 00:01:00 -0500

A long-overdue episode seven of Shifts Happen sees Luke Gromen return to discuss the pace at which three things are happening: the acceleration of the US fiscal crisis and debt spiral, the Fed’s policy mistake of not letting inflation run hot enough, and the de-dollarization of global oil markets.

Luke explains that China needs to de-dollarize its oil imports and commodity imports to avoid a currency crisis, which is driving the de-dollarization of global oil markets and also highlights the importance of gold in this process, as China needs gold to work in order to improve its standards of living and avoid a crisis.

Luke believes gold will continue to rise in price, and that the pace of events is accelerating towards a US fiscal crisis. He explains the US is facing a fiscal crisis due to its high debt and deficits, and the lack of price-sensitive buyers for its treasuries and that the Fed’s choice is not inflation or deflation, but rather how it wants to lose the long end of the yield curve

Plenty of food for thought here with Luke on fine form.

The Grant Williams Podcast Ep. 74 - Julian Brigden 2024

Wed, 07 Feb 2024 11:10:18 -0500

As we ease our way into 2024, I’m delighted to welcome back my great mate, Julian Brigden to the podcast. Julian is the co-founder of independent research firm MI2 Partners and, as he’s demonsrated in previous conversations, a hugely insightful and incredibly entertaining guest!

This time out, he and I discuss, amongst other things, the Goldilocks narrative, the potential risks in the current market environment, the performance of Tesla stock, the Chinese stock market, and the outlook for gold. Julian expresses his skepticism around threading the Goldilocks needle and highlights the historical challenges of achieving a soft landing in the US economy.

He also shares his concerns about the future of Tesla and the Chinese stock market and offers some thoughts on gold, which he believes is in a structural bull market, but… Here we go…

The End Game Ep. 47 - The Two Mikes PREVIEW

Fri, 26 Jan 2024 00:01:00 -0500

Returning to The End Game as we begin the year with a bang are the brains behind Simplify, The Two Mikes, Green & Taylor who take turns picking apart just about ever facet of the financial and political spectrum.

From the growth of passive investing and its potential impact on the market to the importance of understanding the holdings and flows of passive funds, The Two Mikes hold court in typically forthright fashion.

Also under the microscope are the behavior of stocks like Tesla and Apple, and how fundamental valuations will eventually come into play. The conversation then shifts to the influence of politics on the market, with a focus on the actions of the Treasury and the potential impact of the upcoming election.

Finally, we discuss the role of the Federal Reserve and its recent policies, somehow managing to trigger just about every group along the way.

The Grant Williams Podcast: Peter Zeihan - FULL EPISODE

Thu, 11 Jan 2024 11:51:38 -0500

My guest in this edition of The Grant Williams Podcast is a man who finds both himself and his field of expertise at the very heart of recent events in Ukraine, geopolitical strategist and author, Peter Zeihan.

Peter’s books, The Absent Superpower, The Accidental Superpower and Disunited Nations have been incredibly helpful to me in understanding the strengths and weaknesses of not just the global geopolitical landscape as a whole, but also the individual countries involved in the escalating tensions.

His upcoming book The End Of The World Is Just The Beginning is set to be an absolutely invaluable addition to his excellent work.

In what is an intensely though-provoking and painfully realistic assessment of the war in Ukraine, Peter pulls no punches in laying out where we currently stand, why we are where we are, and the many painful roads the world may well travel from here in the weeks and months to come.

This conversation isn’t for the faint of heart, but Peter’s understanding of the range of outcomes available to us is incredibly valuable at what is shaping up to be a pivotal time for mankind in so many ways.

Every episode of the Grant Williams podcast, including The End Game, Super Terrific Happy Hour, The Narrative Game and the brand new series This Week In Doom, featuring my co-host, Doomberg, is available to Copper and Silver Tier subscribers at my website www.grant-williams.com. Copper Tier subscribers get access to all podcasts, while members of the Silver Tier get both the podcasts and my monthly newsletter, Things That Make You Go Hmmm…

So if you enjoy what you hear on this show and want more high-quality content like it, make your way over to www.grant-williams.com and join our exciting community today!

And with that, please enjoy the show!!

The Grant Williams Podcast Ep. 73 - Michael Oliver 2023

Sun, 31 Dec 2023 11:03:00 -0500

Joining me for the final episode of The Grant Williams Podcast in 2023 is returning guest, Michael Oliver, the brains behind Momentum Structural Analysis (MSA) – one of the most original and, in my experience, accurate forecasters of asset prices right across the spectrum.

In a hugely enjoyable conversation, we discuss the current state of the markets and what to expect in 2024. Michael explains his unique approach to technical analysis, which focuses on momentum rather than price, and emphasizes the importance of looking at long-term trend structures and how they can provide a different perspective on market patterns.

Also under the microscope are the potential impact of the upcoming US elections and the increasing division in the country. Michael explains why he believes that there is no outcome of the election that will be peaceful and that this could have significant implications for the markets.

Lastly, he also highlights the potential for a rally in gold and commodity-related stocks. Whichever way you cut it, Michael’s analysis suggests that investors should be cautious in the face of potential market volatility in the coming year.

The Grant Williams Podcast Ep. 72 - Jesper Koll

Fri, 29 Dec 2023 12:00:00 -0500

In the penultimate episode of The Grant Williams Podcast for 2023, I’m delighted to welcome Jesper Koll, a long-time resident of Japan and former Chief Strategist and Head of Research for U.S. investment banks J.P. Morgan and Merrill Lynch for a discussion about the current state of the country’s economy and the many Western misperceptions about the investment opportunities available in the world’s third-largest economy.

Jesper discusses the quiet revolution taking place in Japan and the positive changes that have occurred over the past few decades, highlighting the improvements in quality of life, public infrastructure, and corporate efficiency. We also discuss the role of the Bank of Japan and the potential for interest rate normalization.

Jesper suggests that sectors such as banks, financials, residential developers, and capital goods companies could benefit from the current economic landscape in Japan and emphasizes the importance of human capital and the changing dynamics in the labor market.

This Week In Doom Ep. 17 - Moles, Meat & Mayhem - FULL EPISODE

Sat, 09 Dec 2023 11:15:28 -0500

The Green Chicken is back to discuss three excellent recent pieces spanning Western sanctions against Russian oil and their unintended consequences, the preposterous words of a high-ranking member of the US House Ways & Means committee around the 'creation' of hydrogen and the ongoing attempts to wean the world off a diet of meat.

As always, Doomberg brings a little much-needed sanity to the debates around all three issues, using outdated concepts such as science and common sense to debunk much of what mainstream media is force-feeding its consumers.

As the world around us gets a little more unhinged with each passing day, we're fortunate to be able to call upon a cartoon fowl to provide a little perspective.

The Grant Williams Podcast Ep. 67 - Felix Zulauf

Wed, 06 Dec 2023 12:46:00 -0500

Returning to The Grant Williams Podcast for the latest episode is my dear friend, and most requested guest, Felix Zulauf.

Once again, Felix offers a comprehensive roadmap for the coming months, including another tour de force assessment of bond markets, equity markets, currencies, commodities and the various (and mounting) geopolitical challenges facing investors in all corners of the globe.

Felix walks us through his framework for 2024 and 2025, explains where adjustments have been made from his eerily prescient predictions a year ago and outlines the results of his constant reevaluation of the various short- and long-term cycles which form the foundation of his extraordinary work.

Bitcoin, gold, the Japanese yen and yes (TRIGGER WARNING), climate change all come under Felix’s microscope, so sit back and enjoy one of the true greats of our business in full flow.

The Grant Williams Podcast Ep. 66 - Zeke Faux

Sun, 19 Nov 2023 12:44:00 -0500

As Sam Bankman-Fried is found guilty on all seven counts in the biggest crypto-related trial to date, I’m joined by author Zeke Faux, whose scintillating new book Number Go Up: Inside Crypto’s Wild Rise and Staggering Fall has been the must-read book of the summer for me.

Equal parts hilarious, head-scratching and powerful, Zeke does a tremendous job of taking us inside the crazy world of crypto – starting with a subject close to my own heart: Tether.

Zeke follows the trail of extraordinary characters who inhabit the ecosystem of the world’s biggest stablecoin on a journey that brings him into contact with all the major figures in the Cryptoverse and on a wild ride to ApeFest in Manhattan.

Whether you’re a crypto believer or a fellow skeptic, the book and this conversation are a rare treat.

The End Game Ep. 45 - James Aitken PREVIEW

Mon, 23 Oct 2023 12:48:00 -0500

Returning to The End Game is The Lord of the Dark Matter himself, James Aitken. Among the topics under discussion is the (under appreciated) potential for a normalization cycle by the Bank of Japan. James suggests the BOJ may attempt a policy rate normalization due to structural reforms and the need to revitalize the equity culture in Japan which, it’s fair to say, would send the horses scuttling from the barn. James also highlights the potential spillover effects and changes in incentives for Japanese savers, which could impact global bond markets and capital flows.

The Grant Williams Podcast Ep. 64 - Diana Choyleva

Thu, 19 Oct 2023 12:41:00 -0500

Diana Choyleva of Enodo Economics joins me on the latest episode of The Grant Williams Podcast to discuss the current state of China’s economy and its relationship with the US. Diana highlights the challenges China is facing, including demographic issues, over-investment, and the need for productivity growth and she also discusses the role of digitization in China’s economic transformation and the potential risks and opportunities it presents. Also emphasised is the importance of understanding the complexities of China’s economy and its geopolitical ambitions.

Super Terrific Happy Hour Ep. 19 - How do you solve a problem like inflation?

Sun, 08 Oct 2023 12:38:00 -0500

In the latest episode of The Super Terrific Happy Hour, Steph and Grant are joined by an all-star panel of guests to discuss the macro environment as it pertains to inflation and how each of them is using their vast experience to position themselves correctly for the way they see the inflationary pulse playing out.

James Davolos of Horizon Kinetics, Adam Rozencwajg of Goehring & Rozencwajg and Dave Iben of Kopernik Global Investors join forces to offer a series of hugely enlightening perspectives about where the world finds itself, how we got here and, importantly, not only where we’re headed, but what to do about it.

Super? Yep. Terrific? Absolutely. Happy? You will be. Come and join us.

The Grant Williams Podcast Ep. 63 - David Hay

Sun, 10 Sep 2023 12:35:00 -0500

Joining me on the latest episode of The Grant Williams Podcast is my great friend, David Hay, Co-CIO of Evergreen GaveKal and the author of the excellent Substack Haymaker.

Dave and I have known each other for the best part of fifteen years and have spent countless hours debating markets, testing hypotheses and helping each other understand and chart a course through increasingly difficult markets.

This time around, the matters at hand included the wisdom of Seth Klarman, the Not-So-Fabulous Four, the debate about a soft- or no-landing scenario, the US consumer, oil markets and so much more. As always, Dave’s perspective on the entire market spectrum was incredibly useful as we discussed commodities, homebuilder stocks, the places Dave is investing and even found time for a little Fourth Turning.

Definitely a conversation not to be missed.

The Grant Williams Podcast Ep. 62 - Chris Joye

Fri, 01 Sep 2023 12:33:00 -0500

Joining me on the podcast for this episode is Chris Joye, Founder and Chief Investment Officer of Coolabah Capital Investments in Sydney Australia, a multi-billion dollar long/short credit fund founded in 2011. I’ve been following Chris for a number of years and was delighted to finally get the chance to talk to hm and the conversation more than lived up to my lofty expectations. Subjects under discussion include why Chris believes the market is underestimating how long higher inflation will persist (and the ramifications that will surely follow), why he believes this time the world’s central banks will be forced […]

The Grant Williams Podcast Ep. 61 - Marvin Barth

Thu, 24 Aug 2023 12:29:00 -0500

Joining me on the latest episode of The Grant Williams Podcast is Marvin Barth – a man whose path through the financial maze has encompassed just about every facet of the industry. From the US Treasury, to the Federal Reserve, the BIS, the sell-side, the buy-side and now a proprietary independent research business, Marvin’s wealth of experience has spawned an incredibly original and extremely broad perspective on just about every aspect of financial markets. In a remarkable and wide-ranging conversation, Marvin explains how he uses thematic ideas to help understand and explain market movements and we dig deep into several

The End Game Ep. 45 - Kris Sidial PREVIEW

Mon, 14 Aug 2023 12:13:00 -0500

Joining us for this episode of The End Game is Kris Sidial, Co-Chief Investment Officer of The Ambrus Group, a tail-risk manager specializing in volatility strategies. Kris and his team seek to offer investors tail-risk protection without the associated 'bleed' in premium during times of dampened volatility so, with September fast-approaching, we thought it was a perfect time to chat with him as markets prepare to wake from their traditional summer slumbers.

Kris' thoughts about what to expect as we move towards the back end of 2023 are incredibly interesting, with his expected scenario for the rest of this year having the potential to create quite the stir in markets lulled to sleep by the constant downward pressure on vol over recent years.

Buckle up, folks!

The Grant Williams Podcast Ep. 60 - Richard O’Leary

Thu, 27 Jul 2023 12:18:00 -0500

Joining me in the latest episode of The Grant Williams Podcast is entrepreneur Richard O'Leary, President of Culture Tech, a fascinating project seeking to use technology to catalog and secure the rights of artists and creators in an increasingly fragmented and complex world.

Through his background as a senior marketing executive, Richard's deep understanding of brand and IP helped him identify what is a multi-billion dollar gap in a world where content is being created in ever-more diverse media.

What role can Blockchain play in finding a potential solution to the problem of IP theft and how can technology secure the rights to artists' work as human creativity continues to push new boundaries? Tune in and find out.

The Grant Williams Podcast: Shifts Happen - Episode Six PREVIEW

Tue, 25 Jul 2023 07:38:00 -0500

The subject at hand in episode six of Shifts Happen is the potential for a new commodity-backed BRICS currency and, joining us to kick the idea around is Josh Crumb, Founder and CEO of Abaxx Technologies.

Through his work at Abaxx, Josh is perfectly placed to discuss the importance of physical settlement in the commodity markets and the practical limitations of introducing a currency that requires settlement through physical transfer.

Also up for discussion is the wider connection between energy and interest rates as Josh shares with us the lessons learned from decades of experience, with his diverse background as a mining engineer, trader and the Co-Founder of Goldmoney, giving him a rare perspective into the significant change taking place in the world of commodities.

The Grant Williams Podcast Ep. 59 - Tom Bachrach - PREVIEW

Sat, 15 Jul 2023 15:08:00 -0500

Joining me fr this episode of The Grant Williams Podcast is Tom Bachrach, CIO of PFH Capital, a value investing partnership in the Philadelphia area.

Several of Tom's letters to his investors caught my eye in recent months and so I invited him onto the show to talk to me about how an investor looking for undervalued, sustainable businesses goes about navigating the new investment landscape - one of rising rates, falling inflation and ever-escalating madness.

Our conversation took numerous twists and turns from value investing to debt and, eventually, onto energy and each of those turns made for highly thought-provoking discussion.

Every episode of the Grant Williams podcast, including This Week In Doom, The End Game, The Super Terrific Happy Hour, The Narrative Game and Shifts Happen, is available to Copper, Silver and Gold Tier subscribers at my website www.Grant-Williams.com.

The Grant Williams Podcast Ep. 58 - Matt Barrie - FULL EPISODE

Fri, 07 Jul 2023 08:29:16 -0500

Joining me in this episode of The Grant Williams Podcast is the Sydney-based CEO of Freelancer.com, Matt Barrie.

Matt was recently invited to give the opening keynote at the Sydney Morning Herald's Sydney 2050 Summit and, it's safe to say that, once Matt left the stage 40 minutes later, the room had been stunned into silence.

The Australia Matt laid bare was a long way from the idyllic, sun-kissed 'Lucky Country' of popular consciousness and far more in keeping with the portrait painted in the pages of Things That Make You Go Hmmm... over the last several years, so it was with great relish that I invited Matt onto the podcast to tell that same story and discuss the reaction to it.

The full text of Matt's stellar speech can be found HERE and a video of his opening keynote is HERE.

I'd strongly urge listeners to either read or watch Matt's speech in full. It is, as they say Down Under, a ripper!

The Grant Williams Podcast Ep. 55 - Matt Stoller - PREVIEW

Thu, 25 May 2023 18:04:00 -0500

Joining me in this episode of The Grant Williams Podcast is Matt Stoller, former Congressional staffer and author of Goliath: The 100-Year War Between Monopoly Power and Democracy and the excellent Substack BIG.

Matt's work on the threat posed by monopoly power is exceptional and, in this fascinating conversation we cover the challenges he's faced in taking on Big Tech monopolies, the anti-capitalist consequences of monopolistic corporate power, his experiences on The Hill during the 2008 Global Financial Crisis and his bipartisan approach to changing the current political landscape in the United States.

There's so much at stake as large corporations tighten their collective grip on the throat of the consumer and Matt offers an insightful look both backward and forward in trying to assess where things went wrong, and how they might be fixed.

The Grant Williams Podcast Ep. 54 - Danielle DiMartino Booth - PREVIEW

Thu, 25 May 2023 18:01:17 -0500

Joining me on this edition of The Grant Williams Podcast is returning guest, Danielle DiMartino Booth, CEO and Chief Strategist at QI Research, LLC in Dallas, TX.

Danielle's knowledge of the inner workings of the Federal Reserve has been invaluable both to her clients and the broader financial community in recent years and her analysis of the predicament in which the Fed finds itself and the fast-disappearing options at their disposal to extricate themselves has found a hungry audience.

This time up, Danielle explains her latest thinking on the state of the economy, how we might be facing an abrupt economic air pocket, the political vulnerability of House Speaker McCarthy, and even the odds of the US splintering via a series of succession movements.

It's compelling stuff, folks!
Every episode of the Grant Williams podcast, including This Week In Doom, The End Game, The Super Terrific Happy Hour, The Narrative Game and Shifts Happen, is available to Copper, Silver and Gold Tier subscribers at my website www.Grant-Williams.com.

The Grant Williams Podcast: Shifts Happen - Episode Five PREVIEW

Mon, 01 May 2023 15:54:40 -0500

Episode Five of Shifts Happen brings into focus the recent 'quickening' around the de-dollarization narrative and the impossible-to-ignore elevation in comments from world leaders questioning the logic underpinning their forced adoption of the US dollar in many cross-border trades.

From the numerous bilateral trade agreements being struck that circumvent the dollar to the rising percentage of cross border trade being conducted by China in renminbi, Grant and Luke discuss the crucial difference between the dollar as a reserve currency and its role as a reserve asset - one of which is coming under significant threat, one of which remains rock solid.

The extraordinary level of dogmatism on both sides of the argument comes under the microscope and Luke turns to Lucille Ball for an analogy which provides the perfect illustration of the problem facing the US Treasury.

Every episode of the Grant Williams podcast, including The End Game, Super Terrific Happy Hour, The Narrative Game, This Week In Doom and the new series, Shifts Happen, featuring Luke Gromen is available to Copper and Silver Tier subscribers at my website Grant dash Williams dot com. Copper Tier subscribers get access to all podcasts, while members of the Silver Tier get both the podcasts and my monthly newsletter, Things That Make You Go Hmmm…

So if you enjoy what you hear on this show and want more high-quality content like it, make your way over to Grant dash Williams dot com and join our exciting community today!

The End Game Ep. 43 - Steve Eisman PREVIEW

Thu, 27 Apr 2023 10:16:41 -0500

Bill and Grant return for a no-holds-barred conversation with the great Steve Eisman of The Eisman Group within Neuberger Berman. Steve is no stranger, thanks both to his exploits during the GFC and the stupendous portrayal of those exploits by Steve Carell in the movie version of Michael Lewis' wonderful book, The Big Short.

Steve explains the history of paradigm shifts and tells us why he feels we are at the point of another major change - not only in the investment landscape but also in broader society.

The recent meltdown in the mid-size banking sector comes under the microscope, as do Fed policy, lofty valuations, a likely return to a more familiar investment world, the tech reckoning and the purveyor of a certain set of ETFs focused on 'exponential growth' stocks.

Fun for all the family!

As a reminder, Silver Tier subscribers to https://www.grant-williams.com get access to both Things That Make You Go Hmmm… and all editions of The Grant Williams Podcast, including The End Game, The Super Terrific Happy Hour, The Narrative Game, This Week In Doom and Shifts Happen so sign up today!

The Grant Williams Podcast Ep. 52 - Brendan Ballou - PREVIEW

Wed, 26 Apr 2023 07:54:03 -0500

Author Brendan Ballou joins me to discuss his superb new book, Plunder: Private Equity's Plan to Pillage America in the latest episode of The Grant Williams Podcast. After graduating Columbia and Stanford Law, Brendan served as a Federal prosecutor and Special Counsel for Private Equity in the Justice Department's Antitrust Division, where his mandate was to investigate private equity's influence on financial markets.

What he found shocked Brendan and moved him to write a book chronicling the outsize effect private equity has had in so much of American life over the last several decades.

From nursing homes to prison phone companies, Brendan details how private equity has reshaped American business by raising prices, reducing quality, cutting jobs, and shifting resources from productive to unproductive parts of the economy. Forced to take on huge debts and pay extractive fees, companies purchased by private equity firms are often left bankrupt, or shells of their former selves, with consequences to communities that long depended on them.

The Narrative Game Ep. 9: Dollars, Indictments & ChatGPT - FULL EPISODE

Thu, 20 Apr 2023 14:28:30 -0500

In the ninth episode of The Narrative Game, Epsilon Theory's Dr. Ben Hunt returns to discuss the narrative aspects of the sudden surge in mainstream commentary around the drive towards de-dollarization on the part of China, Russia, Iran et al. Suffice to say, all is not what it might seem.

Elsewhere, with the indictment of former President, Donald J. Trump filling the news cycle, Ben offers a few thoughts on the potential motives behind the headlines, who might stand to benefit and whether this particular strategy might pay off.

Finally, we discuss the revolution that is ChatGPT and how AI may disrupt the workplace and Ben clues us in on the upcoming Epsilon Connect event in Nashville, TN when he, Rusty Guinn and a host of speakers (including Yours Truly) will bring the narrative world to life in living, breathing colour.

The Grant Williams Podcast Ep. 51 - Peter Atwater - FULL EPISODE

Wed, 15 Mar 2023 14:53:24 -0500

My returning guest in this edition of The Grant Williams Podcast is my friend Peter Atwater, Founder of Financial Insyghts and Adjunct Professor at the College of William & Mary. Peter's stellar work on the importance of mood and confidence has long been an important touchpoint for me when evaluating market conditions and likely paths ahead - never more so than this week.

Given recent events, I wanted to try and add something to a conversation that has become noisier by the day. There are plenty of opinions and perspectives flying around (to which I'll add my own in this weekend's Things That Make You Go Hmmm…) and so it felt as though a conversation with Peter about the effect the twin collapses of Silicon Valley Bank and Signature Bank this week are likely to have on public mood was a better contribution than debating the fast-moving details of what's happening.

The Grant Williams Podcast Ep. 50 - Diana Choyleva PREVIEW

Mon, 13 Mar 2023 17:41:22 -0500

My guest on this episode of The Grant Williams Podcast is Diana Choyleva, the Founder and Chief Economist of Enodo Economics, an independent macroeconomic and political forecasting company that focuses on China and its global impact.

Our conversation centres, of course, around China, as Diana explains how her background growing up in Bulgaria has helped her understand the ways in which the Communist Party of China both thinks and functions.

The Grant Williams Podcast Ep. 49- Julian Brigden PREVIEW

Mon, 13 Mar 2023 17:38:00 -0500

Julian Brigden of MI2 Partners returns to the podcast to cast a considered eye over the macro landscape. With a litle help from Xenia Onatopp, Plenty O'Toole and Pussy Galore, Julian explains why James Bond movies offer useful clues to aid our understanding of current conditions and why investors may not be as invincible as they perhaps believe themselves to be.

The Grant Williams Podcast Ep. 48- Simon Hunt PREVIEW

Thu, 02 Mar 2023 07:17:09 -0500

My returning guest on this episode of The Grant Williams Podcast is a dear friend of many years - Simon Hunt, founder and proprietor of Simon Hunt Strategic Services.

Simon's experience in China over four decades has provided me with an important counterpoint to many Western-based views of the Middle Kingdom over the years - one firmly rooted in personal experience, deep personal connections and a willingness to look past consensus thinking.

In this conversation, we discuss the status quo in China along with the wider geopolitical situation, Simon's roadmap for the next couple of years and... TRIGGER ALERT... we expand upon comments Simon made about non-consensus climate change possibilities during his last appearance on the podcast.

The Grant Williams Podcast Ep. 47- David Dorr FULL EPISODE

Thu, 02 Mar 2023 07:14:55 -0500

OK Folks, buckle up as things are about to take a turn for the extra-terrestrial as my guest, David Dorr of Dorr Asset management returns to the podcast to discuss the recent spate of Unidentified Flying Object sightings which has been blanketing the media over the last several weeks.

David has been following this story for many years and he joins me to explain several key changes in the attitude to UFOs on the part of governments, chronicle the evolution in transparency around the subject, confirm a few conspiracy theories, highlight some key names in the world of extra-terrestrial observation we'd do well to follow as things evolve from here and even talk about some investment themes around what he calls 'Intergalactic Macro'.

This conversation was unexpected, unplanned and just so much fun to be a part of and it left me with plenty to ponder...

This Week In Doom Ep. 13 - Traincrash Journalism - FULL EPISODE

Thu, 02 Mar 2023 06:45:52 -0500

In the latest episode of This Week in Doom, The Green Chicken discusses a couple of recent pieces the Doomberg team published which have attracted a significant level of attention. One covers the recent train derailment in East Palestine, OH, the other Seymour Hersh's article about the destruction of the Nord Stream Pipeline.

As always, Doomie doesn't shy away from offering a thoughtful and well-researched appraisal of both events and, as always, the team's assessments have stirred up plenty of emotion amongst their readership.

The Grant Williams Podcast Ep. 46- Michael Howell PREVIEW

Mon, 13 Feb 2023 08:42:02 -0500

After a hiatus forced by technical issues in the editing bay, we're back with the first of three new episodes this week - this time featuring my special guest Michael Howell of Crossborder Capital, who returns to the show to talk about liquidity in a fast-changing market environment.

After a useful primer on the different ways of thinking about liquidity as a phenomenon, Michael explains why and how Japan is the canary in the coal mine we've all feared it to be for so long, highlights the dangers of the crowding out of private capital in sovereign bond markets and dissects the likely fallout from a Fed pivot that he now believes is inevitable.

The Grant Williams Podcast Ep. 44 - David Dorr PREVIEW

Wed, 28 Dec 2022 20:23:48 -0500

My returning guest in this edition of The Grant Williams Podcast is David Dorr of Dorr Asset Management. David returns to discuss the fallout from FTX, the toppling dominoes it may set in motion, and what it means for the likes of Binance, DCG and Tether.

The Grant Williams Podcast Ep. 43 - Kim Ann Curtin FULL EPISODE

Fri, 23 Dec 2022 07:15:00 -0500

My guest on this episode of The Grant Williams Podcast is Kim Ann Curtin, aka The Wall Street Coach. Kim, a 24-year veteran of Wall Street, has traded Brooklyn for Big Island of Hawai'i, where she has established an executive and trading coaching practice that works with a series of founders, CEOs and senior level executives at Fortune 500 companies around the world to help them hone and sharpen their performance.

In a fascinating conversation, Kim and I begin with the subject of fear, greed and need before branching out into a discussion about universal needs and how investors are wired to require certain things in order to function effectively.

What are those things and how do we harness our understanding of them to improve out performance? Listen in and Kim will tell you...

The End Game Ep. 39 - David Einhorn PREVIEW

Sun, 30 Oct 2022 10:17:18 -0500

The latest guest to grace The End Game series is hedge fund legend, value investor, reformed shortseller and poker wizard, David Einhorn.

In a greatly anticipated conversation, Bill and I get the chance to quiz David about his recent comments on the death of value investing, the challenges posed by investing in a bear market and the likelihood that inflation, far from being transitory, is now structural.

Throw in a dissection of where central banks find themselves, and a fascinating glimpse into David's experiences at some of the highest stakes poker tables in the world and you have all the ingredients necessary for a classic End Game conversation.

The End Game Ep. 38 - James Aitken PREVIEW

Sun, 30 Oct 2022 10:14:54 -0500

When James Aitken calls and says we need to record another episode of The End Game based on the events of recent weeks, Fleck and I dropped everything and got him on the phone immediately.

In this superb conversation, James lays out how and why the turmoil in the UK happened and explains the implications — which extend into the depths of financial market plumbing, an area James knows better than just about anybody.

LDIs, Linkers, the box into which the Fed has painted itself and the dreadful predicament facing the BoJ all come under the microscope as James picks apart the plumbing as only he can.

Buckle up, folks. Things are about to get really interesting...

The End Game Ep. 37 - Gerard Minack PREVIEW

Sun, 30 Oct 2022 10:11:06 -0500

Episode 37 of The End Game sees Bill and Grant welcome back Gerard Minack of Minack Advisors for a discussion on the current market environment, the reality of the inflationary pulse upending markets and the path Gerard believes we take from here.

Gerard’s one-man mission to convince the world that Central Bankers aren’t responsible for the unfolding disaster in financial markets runs headlong into a man with a hammer to whom everything looks like a nail in Fleck but the case Gerard makes is extremely thought-provoking.

As Gerard says, investor sentiment is a three-month trailing average of the price action and, with that as a backdrop, we pick apart recent price action and dig into the ocean of data that Gerard parses for his clients in order to try and figure out what comes next...

The Grant Williams Podcast: Shifts Happen - Episode Three PREVIEW

Sun, 23 Oct 2022 09:31:26 -0500

Episode Three of Shifts Happen focuses on a fast-moving world that seems to get trickier by the day.

The importance of energy self-sufficiency is revealing itself and that is shifting the power from formerly strong hands into the hands of those once considered weaker players.

The war in Ukraine is amplifying the situation in mainstream media headlines but, away from those, there is a balance sheet contest taking place that reveals an entirely different pecking order - one which potentially upends the global power structure.

Western sovereign debt markets are now under immense pressure with liquidity concerns escalating dramatically and currencies starting to move in directions and at speeds that are confounding central banks.

What happens next? Luke has a few ideas and, as always, they are pretty thought-provoking.

So if you enjoy what you hear on this show and want more high-quality content like it, make your way over to Grant dash Williams dot com and join our exciting community today!

The End Game Ep. 36 - Ed Chancellor PREVIEW

Mon, 12 Sep 2022 02:22:17 -0500

In the latest episode of The End Game, Bill and Grant welcome author and financial historian non-pareil, Edward Chancellor back to talk about his new book The Price Of Time.

During his first appearance on The End Game, Ed teased us with a book he was in the process of wrapping up which would chronicle the history of interest rates and tell the story of the cost of money over the course of history.

Now, with the book appearing on multiple bestseller lists, Ed joins us to discuss what he learned as he trawled through the history books in search of a story that really is as old as time itself. From biblical times to the modern day malaise engulfing the world’s central banks as they battle the unintended consequences of a decade of artificial interest rates, Ed spins a story that has to be heard and needs to be understood.