The Defence Horizon Journal - Podcasts https://tjasibi.podbean.com The Defence Horizon Journal Podcasts are part of the blog on security and defence-related topics. For more information visit www.tdhj.org Thu, 06 Aug 2026 06:00:00 +0200 https://podbean.com/?v=5.5 de-at Copyright 2021 All rights reserved. News:Politics 1440 episodic The Horizon Talks, podcast blog on security and defence related topics. TDHJ TDHJ No false https://feed.podbean.com/tjasibi/feed.xml https://pbcdn1.podbean.com/imglogo/image-logo/11327952/Titelbild_-_alle_f3xiub.jpg The Defence Horizon Journal - Podcasts https://tjasibi.podbean.com 144 144 The Horizon Audiofiles - Ep 102 - AI, Automation Bias, And The Defence Of Clausewitzian Command The Horizon Audiofiles - Ep 102 - AI, Automation Bias, And The Defence Of Clausewitzian Command https://tjasibi.podbean.com/e/the-horizon-audiofiles-ep-102-ai-automation-bias-and-the-defence-of-clausewitzian-command/ https://tjasibi.podbean.com/e/the-horizon-audiofiles-ep-102-ai-automation-bias-and-the-defence-of-clausewitzian-command/#comments Thu, 06 Aug 2026 06:00:00 +0200 tjasibi.podbean.com/6b102b94-cb69-33e7-b5bf-bbf279f42aa7 The integration of artificial intelligence (AI) into strategic command reconstitutes rather than augments command judgement, placing systematic pressure on what Clausewitz identified as the essential intelligence of command: coup d’œil, the cultivated capacity for rapid holistic synthesis that distinguishes the formed commander from the competent administrator. This article argues that command intuition develops through practice and is sustained through experience, yet three compounding pathologies in AI-augmented environments progressively erode its development and exercise. Drawing on Clausewitz’s analytical framework, the article identifies these pathologies as automation bias, which substitutes deference for judgement; algorithmic monoculture, which collapses cognitive diversity through which actors recognise what shared models cannot perceive; and delegated infopolitik, which embeds consequential political choices within system architecture, rendering them invisible to commanders and severing the accountability chain that war as an act of policy requires.

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]]> The integration of artificial intelligence (AI) into strategic command reconstitutes rather than augments command judgement, placing systematic pressure on what Clausewitz identified as the essential intelligence of command: coup d’œil, the cultivated capacity for rapid holistic synthesis that distinguishes the formed commander from the competent administrator. This article argues that command intuition develops through practice and is sustained through experience, yet three compounding pathologies in AI-augmented environments progressively erode its development and exercise. Drawing on Clausewitz’s analytical framework, the article identifies these pathologies as automation bias, which substitutes deference for judgement; algorithmic monoculture, which collapses cognitive diversity through which actors recognise what shared models cannot perceive; and delegated infopolitik, which embeds consequential political choices within system architecture, rendering them invisible to commanders and severing the accountability chain that war as an act of policy requires.

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]]> TDHJ false No 2461 108 full The Horizon Audiofiles - Ep 101 - Countering Cognitive Warfare Through Open Innovation The Horizon Audiofiles - Ep 101 - Countering Cognitive Warfare Through Open Innovation https://tjasibi.podbean.com/e/the-horizon-audiofiles-ep-101-countering-cognitive-warfare-through-open-innovation/ https://tjasibi.podbean.com/e/the-horizon-audiofiles-ep-101-countering-cognitive-warfare-through-open-innovation/#comments Thu, 30 Jul 2026 06:01:00 +0200 tjasibi.podbean.com/ad2578a8-f3c2-3c97-aa85-5b51fcecb94c Modern conflicts are increasingly fought in the cyber and information domains, where effects unfold primarily in the cognitive rather than the physical sphere. Addressing such non-kinetic threats requires multidisciplinary expertise and close cooperation between public defence institutions and private-sector innovators. This paper outlines key factors for efficient cooperation and proposes a criteria-based framework that systematically defines the knowledge, skills, and capacities needed to counter Cognitive Warfare.

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]]> Modern conflicts are increasingly fought in the cyber and information domains, where effects unfold primarily in the cognitive rather than the physical sphere. Addressing such non-kinetic threats requires multidisciplinary expertise and close cooperation between public defence institutions and private-sector innovators. This paper outlines key factors for efficient cooperation and proposes a criteria-based framework that systematically defines the knowledge, skills, and capacities needed to counter Cognitive Warfare.

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]]> TDHJ false No 2112 107 full The Horizon Audiofiles - Ep 100 - Clausewitz For The Digital Battlespace The Horizon Audiofiles - Ep 100 - Clausewitz For The Digital Battlespace https://tjasibi.podbean.com/e/the-horizon-audiofiles-ep-100-clausewitz-for-the-digital-battlespace/ https://tjasibi.podbean.com/e/the-horizon-audiofiles-ep-100-clausewitz-for-the-digital-battlespace/#comments Thu, 23 Jul 2026 06:02:00 +0200 tjasibi.podbean.com/cdd61a8c-7eec-395b-9c0a-79dfeb666b93 Despite two centuries of technological progress, Clausewitz’s concept of friction remains a vital analytical lens for warfighting in the age of artificial intelligence (AI) and machine learning. This article interprets friction in the context of cognition, focusing on algorithms and human-machine miscommunication to address the gap between educational practice and officers’ preparation for operational reality.

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]]> Despite two centuries of technological progress, Clausewitz’s concept of friction remains a vital analytical lens for warfighting in the age of artificial intelligence (AI) and machine learning. This article interprets friction in the context of cognition, focusing on algorithms and human-machine miscommunication to address the gap between educational practice and officers’ preparation for operational reality.

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]]> TDHJ false No 2499 106 full The Horizon Audiofiles - Ep 099 - Analysis Of Shahed Drones From Ukraine To The Middle East The Horizon Audiofiles - Ep 099 - Analysis Of Shahed Drones From Ukraine To The Middle East https://tjasibi.podbean.com/e/the-horizon-audiofiles-ep-099-analysis-of-shahed-drones-from-ukraine-to-the-middle-east/ https://tjasibi.podbean.com/e/the-horizon-audiofiles-ep-099-analysis-of-shahed-drones-from-ukraine-to-the-middle-east/#comments Thu, 16 Jul 2026 06:04:00 +0200 tjasibi.podbean.com/f86414c1-4892-34c7-a35d-a15c6ae5c797 The Shahed-136, an Iranian-manufactured loitering munition built largely from foam and plywood, has emerged as a very effective weapons system. The Shahed-136 drone has demonstrated that low-cost, mass-produced aerial munitions can systematically overwhelm sophisticated and expensive air defence architectures. Iran's direct deployment of Shaheds against Israel in 2025, followed by Russia's relentless campaign averaging 140 drone strikes per day over Ukraine, established saturation as a viable operational method. Now in February 2026, the use of Shahed-136 by Iran and LUCAS by the U.S. revealed a new doctrine of attrition warfare centred on saturation and economic exhaustion.

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]]> The Shahed-136, an Iranian-manufactured loitering munition built largely from foam and plywood, has emerged as a very effective weapons system. The Shahed-136 drone has demonstrated that low-cost, mass-produced aerial munitions can systematically overwhelm sophisticated and expensive air defence architectures. Iran's direct deployment of Shaheds against Israel in 2025, followed by Russia's relentless campaign averaging 140 drone strikes per day over Ukraine, established saturation as a viable operational method. Now in February 2026, the use of Shahed-136 by Iran and LUCAS by the U.S. revealed a new doctrine of attrition warfare centred on saturation and economic exhaustion.

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]]> TDHJ false No 894 105 full The Horizon Audiofiles - Ep 098 - NATO, Industrial Resilience, And Battlefield Transparency The Horizon Audiofiles - Ep 098 - NATO, Industrial Resilience, And Battlefield Transparency https://tjasibi.podbean.com/e/the-horizon-audiofiles-ep-098-nato-industrial-resilience-and-battlefield-transparency/ https://tjasibi.podbean.com/e/the-horizon-audiofiles-ep-098-nato-industrial-resilience-and-battlefield-transparency/#comments Thu, 09 Jul 2026 06:02:00 +0200 tjasibi.podbean.com/3843e8f7-6856-39e9-b023-0181ca13cdd0 Since the 2023 Vilnius Summit, NATO has recognised industrial capacity as a core element of deterrence. The Alliance has endorsed the Defence Production Action Plan, adopted the Industrial Capacity Expansion Pledge, and aligned with parallel US and EU initiatives, the National Defence Industrial Strategy and the Act in Support of Ammunition Production to accelerate output, standardisation, and supply-chain resilience. Yet policy vocabulary has advanced faster than procurement logic. The return of industrial war, combined with a sensor-saturated battlefield, means that design choices now carry direct operational consequences. Manufacturability, supply substitution, repairability, and distributed production potential are variables of combat endurance. This article argues that NATO's real gap is not only an industrial-capacity gap, but also an industrial-operational doctrine gap: the Alliance has not yet fully integrated production resilience and battlefield transparency into a mature procurement doctrine suited to prolonged high-intensity conflict.

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]]> Since the 2023 Vilnius Summit, NATO has recognised industrial capacity as a core element of deterrence. The Alliance has endorsed the Defence Production Action Plan, adopted the Industrial Capacity Expansion Pledge, and aligned with parallel US and EU initiatives, the National Defence Industrial Strategy and the Act in Support of Ammunition Production to accelerate output, standardisation, and supply-chain resilience. Yet policy vocabulary has advanced faster than procurement logic. The return of industrial war, combined with a sensor-saturated battlefield, means that design choices now carry direct operational consequences. Manufacturability, supply substitution, repairability, and distributed production potential are variables of combat endurance. This article argues that NATO's real gap is not only an industrial-capacity gap, but also an industrial-operational doctrine gap: the Alliance has not yet fully integrated production resilience and battlefield transparency into a mature procurement doctrine suited to prolonged high-intensity conflict.

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]]> TDHJ false No 1439 104 full The Horizon Audiofiles - Ep 097 - The U S ’ Strategic Flexibility In A Multipolar Era The Horizon Audiofiles - Ep 097 - The U S ’ Strategic Flexibility In A Multipolar Era https://tjasibi.podbean.com/e/the-horizon-audiofiles-ep-097-the-u-s-strategic-flexibility-in-a-multipolar-era/ https://tjasibi.podbean.com/e/the-horizon-audiofiles-ep-097-the-u-s-strategic-flexibility-in-a-multipolar-era/#comments Thu, 02 Jul 2026 06:02:00 +0200 tjasibi.podbean.com/5747e8aa-070e-3c7e-b227-6c3fb2cfd907 The 2026 Hormuz Crisis is often misinterpreted as a fraying of Western influence; however, a closer look reveals a calculated recalibration of U.S. power. This article examines Washington’s pivot toward "Strategic Autonomy", a move that shifts the burden of regional stability onto competitors while insulating Western markets.

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]]> The 2026 Hormuz Crisis is often misinterpreted as a fraying of Western influence; however, a closer look reveals a calculated recalibration of U.S. power. This article examines Washington’s pivot toward "Strategic Autonomy", a move that shifts the burden of regional stability onto competitors while insulating Western markets.

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]]> TDHJ false No 591 103 full The Horizon Audiofiles - Ep 096 - China’s Smart Power Play For Hearts And Minds The Horizon Audiofiles - Ep 096 - China’s Smart Power Play For Hearts And Minds https://tjasibi.podbean.com/e/the-horizon-audiofiles-ep-096-china-s-smart-power-play-for-hearts-and-minds/ https://tjasibi.podbean.com/e/the-horizon-audiofiles-ep-096-china-s-smart-power-play-for-hearts-and-minds/#comments Thu, 25 Jun 2026 06:07:00 +0200 tjasibi.podbean.com/4a959087-5a08-329c-a316-1864071a151d The People’s Republic of China’s contemporary power strategy extends beyond military modernisation. It integrates overt strategic signalling, digitally amplified emotional storytelling, and Confucian moral framing into a unified hybrid model of influence. Through spectacles such as the 2025 Victory Day Parade, curated soldier narratives, and globally celebrated athletic achievements, Beijing projects deterrence while cultivating legitimacy. Understanding this fusion is essential for policymakers navigating twenty-first–century competition.

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]]> The People’s Republic of China’s contemporary power strategy extends beyond military modernisation. It integrates overt strategic signalling, digitally amplified emotional storytelling, and Confucian moral framing into a unified hybrid model of influence. Through spectacles such as the 2025 Victory Day Parade, curated soldier narratives, and globally celebrated athletic achievements, Beijing projects deterrence while cultivating legitimacy. Understanding this fusion is essential for policymakers navigating twenty-first–century competition.

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]]> TDHJ false No 2252 102 full The Horizon Audiofiles - Ep 095 - Britain Cannot Claim Restraint While Enabling War The Horizon Audiofiles - Ep 095 - Britain Cannot Claim Restraint While Enabling War https://tjasibi.podbean.com/e/the-horizon-audiofiles-ep-095-britain-cannot-claim-restraint-while-enabling-war/ https://tjasibi.podbean.com/e/the-horizon-audiofiles-ep-095-britain-cannot-claim-restraint-while-enabling-war/#comments Thu, 18 Jun 2026 06:02:00 +0200 tjasibi.podbean.com/24ba0e8a-420f-33a2-918a-72352c4bfe40 Britain’s decision to allow the United States to use RAF Fairford and Diego Garcia in military action tied to the Iran crisis raises a simple but serious question. Can a state still call itself restrained when it provides the territory, access, and infrastructure that enable escalation? This article argues that it cannot. Once British-controlled facilities become operational enablers of war, Britain no longer appears like a distant observer. It becomes part of the conflict in the region's eyes, and likely in the calculations of any state considering retaliation. The article also argues that this choice weakens Britain’s diplomatic credibility, deepens legal and political risk, and exposes British citizens to strategic and economic costs that have not been honestly explained.

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]]> Britain’s decision to allow the United States to use RAF Fairford and Diego Garcia in military action tied to the Iran crisis raises a simple but serious question. Can a state still call itself restrained when it provides the territory, access, and infrastructure that enable escalation? This article argues that it cannot. Once British-controlled facilities become operational enablers of war, Britain no longer appears like a distant observer. It becomes part of the conflict in the region's eyes, and likely in the calculations of any state considering retaliation. The article also argues that this choice weakens Britain’s diplomatic credibility, deepens legal and political risk, and exposes British citizens to strategic and economic costs that have not been honestly explained.

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]]> TDHJ false No 446 101 full The Horizon Audiofiles - Ep 094 - Gamification of Tactics The Horizon Audiofiles - Ep 094 - Gamification of Tactics https://tjasibi.podbean.com/e/the-horizon-audiofiles-ep-094-gamification-of-tactics/ https://tjasibi.podbean.com/e/the-horizon-audiofiles-ep-094-gamification-of-tactics/#comments Thu, 11 Jun 2026 06:03:00 +0200 tjasibi.podbean.com/a03885cc-8da1-3d8b-9b8b-6752616055e4 Recent conflicts underscore the practical relevance of simulation-based and gamified approaches to military training. From the use of commercial platforms for pilot familiarisation to incentive-based systems for drone operators in Ukraine, gamified logic is increasingly shaping how military personnel train, adapt, and perform under operational conditions. Based on an exploratory field trial and drawing on the long-standing educational mandate attributed to Maria Theresa, this study frames gamification not as a technological novelty but as a contemporary medium for experiential learning. For the trial, officer cadets participated in competitive tactical scenarios using a commercial PC-based simulation (WARNO). Repeated questionnaires, an intermediate diagnostic intervention, and qualitative experiential reports were used to examine learning effects, including decision-making under time pressure, understanding of combined arms operations, and the role of structured reflection.

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]]> Recent conflicts underscore the practical relevance of simulation-based and gamified approaches to military training. From the use of commercial platforms for pilot familiarisation to incentive-based systems for drone operators in Ukraine, gamified logic is increasingly shaping how military personnel train, adapt, and perform under operational conditions. Based on an exploratory field trial and drawing on the long-standing educational mandate attributed to Maria Theresa, this study frames gamification not as a technological novelty but as a contemporary medium for experiential learning. For the trial, officer cadets participated in competitive tactical scenarios using a commercial PC-based simulation (WARNO). Repeated questionnaires, an intermediate diagnostic intervention, and qualitative experiential reports were used to examine learning effects, including decision-making under time pressure, understanding of combined arms operations, and the role of structured reflection.

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]]> TDHJ false No 1914 100 full The Horizon Audiofiles - Ep 093 - What North Korea Is Learning From The War In Iran The Horizon Audiofiles - Ep 093 - What North Korea Is Learning From The War In Iran https://tjasibi.podbean.com/e/the-horizon-audiofiles-ep-093-what-north-korea-is-learning-from-the-war-in-iran/ https://tjasibi.podbean.com/e/the-horizon-audiofiles-ep-093-what-north-korea-is-learning-from-the-war-in-iran/#comments Thu, 04 Jun 2026 06:02:00 +0200 tjasibi.podbean.com/ad27f79f-ebed-3fe4-94b6-ecf723c85457 Ever since the war in Iran erupted early in 2026, much of the world’s attention has been fixated on the Middle East. North Korea is no exception. It will likely be closely monitoring the conflict to extract lessons on regime survival, deterrence, and how to survive a multi-front war involving the United States. While the Iran case is not directly analogous to the Korean Peninsula, it nonetheless offers a set of strategic signals that will shape internal debates within the North Korean leadership. This conflict may reinforce North Korea’s existing policy trajectory rather than prompting a fundamental strategic shift.

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]]> Ever since the war in Iran erupted early in 2026, much of the world’s attention has been fixated on the Middle East. North Korea is no exception. It will likely be closely monitoring the conflict to extract lessons on regime survival, deterrence, and how to survive a multi-front war involving the United States. While the Iran case is not directly analogous to the Korean Peninsula, it nonetheless offers a set of strategic signals that will shape internal debates within the North Korean leadership. This conflict may reinforce North Korea’s existing policy trajectory rather than prompting a fundamental strategic shift.

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]]> TDHJ false No 630 99 full The Horizon Audiofiles - Ep 092 - Enhancing Communicative Skills For Combined Operations The Horizon Audiofiles - Ep 092 - Enhancing Communicative Skills For Combined Operations https://tjasibi.podbean.com/e/the-horizon-audiofiles-ep-092-enhancing-communicative-skills-for-combined-operations/ https://tjasibi.podbean.com/e/the-horizon-audiofiles-ep-092-enhancing-communicative-skills-for-combined-operations/#comments Thu, 28 May 2026 06:03:00 +0200 tjasibi.podbean.com/ed7f6a76-8e2f-3ddb-b00e-b81846c0fb50 Communicative interoperability is vital in multinational coalition warfare. While current Extended Reality (XR) systems excel in procedural motor training, this study proposes developing the KMA-XR-AI system to expand this scope to the communicative ‘fog of war.’ The system is intended to synergise multimodal sensing with adaptive AI to complement traditional XR capabilities. By fusing bio-physiological and acoustic signals via a Hybrid Sensing Module, the system would calculate a real-time Cognitive Load Index (CLI) to drive a Smart Scaffolding Protocol. This intervention will be designed to distinguish between linguistic deficits and stress-induced inhibition during tactical verbal interactions, and ultimately, optimise verbal proficiencies essential for mission success, offering a technological evolution for future military training.

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]]> Communicative interoperability is vital in multinational coalition warfare. While current Extended Reality (XR) systems excel in procedural motor training, this study proposes developing the KMA-XR-AI system to expand this scope to the communicative ‘fog of war.’ The system is intended to synergise multimodal sensing with adaptive AI to complement traditional XR capabilities. By fusing bio-physiological and acoustic signals via a Hybrid Sensing Module, the system would calculate a real-time Cognitive Load Index (CLI) to drive a Smart Scaffolding Protocol. This intervention will be designed to distinguish between linguistic deficits and stress-induced inhibition during tactical verbal interactions, and ultimately, optimise verbal proficiencies essential for mission success, offering a technological evolution for future military training.

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]]> TDHJ false No 2051 98 full The Horizon Audiofiles - Ep 091 - Mosaic Warfare In Ukraine The Horizon Audiofiles - Ep 091 - Mosaic Warfare In Ukraine https://tjasibi.podbean.com/e/the-horizon-audiofiles-ep-091-mosaic-warfare-in-ukraine/ https://tjasibi.podbean.com/e/the-horizon-audiofiles-ep-091-mosaic-warfare-in-ukraine/#comments Thu, 21 May 2026 06:07:00 +0200 tjasibi.podbean.com/e8612ea2-c711-3eed-bb04-b3f731d60173 Mosaic Warfare is often seen as a far-future concept linked to further breakthroughs in emerging disruptive technologies. This article argues that the war in Ukraine challenges that view. Although Ukraine does not explicitly use the term, its battlefield adaptation reflects core mosaic principles, including distributed low-cost uncrewed systems, adaptive kill webs, decentralised decision-making, and rapid sensor-to-shooter integration. The article shows that Mosaic Warfare is not merely a speculative future vision, but an increasingly useful lens for understanding military success and effectiveness in contemporary warfare. At the same time, the Ukrainian case suggests a changing character of warfare in which operational advantage depends increasingly on adaptability, distributed force employment, and the rapid integration of sensors, decision-makers, and shooters, while also exposing current limits in interoperability, communications resilience, sustainment, and organisational scaling. »» TDHJ «« » patreon: https://www.patreon.com/thedefencehorizon » donate: https://tdhj.org/about/#donation

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]]> Mosaic Warfare is often seen as a far-future concept linked to further breakthroughs in emerging disruptive technologies. This article argues that the war in Ukraine challenges that view. Although Ukraine does not explicitly use the term, its battlefield adaptation reflects core mosaic principles, including distributed low-cost uncrewed systems, adaptive kill webs, decentralised decision-making, and rapid sensor-to-shooter integration. The article shows that Mosaic Warfare is not merely a speculative future vision, but an increasingly useful lens for understanding military success and effectiveness in contemporary warfare. At the same time, the Ukrainian case suggests a changing character of warfare in which operational advantage depends increasingly on adaptability, distributed force employment, and the rapid integration of sensors, decision-makers, and shooters, while also exposing current limits in interoperability, communications resilience, sustainment, and organisational scaling. »» TDHJ «« » patreon: https://www.patreon.com/thedefencehorizon » donate: https://tdhj.org/about/#donation

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]]> TDHJ false No 2022 97 full The Horizon Audiofiles - Ep 090 - Building Energy Resilience Beyond The Strait Of Hormuz The Horizon Audiofiles - Ep 090 - Building Energy Resilience Beyond The Strait Of Hormuz https://tjasibi.podbean.com/e/the-horizon-audiofiles-ep-090-building-energy-resilience-beyond-the-strait-of-hormuz/ https://tjasibi.podbean.com/e/the-horizon-audiofiles-ep-090-building-energy-resilience-beyond-the-strait-of-hormuz/#comments Thu, 14 May 2026 06:05:00 +0200 tjasibi.podbean.com/85c7c2fe-5e2d-3680-a554-518d209ab9c9 The effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz following joint U.S.-Israeli strikes on Iranian targets in late February 2026 has transformed a long-theorised energy security vulnerability into a present crisis. Maritime traffic through the Strait has collapsed by more than 90 per cent, removing approximately 17-20 million barrels of oil per day from global markets, the largest single energy disruption in modern history. This monograph examines the United Arab Emirates' cross-peninsula logistics corridor linking Sharjah Port Khalid on the Persian Gulf to the Port of Fujairah on the Gulf of Oman as the world's only existing partial bypass of the Hormuz chokepoint.

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]]> The effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz following joint U.S.-Israeli strikes on Iranian targets in late February 2026 has transformed a long-theorised energy security vulnerability into a present crisis. Maritime traffic through the Strait has collapsed by more than 90 per cent, removing approximately 17-20 million barrels of oil per day from global markets, the largest single energy disruption in modern history. This monograph examines the United Arab Emirates' cross-peninsula logistics corridor linking Sharjah Port Khalid on the Persian Gulf to the Port of Fujairah on the Gulf of Oman as the world's only existing partial bypass of the Hormuz chokepoint.

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]]> TDHJ false No 1793 96 full The Horizon Audiofiles - Ep 089 - Russia’s Warning Echoes A Hard Truth About Afghanistan The Horizon Audiofiles - Ep 089 - Russia’s Warning Echoes A Hard Truth About Afghanistan https://tjasibi.podbean.com/e/the-horizon-audiofiles-ep-089-russia-s-warning-echoes-a-hard-truth-about-afghanistan/ https://tjasibi.podbean.com/e/the-horizon-audiofiles-ep-089-russia-s-warning-echoes-a-hard-truth-about-afghanistan/#comments Thu, 07 May 2026 06:03:00 +0200 tjasibi.podbean.com/ce4844fa-7684-32b2-b9ae-049c91d5a57b Russia’s latest warning on Afghanistan matters because it lines up with the broader picture described in recent international reporting. The central issue is not whether Moscow has motives; it does. The issue is whether the underlying security assessment is credible. On that question, the evidence points in one direction. Afghanistan remains a permissive space for multiple militant actors with regional reach. That reality weakens the Taliban’s claim that Afghan soil is no longer a platform for external violence.

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]]> Russia’s latest warning on Afghanistan matters because it lines up with the broader picture described in recent international reporting. The central issue is not whether Moscow has motives; it does. The issue is whether the underlying security assessment is credible. On that question, the evidence points in one direction. Afghanistan remains a permissive space for multiple militant actors with regional reach. That reality weakens the Taliban’s claim that Afghan soil is no longer a platform for external violence.

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]]> TDHJ false No 396 95 full The Horizon Audiofiles - Ep 088 - India UAE, An Enduring Strategic Synergy The Horizon Audiofiles - Ep 088 - India UAE, An Enduring Strategic Synergy https://tjasibi.podbean.com/e/the-horizon-audiofiles-ep-088-india-uae-an-enduring-strategic-synergy/ https://tjasibi.podbean.com/e/the-horizon-audiofiles-ep-088-india-uae-an-enduring-strategic-synergy/#comments Thu, 30 Apr 2026 06:01:00 +0200 tjasibi.podbean.com/c064b578-d947-3a63-833c-2022ca020141 India and the UAE's strategic partnership has quickly ascended from a diplomatic relationship to a strong alliance encompassing commerce, energy, military, and technology. Due to their common interests in the area and their long history together, the relationship has lately grown stronger thanks to high-level visits and important agreements, such as a significant LNG contract and a Strategic Defence Partnership. This partnership not only meets India's energy and economic demands but also makes both countries important, linked players in shaping the security and economic structure of volatile West Asia, with implications for regional groups and power balances.

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]]> India and the UAE's strategic partnership has quickly ascended from a diplomatic relationship to a strong alliance encompassing commerce, energy, military, and technology. Due to their common interests in the area and their long history together, the relationship has lately grown stronger thanks to high-level visits and important agreements, such as a significant LNG contract and a Strategic Defence Partnership. This partnership not only meets India's energy and economic demands but also makes both countries important, linked players in shaping the security and economic structure of volatile West Asia, with implications for regional groups and power balances.

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]]> TDHJ false No 693 94 full The Horizon Audiofiles - Ep 087 - India’s Rudra Brigades And The New Logic Of Warfighting The Horizon Audiofiles - Ep 087 - India’s Rudra Brigades And The New Logic Of Warfighting https://tjasibi.podbean.com/e/the-horizon-audiofiles-ep-087-india-s-rudra-brigades-and-the-new-logic-of-warfighting/ https://tjasibi.podbean.com/e/the-horizon-audiofiles-ep-087-india-s-rudra-brigades-and-the-new-logic-of-warfighting/#comments Thu, 23 Apr 2026 06:01:00 +0200 tjasibi.podbean.com/3bd07aaa-e779-3796-9563-9b5bc0aec118 This article examines how Rudra Brigades operationalise India’s evolving Dynamic Response Strategy by integrating speed, precision, and jointness at the brigade level. It situates these formations within India’s broader theatreisation and force-restructuring agenda, as validated through recent exercises and operations. The analysis highlights how this shift compresses warning times, expands conventional response options, and alters crisis dynamics in South Asia. For Pakistan, the emergence of such high-readiness formations underscores the need to adapt deterrence, force posture, and crisis-management mechanisms to a changing regional security environment. Bottom-line-up-front: India’s Rudra Brigades reflect a shift toward faster, modular, multi-domain conventional options that compress crisis timelines and lower the practical threshold for limited military action in South Asia.

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]]> This article examines how Rudra Brigades operationalise India’s evolving Dynamic Response Strategy by integrating speed, precision, and jointness at the brigade level. It situates these formations within India’s broader theatreisation and force-restructuring agenda, as validated through recent exercises and operations. The analysis highlights how this shift compresses warning times, expands conventional response options, and alters crisis dynamics in South Asia. For Pakistan, the emergence of such high-readiness formations underscores the need to adapt deterrence, force posture, and crisis-management mechanisms to a changing regional security environment. Bottom-line-up-front: India’s Rudra Brigades reflect a shift toward faster, modular, multi-domain conventional options that compress crisis timelines and lower the practical threshold for limited military action in South Asia.

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]]> TDHJ false No 817 93 full The Horizon Audiofiles - Ep 086 - India's Strategic Leap In Rare Earths The Horizon Audiofiles - Ep 086 - India's Strategic Leap In Rare Earths https://tjasibi.podbean.com/e/the-horizon-audiofiles-ep-086-indias-strategic-leap-in-rare-earths/ https://tjasibi.podbean.com/e/the-horizon-audiofiles-ep-086-indias-strategic-leap-in-rare-earths/#comments Thu, 16 Apr 2026 06:03:00 +0200 tjasibi.podbean.com/46057e6e-025f-33a2-8fd7-f61c2863ccb0 India is standing at a pivotal moment to unlock its vast Rare Earth Element (REE) reserves and challenge the People’s Republic of China’s (PRC) long-standing monopoly in this critical sector. Despite holding 5.3% of global REE reserves, India contributes only a fraction of global output due to regulatory bottlenecks, a lack of refining infrastructure, and limited private-sector participation. With the PRC weaponising trade through export restrictions and end-user licensing requirements, India's automobile and electronics industries face supply shocks. However, policy reforms, including the ₹5000 crore mining scheme and amendments to the MMDR Act, have opened avenues for private exploration. Rajasthan, Odisha, and Tamil Nadu emerge as potential REE zones, while advanced technologies like solvent extraction and plasma separation offer processing alternatives.

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]]> India is standing at a pivotal moment to unlock its vast Rare Earth Element (REE) reserves and challenge the People’s Republic of China’s (PRC) long-standing monopoly in this critical sector. Despite holding 5.3% of global REE reserves, India contributes only a fraction of global output due to regulatory bottlenecks, a lack of refining infrastructure, and limited private-sector participation. With the PRC weaponising trade through export restrictions and end-user licensing requirements, India's automobile and electronics industries face supply shocks. However, policy reforms, including the ₹5000 crore mining scheme and amendments to the MMDR Act, have opened avenues for private exploration. Rajasthan, Odisha, and Tamil Nadu emerge as potential REE zones, while advanced technologies like solvent extraction and plasma separation offer processing alternatives.

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]]> TDHJ false No 1418 92 full The Horizon Audiofiles - Ep 085 - India’s Role In Navigating Multilateralism The Horizon Audiofiles - Ep 085 - India’s Role In Navigating Multilateralism https://tjasibi.podbean.com/e/the-horizon-audiofiles-ep-085-india-s-role-in-navigating-multilateralism/ https://tjasibi.podbean.com/e/the-horizon-audiofiles-ep-085-india-s-role-in-navigating-multilateralism/#comments Thu, 09 Apr 2026 06:03:00 +0200 tjasibi.podbean.com/799fd7c3-9a28-38e4-bd27-699744d0c2c2 Multilateralism so far has driven the global world order, but challenges like inefficiencies, institutional deadlocks and power imbalances have resulted in its ineffectiveness. As a result, minilateralism offers unique opportunities and alternatives for countries, particularly from the Global South, to come together and engage in a time-bound and issue-based manner on matters of mutual interest. Amidst this, India’s engagement with the Global South through a blend of multilateral and minilateral avenues provides much-needed geopolitical leverage to the South-South cooperation. Minilateralism in particular offers multiple fronts of engagement on issues that concern the region and are vital to global geopolitics.

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]]> Multilateralism so far has driven the global world order, but challenges like inefficiencies, institutional deadlocks and power imbalances have resulted in its ineffectiveness. As a result, minilateralism offers unique opportunities and alternatives for countries, particularly from the Global South, to come together and engage in a time-bound and issue-based manner on matters of mutual interest. Amidst this, India’s engagement with the Global South through a blend of multilateral and minilateral avenues provides much-needed geopolitical leverage to the South-South cooperation. Minilateralism in particular offers multiple fronts of engagement on issues that concern the region and are vital to global geopolitics.

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]]> TDHJ false No 795 91 full The Horizon Audiofiles - Ep 084 - Strategic Autonomy In The Global South The Horizon Audiofiles - Ep 084 - Strategic Autonomy In The Global South https://tjasibi.podbean.com/e/the-horizon-audiofiles-ep-084-strategic-autonomy-in-the-global-south/ https://tjasibi.podbean.com/e/the-horizon-audiofiles-ep-084-strategic-autonomy-in-the-global-south/#comments Thu, 02 Apr 2026 06:00:00 +0200 tjasibi.podbean.com/b2e04e34-6aea-3a8d-bf4e-dd61673f9973 The contemporary global politics, marked by a fragmented world order and intensified great-power rivalry, coupled with the erosion of established global norms, has significantly narrowed the strategic space for the nation-states of the global south. In response, strategic autonomy has emerged as a critical guiding principle to preserve policy independence while remaining engaged in an increasingly interdependent world. This article is an analytical account of how strategic autonomy is conceptualised and employed by Global South states amid systemic uncertainty, using India and Vietnam as case studies. It argues that strategic autonomy can be best understood not as non-alignment or isolation, but rather as a flexible strategy which incorporates diversification, hedging, and selective alignment across the diplomatic, defence, and economic spectrum.

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]]> The contemporary global politics, marked by a fragmented world order and intensified great-power rivalry, coupled with the erosion of established global norms, has significantly narrowed the strategic space for the nation-states of the global south. In response, strategic autonomy has emerged as a critical guiding principle to preserve policy independence while remaining engaged in an increasingly interdependent world. This article is an analytical account of how strategic autonomy is conceptualised and employed by Global South states amid systemic uncertainty, using India and Vietnam as case studies. It argues that strategic autonomy can be best understood not as non-alignment or isolation, but rather as a flexible strategy which incorporates diversification, hedging, and selective alignment across the diplomatic, defence, and economic spectrum.

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]]> TDHJ false No 825 90 full The Horizon Audiofiles - Ep 083 - India's Strategic Leap In Rare Earths The Horizon Audiofiles - Ep 083 - India's Strategic Leap In Rare Earths https://tjasibi.podbean.com/e/the-horizon-audiofiles-ep-083-indias-strategic-leap-in-rare-earths/ https://tjasibi.podbean.com/e/the-horizon-audiofiles-ep-083-indias-strategic-leap-in-rare-earths/#comments Thu, 19 Mar 2026 06:01:00 +0100 tjasibi.podbean.com/8617eb1a-706b-33b2-91fe-6cd9e78e6a17 India is standing at a pivotal moment to unlock its vast Rare Earth Element (REE) reserves and challenge the People’s Republic of China’s (PRC) long-standing monopoly in this critical sector. Despite holding 5.3% of global REE reserves, India contributes only a fraction of global output due to regulatory bottlenecks, a lack of refining infrastructure, and limited private-sector participation. With the PRC weaponising trade through export restrictions and end-user licensing requirements, India's automobile and electronics industries face supply shocks. However, policy reforms, including the ₹5000 crore mining scheme and amendments to the MMDR Act, have opened avenues for private exploration. Rajasthan, Odisha, and Tamil Nadu emerge as potential REE zones, while advanced technologies like solvent extraction and plasma separation offer processing alternatives.

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]]> India is standing at a pivotal moment to unlock its vast Rare Earth Element (REE) reserves and challenge the People’s Republic of China’s (PRC) long-standing monopoly in this critical sector. Despite holding 5.3% of global REE reserves, India contributes only a fraction of global output due to regulatory bottlenecks, a lack of refining infrastructure, and limited private-sector participation. With the PRC weaponising trade through export restrictions and end-user licensing requirements, India's automobile and electronics industries face supply shocks. However, policy reforms, including the ₹5000 crore mining scheme and amendments to the MMDR Act, have opened avenues for private exploration. Rajasthan, Odisha, and Tamil Nadu emerge as potential REE zones, while advanced technologies like solvent extraction and plasma separation offer processing alternatives.

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]]> TDHJ false No 1419 89 full The Horizon Audiofiles - Ep 082 - Why Strong Militaries Still Lose - Legitimacy & Strategic Failure The Horizon Audiofiles - Ep 082 - Why Strong Militaries Still Lose - Legitimacy & Strategic Failure https://tjasibi.podbean.com/e/the-horizon-audiofiles-ep-082-why-strong-militaries-still-lose-legitimacy-strategic-failure/ https://tjasibi.podbean.com/e/the-horizon-audiofiles-ep-082-why-strong-militaries-still-lose-legitimacy-strategic-failure/#comments Thu, 12 Mar 2026 06:02:00 +0100 tjasibi.podbean.com/26584394-2b1e-375a-9110-2770591b6902 This paper examines why militarily advanced states often fail to achieve their objectives through foreign policy efforts despite possessing superior forces relative to an adversary. Based on a political-strategic model, this research argues that the political legitimacy of a state with respect to its decision-making and level of strategic coherence will determine whether or not the state realises its intended objectives in conflict, whereas military capabilities are found to be less relevant than previously assumed. The research employs theoretical and conceptual arguments to provide empirical support for the claim that military defeat may result from weak political legitimacy, ambiguous objectives, dysfunctional relationships between civilian and military authorities, and a lack of flexibility in strategy formulation by a state's leaders.

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]]> This paper examines why militarily advanced states often fail to achieve their objectives through foreign policy efforts despite possessing superior forces relative to an adversary. Based on a political-strategic model, this research argues that the political legitimacy of a state with respect to its decision-making and level of strategic coherence will determine whether or not the state realises its intended objectives in conflict, whereas military capabilities are found to be less relevant than previously assumed. The research employs theoretical and conceptual arguments to provide empirical support for the claim that military defeat may result from weak political legitimacy, ambiguous objectives, dysfunctional relationships between civilian and military authorities, and a lack of flexibility in strategy formulation by a state's leaders.

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]]> TDHJ false No 1671 88 full The Horizon Audiofiles - Ep 081 - Gamification of Tactics The Horizon Audiofiles - Ep 081 - Gamification of Tactics https://tjasibi.podbean.com/e/the-horizon-audiofiles-ep-081-gamification-of-tactics/ https://tjasibi.podbean.com/e/the-horizon-audiofiles-ep-081-gamification-of-tactics/#comments Thu, 05 Mar 2026 06:02:00 +0100 tjasibi.podbean.com/e166740f-f5b2-38df-85f0-c6b513c805f7 Recent conflicts underscore the practical relevance of simulation-based and gamified approaches to military training. From the use of commercial platforms for pilot familiarisation to incentive-based systems for drone operators in Ukraine, gamified logic is increasingly shaping how military personnel train, adapt, and perform under operational conditions. Based on an exploratory field trial and drawing on the long-standing educational mandate attributed to Maria Theresa, this study frames gamification not as a technological novelty but as a contemporary medium for experiential learning. For the trial, officer cadets participated in competitive tactical scenarios using a commercial PC-based simulation (WARNO). Repeated questionnaires, an intermediate diagnostic intervention, and qualitative experiential reports were used to examine learning effects, including decision-making under time pressure, understanding of combined arms operations, and the role of structured reflection.

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]]> Recent conflicts underscore the practical relevance of simulation-based and gamified approaches to military training. From the use of commercial platforms for pilot familiarisation to incentive-based systems for drone operators in Ukraine, gamified logic is increasingly shaping how military personnel train, adapt, and perform under operational conditions. Based on an exploratory field trial and drawing on the long-standing educational mandate attributed to Maria Theresa, this study frames gamification not as a technological novelty but as a contemporary medium for experiential learning. For the trial, officer cadets participated in competitive tactical scenarios using a commercial PC-based simulation (WARNO). Repeated questionnaires, an intermediate diagnostic intervention, and qualitative experiential reports were used to examine learning effects, including decision-making under time pressure, understanding of combined arms operations, and the role of structured reflection.

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]]> TDHJ false No 1924 87 full The Horizon Audiofiles - Ep 080 - The Hidden Political Economy of Security Cooperation The Horizon Audiofiles - Ep 080 - The Hidden Political Economy of Security Cooperation https://tjasibi.podbean.com/e/the-horizon-audiofiles-ep-080-the-hidden-political-economy-of-security-cooperation/ https://tjasibi.podbean.com/e/the-horizon-audiofiles-ep-080-the-hidden-political-economy-of-security-cooperation/#comments Thu, 26 Feb 2026 06:00:00 +0100 tjasibi.podbean.com/d1f160a9-bbb8-33db-b6f8-b6d7b8497250 This paper examines how external security cooperation (SC) can reshape the political economies of fragile states. Often framed as a neutral transfer of training and equipment, SC is inherently political-economic, redistributing rents, reconfiguring authority, and altering elite bargains. The paper advances a four-mechanism framework—patronage, veto players, deterritorialisation of authority, and legitimacy—to explain how assistance can produce political dislocation, where formal capacity increases while social legitimacy erodes. Drawing on cases from South Vietnam, Afghanistan, and West Africa, it shows how technocratic reforms are absorbed into patron-client networks, empower spoilers, and weaken accountability. The paper concludes that durable outcomes depend less on aid volume than on aligning programs with political realities and prioritising legitimacy alongside capacity.

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]]> This paper examines how external security cooperation (SC) can reshape the political economies of fragile states. Often framed as a neutral transfer of training and equipment, SC is inherently political-economic, redistributing rents, reconfiguring authority, and altering elite bargains. The paper advances a four-mechanism framework—patronage, veto players, deterritorialisation of authority, and legitimacy—to explain how assistance can produce political dislocation, where formal capacity increases while social legitimacy erodes. Drawing on cases from South Vietnam, Afghanistan, and West Africa, it shows how technocratic reforms are absorbed into patron-client networks, empower spoilers, and weaken accountability. The paper concludes that durable outcomes depend less on aid volume than on aligning programs with political realities and prioritising legitimacy alongside capacity.

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]]> TDHJ false No 1432 86 full The Horizon Audiofiles - Ep 079 - Unrest In Iran And Its Possible Impacts On IND, PAK, And AFG The Horizon Audiofiles - Ep 079 - Unrest In Iran And Its Possible Impacts On IND, PAK, And AFG https://tjasibi.podbean.com/e/the-horizon-audiofiles-ep-079-unrest-in-iran-and-its-possible-impacts-on-ind-pak-and-afg/ https://tjasibi.podbean.com/e/the-horizon-audiofiles-ep-079-unrest-in-iran-and-its-possible-impacts-on-ind-pak-and-afg/#comments Thu, 19 Feb 2026 06:02:00 +0100 tjasibi.podbean.com/bb35bc14-268a-39e0-a0ca-c30fa75e4783 Cornered by the U.S.-Israel airstrikes and left vulnerable by a mass uprising in early 2026, the Islamic regime in Iran will go through certain internal changes. These changes might weaken Tehran’s grip over the region. In this backdrop, its relation with neighbours, including India, Pakistan, and Afghanistan, will shift. While India will be hoping for the emergence of a moderate regime that is open to talks with the USA, Pakistan will be hoping for a strong regime in Tehran that can put a hold on Baloch militants. On the other hand, an economically and militarily weaker government in Iran will be more inclined to cooperate with Afghanistan’s Taliban government on various issues, ranging from opium trade to water sharing.

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]]> Cornered by the U.S.-Israel airstrikes and left vulnerable by a mass uprising in early 2026, the Islamic regime in Iran will go through certain internal changes. These changes might weaken Tehran’s grip over the region. In this backdrop, its relation with neighbours, including India, Pakistan, and Afghanistan, will shift. While India will be hoping for the emergence of a moderate regime that is open to talks with the USA, Pakistan will be hoping for a strong regime in Tehran that can put a hold on Baloch militants. On the other hand, an economically and militarily weaker government in Iran will be more inclined to cooperate with Afghanistan’s Taliban government on various issues, ranging from opium trade to water sharing.

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]]> TDHJ false No 901 85 full The Horizon Audiofiles - Ep 078 - Zwischen „America First“ und Recht des Stärkeren The Horizon Audiofiles - Ep 078 - Zwischen „America First“ und Recht des Stärkeren https://tjasibi.podbean.com/e/the-horizon-audiofiles-ep-078-zwischen-%e2%80%9eamerica-first-und-recht-des-starkeren/ https://tjasibi.podbean.com/e/the-horizon-audiofiles-ep-078-zwischen-%e2%80%9eamerica-first-und-recht-des-starkeren/#comments Thu, 12 Feb 2026 06:01:00 +0100 tjasibi.podbean.com/1cbbc5b5-1408-327d-9b4f-6c5c17412c66 Die „Donroe-Doktrin“ steht für eine außenpolitische Ordnung, in der nationale Macht über das Völkerrecht und den Multilateralismus gestellt wird. Die USA beanspruchen Einflusszonen und definieren internationale Führung primär über militärische Stärke und exekutive Handlungsfreiheit. Europa verliert in diesem Ansatz an strategischem Gewicht und wird zunehmend als Hindernis wahrgenommen.

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]]> Die „Donroe-Doktrin“ steht für eine außenpolitische Ordnung, in der nationale Macht über das Völkerrecht und den Multilateralismus gestellt wird. Die USA beanspruchen Einflusszonen und definieren internationale Führung primär über militärische Stärke und exekutive Handlungsfreiheit. Europa verliert in diesem Ansatz an strategischem Gewicht und wird zunehmend als Hindernis wahrgenommen.

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]]> TDHJ false No 666 84 full The Horizon Audiofiles - Ep 077 - Learning From The Ground Up Inductive Analysis In Security Cooper The Horizon Audiofiles - Ep 077 - Learning From The Ground Up Inductive Analysis In Security Cooper https://tjasibi.podbean.com/e/the-horizon-audiofiles-ep-077-learning-from-the-ground-up-inductive-analysis-in-security-cooper/ https://tjasibi.podbean.com/e/the-horizon-audiofiles-ep-077-learning-from-the-ground-up-inductive-analysis-in-security-cooper/#comments Thu, 05 Feb 2026 06:03:00 +0100 tjasibi.podbean.com/803dd76d-0fc4-3cfb-8911-8831754a9ee1 U.S. security cooperation analysis relies heavily on deductive frameworks such as PMESII-PT and DOTMLPF-P to impose structure and comparability across complex operational environments. While these models offer analytic discipline, they often embed linear assumptions that distort political and social realities in fragile or contested settings. However, effectiveness in security cooperation depends less on deductive coherence than on inductive adaptability. Deductive tools remain valuable, but only when subordinated to inductive insight. Rebalancing operational analysis toward induction improves adaptability, reduces analytic bias, and supports more durable security outcomes.

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]]> U.S. security cooperation analysis relies heavily on deductive frameworks such as PMESII-PT and DOTMLPF-P to impose structure and comparability across complex operational environments. While these models offer analytic discipline, they often embed linear assumptions that distort political and social realities in fragile or contested settings. However, effectiveness in security cooperation depends less on deductive coherence than on inductive adaptability. Deductive tools remain valuable, but only when subordinated to inductive insight. Rebalancing operational analysis toward induction improves adaptability, reduces analytic bias, and supports more durable security outcomes.

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]]> TDHJ false No 1852 83 full The Horizon Audiofiles - Ep 076 - India’s Rudra Brigades And The New Logic Of Warfighting The Horizon Audiofiles - Ep 076 - India’s Rudra Brigades And The New Logic Of Warfighting https://tjasibi.podbean.com/e/the-horizon-audiofiles-ep-076-india-s-rudra-brigades-and-the-new-logic-of-warfighting/ https://tjasibi.podbean.com/e/the-horizon-audiofiles-ep-076-india-s-rudra-brigades-and-the-new-logic-of-warfighting/#comments Thu, 29 Jan 2026 06:01:00 +0100 tjasibi.podbean.com/1fff0233-d7b5-38b8-95cb-215809078e4e This article examines how Rudra Brigades operationalise India’s evolving Dynamic Response Strategy by integrating speed, precision, and jointness at the brigade level. It situates these formations within India’s broader theatreisation and force-restructuring agenda, as validated through recent exercises and operations. The analysis highlights how this shift compresses warning times, expands conventional response options, and alters crisis dynamics in South Asia. For Pakistan, the emergence of such high-readiness formations underscores the need to adapt deterrence, force posture, and crisis-management mechanisms to a changing regional security environment.

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]]> This article examines how Rudra Brigades operationalise India’s evolving Dynamic Response Strategy by integrating speed, precision, and jointness at the brigade level. It situates these formations within India’s broader theatreisation and force-restructuring agenda, as validated through recent exercises and operations. The analysis highlights how this shift compresses warning times, expands conventional response options, and alters crisis dynamics in South Asia. For Pakistan, the emergence of such high-readiness formations underscores the need to adapt deterrence, force posture, and crisis-management mechanisms to a changing regional security environment.

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]]> TDHJ false No 814 82 full The Horizon Audiofiles - Ep 075 - ESDC – Our Network Is Our Strength The Horizon Audiofiles - Ep 075 - ESDC – Our Network Is Our Strength https://tjasibi.podbean.com/e/the-horizon-audiofiles-ep-075-esdc-%e2%80%93-our-network-is-our-strength/ https://tjasibi.podbean.com/e/the-horizon-audiofiles-ep-075-esdc-%e2%80%93-our-network-is-our-strength/#comments Thu, 22 Jan 2026 06:02:00 +0100 tjasibi.podbean.com/8a3cec5d-bc57-311e-93b4-60ecfba8ab5c Marking its 20th anniversary in 2025, the European Security and Defence College reflects on its evolution from eight courses in 2005 to over 150 annually. This paper outlines a strategic vision for the ESDC’s future, structured around four pillars: alignment with Member States’ priorities, innovation in training, strengthening global partnerships, and deepening cooperation with Ukraine. Amid growing geopolitical challenges, the ESDC aims to enhance adaptability, quality assurance, and standardisation across its vast network. Central to this vision is the belief that the ESDC’s enduring success rests on the strength and expertise of its collaborative network.

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]]> Marking its 20th anniversary in 2025, the European Security and Defence College reflects on its evolution from eight courses in 2005 to over 150 annually. This paper outlines a strategic vision for the ESDC’s future, structured around four pillars: alignment with Member States’ priorities, innovation in training, strengthening global partnerships, and deepening cooperation with Ukraine. Amid growing geopolitical challenges, the ESDC aims to enhance adaptability, quality assurance, and standardisation across its vast network. Central to this vision is the belief that the ESDC’s enduring success rests on the strength and expertise of its collaborative network.

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]]> TDHJ false No 1160 81 full The Horizon Audiofiles - Ep 074 - How AI Can Help Build Up Societal Resilience Against Disinformation The Horizon Audiofiles - Ep 074 - How AI Can Help Build Up Societal Resilience Against Disinformation https://tjasibi.podbean.com/e/the-horizon-audiofiles-ep-074-how-ai-can-help-build-up-societal-resilience-against-disinformation/ https://tjasibi.podbean.com/e/the-horizon-audiofiles-ep-074-how-ai-can-help-build-up-societal-resilience-against-disinformation/#comments Thu, 15 Jan 2026 06:07:00 +0100 tjasibi.podbean.com/9da5c3f9-6e0b-3377-b2c1-277e397a1994 Disinformation, amplified by algorithms and AI, undermines trust in institutions and fuels social polarisation. While major disinformation campaigns exist, their real impact on opinion formation and democratic processes remains empirically uncertain. The greater danger lies in the exaggerated perception of disinformation’s power, which, in turn, erodes public trust. Comparative studies reveal that low media and digital literacy correlate strongly with societal vulnerability to false information. Effective responses thus require realism rather than panic: promoting critical thinking, media and AI literacy, and transparent digital governance. Ultimately, combating disinformation means strengthening trust, not amplifying fear.

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]]> Disinformation, amplified by algorithms and AI, undermines trust in institutions and fuels social polarisation. While major disinformation campaigns exist, their real impact on opinion formation and democratic processes remains empirically uncertain. The greater danger lies in the exaggerated perception of disinformation’s power, which, in turn, erodes public trust. Comparative studies reveal that low media and digital literacy correlate strongly with societal vulnerability to false information. Effective responses thus require realism rather than panic: promoting critical thinking, media and AI literacy, and transparent digital governance. Ultimately, combating disinformation means strengthening trust, not amplifying fear.

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]]> TDHJ false No 808 80 full The Horizon Audiofiles - Ep 073 - Support To Media And The Information Environment The Horizon Audiofiles - Ep 073 - Support To Media And The Information Environment https://tjasibi.podbean.com/e/the-horizon-audiofiles-ep-073-support-to-media-and-the-information-environment/ https://tjasibi.podbean.com/e/the-horizon-audiofiles-ep-073-support-to-media-and-the-information-environment/#comments Thu, 08 Jan 2026 06:02:00 +0100 tjasibi.podbean.com/06eb025c-7da5-3349-9bc4-ce7cb92f124c In an era marked by enhanced democratic backsliding worldwide, access to independent, reliable information becomes even more vital for democracy and must be protected – and promoted. However, the pluralistic and independent nature of the information environment is increasingly constrained by economic pressures on independent media outlets and by the growing prevalence of disinformation. Against this backdrop, this article explores how media support can be ensured as a strategic element in safeguarding information integrity and democratic resilience during times of crisis. Outlining the work of the Team Europe Democracy (TED) Initiative on information integrity shows that breaking down silos, enforcing multistakeholder engagement, and mainstreaming information integrity across sectors are essential steps forward.

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]]> In an era marked by enhanced democratic backsliding worldwide, access to independent, reliable information becomes even more vital for democracy and must be protected – and promoted. However, the pluralistic and independent nature of the information environment is increasingly constrained by economic pressures on independent media outlets and by the growing prevalence of disinformation. Against this backdrop, this article explores how media support can be ensured as a strategic element in safeguarding information integrity and democratic resilience during times of crisis. Outlining the work of the Team Europe Democracy (TED) Initiative on information integrity shows that breaking down silos, enforcing multistakeholder engagement, and mainstreaming information integrity across sectors are essential steps forward.

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]]> TDHJ false No 1188 79 full The Horizon Audiofiles - Ep 071 - AI In Cyber And The UN’s Role In Competitive Global Disorder The Horizon Audiofiles - Ep 071 - AI In Cyber And The UN’s Role In Competitive Global Disorder https://tjasibi.podbean.com/e/the-horizon-audiofiles-ep-071-ai-in-cyber-and-the-un-s-role-in-competitive-global-disorder-1766847049/ https://tjasibi.podbean.com/e/the-horizon-audiofiles-ep-071-ai-in-cyber-and-the-un-s-role-in-competitive-global-disorder-1766847049/#comments Thu, 01 Jan 2026 06:02:00 +0100 tjasibi.podbean.com/bca28314-d51c-3a04-95e2-95447b234bdf AI systems have transformed cyber defence by enabling self-protecting, self-healing, and predictive defence systems, but they also transform cyberattacks by opening new attack vectors and supporting advanced cyber offensive capabilities. This article examines how AI is leveraged in cyberattacks and operations, with selected examples of the “big four” states adversarial to the Western alliances—China, Russia, Iran, and North Korea. The use of ever-improving AI-augmented cyberattack capabilities increases the risks of escalation and destabilisation in international peace and security. The UN has addressed several gaps in multilateral governance, while like-minded minilateral coalitions are instrumental for norm-setting and operational guardrails. However, these laudable efforts will have a limited impact as long as the main AI cyber powers are either unwilling or unlikely to allow their AI capabilities to be meaningfully constrained.

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]]> AI systems have transformed cyber defence by enabling self-protecting, self-healing, and predictive defence systems, but they also transform cyberattacks by opening new attack vectors and supporting advanced cyber offensive capabilities. This article examines how AI is leveraged in cyberattacks and operations, with selected examples of the “big four” states adversarial to the Western alliances—China, Russia, Iran, and North Korea. The use of ever-improving AI-augmented cyberattack capabilities increases the risks of escalation and destabilisation in international peace and security. The UN has addressed several gaps in multilateral governance, while like-minded minilateral coalitions are instrumental for norm-setting and operational guardrails. However, these laudable efforts will have a limited impact as long as the main AI cyber powers are either unwilling or unlikely to allow their AI capabilities to be meaningfully constrained.

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]]> TDHJ false No 1409 78 full The Horizon Audiofiles - Ep 071 - AI In Cyber And The UN’s Role In Competitive Global Disorder The Horizon Audiofiles - Ep 071 - AI In Cyber And The UN’s Role In Competitive Global Disorder https://tjasibi.podbean.com/e/the-horizon-audiofiles-ep-071-ai-in-cyber-and-the-un-s-role-in-competitive-global-disorder/ https://tjasibi.podbean.com/e/the-horizon-audiofiles-ep-071-ai-in-cyber-and-the-un-s-role-in-competitive-global-disorder/#comments Thu, 25 Dec 2025 06:00:00 +0100 tjasibi.podbean.com/6c388a1b-33ef-3ced-aae2-3a763654e899 AI systems have transformed cyber defence by enabling self-protecting, self-healing, and predictive defence systems, but they also transform cyberattacks by opening new attack vectors and supporting advanced cyber offensive capabilities. This article examines how AI is leveraged in cyberattacks and operations, with selected examples of the “big four” states adversarial to the Western alliances—China, Russia, Iran, and North Korea. The use of ever-improving AI-augmented cyberattack capabilities increases the risks of escalation and destabilisation in international peace and security. The UN has addressed several gaps in multilateral governance, while like-minded minilateral coalitions are instrumental for norm-setting and operational guardrails. However, these laudable efforts will have a limited impact as long as the main AI cyber powers are either unwilling or unlikely to allow their AI capabilities to be meaningfully constrained.

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]]> AI systems have transformed cyber defence by enabling self-protecting, self-healing, and predictive defence systems, but they also transform cyberattacks by opening new attack vectors and supporting advanced cyber offensive capabilities. This article examines how AI is leveraged in cyberattacks and operations, with selected examples of the “big four” states adversarial to the Western alliances—China, Russia, Iran, and North Korea. The use of ever-improving AI-augmented cyberattack capabilities increases the risks of escalation and destabilisation in international peace and security. The UN has addressed several gaps in multilateral governance, while like-minded minilateral coalitions are instrumental for norm-setting and operational guardrails. However, these laudable efforts will have a limited impact as long as the main AI cyber powers are either unwilling or unlikely to allow their AI capabilities to be meaningfully constrained.

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]]> TDHJ false No 1690 77 full The Horizon Audiofiles - Ep 070 - Challenges And Opportunities In A Dynamic Cyber Hybrid Landscape The Horizon Audiofiles - Ep 070 - Challenges And Opportunities In A Dynamic Cyber Hybrid Landscape https://tjasibi.podbean.com/e/the-horizon-audiofiles-ep-070-challenges-and-opportunities-in-a-dynamic-cyber-hybrid-landscape/ https://tjasibi.podbean.com/e/the-horizon-audiofiles-ep-070-challenges-and-opportunities-in-a-dynamic-cyber-hybrid-landscape/#comments Fri, 19 Dec 2025 09:17:28 +0100 tjasibi.podbean.com/00c86999-9644-3684-80ff-b7af94bcf476 The article contends that security is now defined as much by protecting cognition as by defending machines or borders, with hybrid threats targeting both technological systems and human perception through advanced AI, deepfakes, and automated manipulation tools. As AI becomes integral to defence, the article emphasises the necessity of rigorous, ethical governance guided by frameworks such as NIST and UNESCO to ensure transparency, accountability, and fairness. It highlights the rise of cognitive encryption and self-learning AI as key to proactively defending against narrative manipulation, bias, and emerging hybrid threats, arguing that responsible innovation, which is grounded in ethical principles and continuous oversight, is vital for maintaining both national sovereignty and the integrity of human judgment in a world where defence must bridge the gap between technology and the human mind.

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]]> The article contends that security is now defined as much by protecting cognition as by defending machines or borders, with hybrid threats targeting both technological systems and human perception through advanced AI, deepfakes, and automated manipulation tools. As AI becomes integral to defence, the article emphasises the necessity of rigorous, ethical governance guided by frameworks such as NIST and UNESCO to ensure transparency, accountability, and fairness. It highlights the rise of cognitive encryption and self-learning AI as key to proactively defending against narrative manipulation, bias, and emerging hybrid threats, arguing that responsible innovation, which is grounded in ethical principles and continuous oversight, is vital for maintaining both national sovereignty and the integrity of human judgment in a world where defence must bridge the gap between technology and the human mind.

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]]> TDHJ false No 1159 76 full The Horizon Audiofiles - Ep 069 - Cybersecurity, Ethical Governance, And The Risks Of AI Integration The Horizon Audiofiles - Ep 069 - Cybersecurity, Ethical Governance, And The Risks Of AI Integration https://tjasibi.podbean.com/e/the-horizon-audiofiles-ep-069-cybersecurity-ethical-governance-and-the-risks-of-ai-integration/ https://tjasibi.podbean.com/e/the-horizon-audiofiles-ep-069-cybersecurity-ethical-governance-and-the-risks-of-ai-integration/#comments Thu, 11 Dec 2025 06:00:00 +0100 tjasibi.podbean.com/a98f975f-922e-3eb1-8959-cfa978e99d26 The article contends that security is now defined as much by protecting cognition as by defending machines or borders, with hybrid threats targeting both technological systems and human perception through advanced AI, deepfakes, and automated manipulation tools. As AI becomes integral to defence, the article emphasises the necessity of rigorous, ethical governance guided by frameworks such as NIST and UNESCO to ensure transparency, accountability, and fairness. It highlights the rise of cognitive encryption and self-learning AI as key to proactively defending against narrative manipulation, bias, and emerging hybrid threats, arguing that responsible innovation, which is grounded in ethical principles and continuous oversight, is vital for maintaining both national sovereignty and the integrity of human judgment in a world where defence must bridge the gap between technology and the human mind.

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]]> The article contends that security is now defined as much by protecting cognition as by defending machines or borders, with hybrid threats targeting both technological systems and human perception through advanced AI, deepfakes, and automated manipulation tools. As AI becomes integral to defence, the article emphasises the necessity of rigorous, ethical governance guided by frameworks such as NIST and UNESCO to ensure transparency, accountability, and fairness. It highlights the rise of cognitive encryption and self-learning AI as key to proactively defending against narrative manipulation, bias, and emerging hybrid threats, arguing that responsible innovation, which is grounded in ethical principles and continuous oversight, is vital for maintaining both national sovereignty and the integrity of human judgment in a world where defence must bridge the gap between technology and the human mind.

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]]> TDHJ false No 669 75 full The Horizon Audiofiles - Ep 068 - The Future Challenges And Solutions Of Cybersecurity The Horizon Audiofiles - Ep 068 - The Future Challenges And Solutions Of Cybersecurity https://tjasibi.podbean.com/e/the-horizon-audiofiles-ep-068-the-future-challenges-and-solutions-of-cybersecurity/ https://tjasibi.podbean.com/e/the-horizon-audiofiles-ep-068-the-future-challenges-and-solutions-of-cybersecurity/#comments Thu, 04 Dec 2025 06:03:00 +0100 tjasibi.podbean.com/984c228e-9a32-3d2e-8d05-5f479d942d62 Critical communication faces new challenges in terms of cybersecurity in the future. Lessons from Ukraine need to be understood and incorporated to better prepare modern societies. The rapid advancement of technology provides new solutions but also introduces more challenges. Being able to upgrade or adapt old systems to new technology rather than replace them entirely is more important than ever. Concepts such as physical and digital resilience, as well as dual-use systems and artificial intelligence, play a key role in developing solutions to future challenges. Cooperation between different actors and sectors of society is pivotal.

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]]> Critical communication faces new challenges in terms of cybersecurity in the future. Lessons from Ukraine need to be understood and incorporated to better prepare modern societies. The rapid advancement of technology provides new solutions but also introduces more challenges. Being able to upgrade or adapt old systems to new technology rather than replace them entirely is more important than ever. Concepts such as physical and digital resilience, as well as dual-use systems and artificial intelligence, play a key role in developing solutions to future challenges. Cooperation between different actors and sectors of society is pivotal.

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]]> TDHJ false No 1142 74 full The Horizon Audiofiles - Ep 067 - Defining Cognitive Warfare: Maximalist versus Minimalist Approach The Horizon Audiofiles - Ep 067 - Defining Cognitive Warfare: Maximalist versus Minimalist Approach https://tjasibi.podbean.com/e/the-horizon-audiofiles-ep-067-defining-cognitive-warfare-maximalist-versus-minimalist-approach/ https://tjasibi.podbean.com/e/the-horizon-audiofiles-ep-067-defining-cognitive-warfare-maximalist-versus-minimalist-approach/#comments Thu, 27 Nov 2025 06:01:00 +0100 tjasibi.podbean.com/a637999b-c3dd-313e-aad3-7448adc91913 Given the relevance, evolution, and proliferation of cognitive warfare in the modern age, it is necessary to delve deeper into the concept to gain an empirical understanding that can inform future policies and practices. Accordingly, a systematic literature review was carried out to define the concept in relation to six key aspects, namely its demarcation from adjacent fields, the actors involved, the targets of cognitive attacks, as well as the significance of cyberspace, the lawfulness, and the role of intent. Additionally, these aspects were analysed through the lenses of the two main schools of thought currently dominating cognitive warfare–namely a minimalist and maximalist approach. Even though both perspectives add valuable aspects to the conceptualisation of cognitive warfare, the maximalist interpretation is preferable due to its ability to reflect more accurately the current scope and understanding of what cognitive warfare entails.

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]]> Given the relevance, evolution, and proliferation of cognitive warfare in the modern age, it is necessary to delve deeper into the concept to gain an empirical understanding that can inform future policies and practices. Accordingly, a systematic literature review was carried out to define the concept in relation to six key aspects, namely its demarcation from adjacent fields, the actors involved, the targets of cognitive attacks, as well as the significance of cyberspace, the lawfulness, and the role of intent. Additionally, these aspects were analysed through the lenses of the two main schools of thought currently dominating cognitive warfare–namely a minimalist and maximalist approach. Even though both perspectives add valuable aspects to the conceptualisation of cognitive warfare, the maximalist interpretation is preferable due to its ability to reflect more accurately the current scope and understanding of what cognitive warfare entails.

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]]> TDHJ false No 1827 73 full The Horizon Audiofiles - Ep 066 - Deterrence And The Need For Strategic Culture In Germany The Horizon Audiofiles - Ep 066 - Deterrence And The Need For Strategic Culture In Germany https://tjasibi.podbean.com/e/the-horizon-audiofiles-ep-066-deterrence-and-the-need-for-strategic-culture-in-germany/ https://tjasibi.podbean.com/e/the-horizon-audiofiles-ep-066-deterrence-and-the-need-for-strategic-culture-in-germany/#comments Thu, 20 Nov 2025 06:02:00 +0100 tjasibi.podbean.com/c4fdea2d-27f4-32a6-89c4-6431a4888ca3 This essay examines Germany's lack of strategic culture and its implications for deterrence and security policy. Written in the aftermath of the MSC 2025 and the context of growing geopolitical instability, it highlights how Europe’s reliance on the United States, combined with a weak defence mindset, undermines the ability to deter adversaries. The analysis compares Germany’s approach to security with that of France, the UK and smaller European states, demonstrating how strategic autonomy, societal resilience and military readiness contribute to credible deterrence. Additionally, it emphasises the need for a more proactive and engaged public discourse on security matters.

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]]> This essay examines Germany's lack of strategic culture and its implications for deterrence and security policy. Written in the aftermath of the MSC 2025 and the context of growing geopolitical instability, it highlights how Europe’s reliance on the United States, combined with a weak defence mindset, undermines the ability to deter adversaries. The analysis compares Germany’s approach to security with that of France, the UK and smaller European states, demonstrating how strategic autonomy, societal resilience and military readiness contribute to credible deterrence. Additionally, it emphasises the need for a more proactive and engaged public discourse on security matters.

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]]> TDHJ false No 1866 72 full The Horizon Audiofiles - Ep 065 - AI Enabled Cyberspace Operations The Horizon Audiofiles - Ep 065 - AI Enabled Cyberspace Operations https://tjasibi.podbean.com/e/the-horizon-audiofiles-ep-065-ai-enabled-cyberspace-operations/ https://tjasibi.podbean.com/e/the-horizon-audiofiles-ep-065-ai-enabled-cyberspace-operations/#comments Thu, 13 Nov 2025 06:00:00 +0100 tjasibi.podbean.com/d29d77d6-08de-3e1e-bddb-6e0bc6b9dc8d Artificial intelligence is reshaping the offence–defence balance in cyberspace. Drawing on recent cases (PromptLock ransomware, Auto-Exploit pipelines, and the Air Force’s DASH wargame) and a systematic review of academic articles, this study examines how AI alters tempo, cost, and thresholds in cyberspace operations. Findings show that AI accelerates offensive exploitation, enables polymorphism, and lowers expertise requirements, while defence depends on machine-speed decision support constrained by institutional readiness. The short-term tilt favours offence, yet policy-aware autonomy and resilient governance can restore partial parity. AI functions as a structural force influencing the trajectory of state competition in cyberspace.

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]]> Artificial intelligence is reshaping the offence–defence balance in cyberspace. Drawing on recent cases (PromptLock ransomware, Auto-Exploit pipelines, and the Air Force’s DASH wargame) and a systematic review of academic articles, this study examines how AI alters tempo, cost, and thresholds in cyberspace operations. Findings show that AI accelerates offensive exploitation, enables polymorphism, and lowers expertise requirements, while defence depends on machine-speed decision support constrained by institutional readiness. The short-term tilt favours offence, yet policy-aware autonomy and resilient governance can restore partial parity. AI functions as a structural force influencing the trajectory of state competition in cyberspace.

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]]> TDHJ false No 1871 71 full The Horizon Audiofiles - Ep 064 - Warum Massenproduktion eine Frage der nationalen Sicherheit ist The Horizon Audiofiles - Ep 064 - Warum Massenproduktion eine Frage der nationalen Sicherheit ist https://tjasibi.podbean.com/e/the-horizon-audiofiles-ep-064-warum-massenproduktion-eine-frage-der-nationalen-sicherheit-ist/ https://tjasibi.podbean.com/e/the-horizon-audiofiles-ep-064-warum-massenproduktion-eine-frage-der-nationalen-sicherheit-ist/#comments Thu, 06 Nov 2025 06:02:00 +0100 tjasibi.podbean.com/3f8b3333-5ef6-3cfb-ae9e-543178b698eb Die westliche Sicherheit wird durch eine strukturelle Kluft zwischen Marktanreizen und Verteidigungsbedürfnissen untergraben: Märkte belohnen Effizienz und kurzfristige Margen, während Rüstung und Sicherheit hingegen Redundanz, Resilienz und Skalierung erfordern. Nur großvolumige Fertigung ermöglicht Lernkurven, technologische Führungsfähigkeit und strategische Souveränität, die aber nur mit geringen Profitmargen einhergehen.

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]]> Die westliche Sicherheit wird durch eine strukturelle Kluft zwischen Marktanreizen und Verteidigungsbedürfnissen untergraben: Märkte belohnen Effizienz und kurzfristige Margen, während Rüstung und Sicherheit hingegen Redundanz, Resilienz und Skalierung erfordern. Nur großvolumige Fertigung ermöglicht Lernkurven, technologische Führungsfähigkeit und strategische Souveränität, die aber nur mit geringen Profitmargen einhergehen.

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]]> TDHJ false No 870 70 full The Horizon Audiofiles - Ep 063 - Challenges And Opportunities In A Dynamic Cyber Hybrid Landscape The Horizon Audiofiles - Ep 063 - Challenges And Opportunities In A Dynamic Cyber Hybrid Landscape https://tjasibi.podbean.com/e/the-horizon-audiofiles-ep-063-challenges-and-opportunities-in-a-dynamic-cyber-hybrid-landscape/ https://tjasibi.podbean.com/e/the-horizon-audiofiles-ep-063-challenges-and-opportunities-in-a-dynamic-cyber-hybrid-landscape/#comments Thu, 30 Oct 2025 06:00:00 +0100 tjasibi.podbean.com/2d1e85d5-817b-3f31-9904-00314bafc05f The cyber threat landscape has grown in scale, sophistication and complexity due to advancements in AI. This evolution can be observed across multiple threat vectors, including cyber-enabled fraud, supply chain attacks, malicious insiders, and disinformation. To fully assess their impact, it is essential to consider their synergistic effects. Meanwhile, the opportunities in cybersecurity are both formidable and exciting, provided the associated risks are properly addressed. Apart from the automation, evolution, and scaling of cyber defence, it is relevant to consider the substantial potential for reducing the attack surface and disrupting adversarial behaviour.

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]]> The cyber threat landscape has grown in scale, sophistication and complexity due to advancements in AI. This evolution can be observed across multiple threat vectors, including cyber-enabled fraud, supply chain attacks, malicious insiders, and disinformation. To fully assess their impact, it is essential to consider their synergistic effects. Meanwhile, the opportunities in cybersecurity are both formidable and exciting, provided the associated risks are properly addressed. Apart from the automation, evolution, and scaling of cyber defence, it is relevant to consider the substantial potential for reducing the attack surface and disrupting adversarial behaviour.

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]]> TDHJ false No 1162 69 full The Horizon Audiofiles - Ep 062 - Nuclear Disarmament & Just Transitions The Horizon Audiofiles - Ep 062 - Nuclear Disarmament & Just Transitions https://tjasibi.podbean.com/e/the-horizon-audiofiles-ep-062-nuclear-disarmament-just-transitions/ https://tjasibi.podbean.com/e/the-horizon-audiofiles-ep-062-nuclear-disarmament-just-transitions/#comments Thu, 23 Oct 2025 06:02:00 +0200 tjasibi.podbean.com/1db22edd-e520-33e2-8aee-1c7cc937a272 With a renewed focus on nuclear stockpiling among certain state actors, there is an urgent need to identify successful pathways for nuclear disarmament. History has demonstrated that this is an achievable goal, with important lessons for contemporary security discourse and policy. The potential lessons extend beyond purely security dividends, with potential contributions to economic and environmental discourses as well. The case presented in this contribution - titled at different times the HEU Deal, the Grand Uranium Bargain, or Megatons to Megawatts M2M - was the product of sustained cooperation between enemies (USA - USSR/Russia) and multiple stakeholders. It was an early, still little-known, yet useful component of just transitions to climate-compatible societies. The positive results of this actual cooperative disarmament case significantly contribute to the moral argument for nuclear disarmament with a practical, almost utilitarian rationale. The larger framework of transitions to climate-compatible societies creates a broader motivational framework that must be employed to properly evaluate the results of actual nuclear disarmament cases and the need for sustained cooperation.

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]]> With a renewed focus on nuclear stockpiling among certain state actors, there is an urgent need to identify successful pathways for nuclear disarmament. History has demonstrated that this is an achievable goal, with important lessons for contemporary security discourse and policy. The potential lessons extend beyond purely security dividends, with potential contributions to economic and environmental discourses as well. The case presented in this contribution - titled at different times the HEU Deal, the Grand Uranium Bargain, or Megatons to Megawatts M2M - was the product of sustained cooperation between enemies (USA - USSR/Russia) and multiple stakeholders. It was an early, still little-known, yet useful component of just transitions to climate-compatible societies. The positive results of this actual cooperative disarmament case significantly contribute to the moral argument for nuclear disarmament with a practical, almost utilitarian rationale. The larger framework of transitions to climate-compatible societies creates a broader motivational framework that must be employed to properly evaluate the results of actual nuclear disarmament cases and the need for sustained cooperation.

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]]> TDHJ false No 1188 68 full The Horizon Audiofiles - Ep 061 - Balancing Speed And Stability In The Energy Transition The Horizon Audiofiles - Ep 061 - Balancing Speed And Stability In The Energy Transition https://tjasibi.podbean.com/e/the-horizon-audiofiles-ep-061-balancing-speed-and-stability-in-the-energy-transition/ https://tjasibi.podbean.com/e/the-horizon-audiofiles-ep-061-balancing-speed-and-stability-in-the-energy-transition/#comments Thu, 16 Oct 2025 06:10:00 +0200 tjasibi.podbean.com/cbd92a70-9d6b-36fe-9c41-7e7e085c9aab The global energy transition faces a fundamental challenge: how to accelerate renewable energy deployment while maintaining systemic stability and social equity. This research examines the principle of "as fast as possible, as slow as necessary" through a qualitative analysis of governance approaches, social acceptance mechanisms, and case studies from Latin America and Denmark. Using literature review and comparative case study methodology, we analyse how different governance models influence transition pacing and outcomes. Our findings reveal that hybrid governance models, combining centralised policy frameworks with decentralised community participation, offer the most viable pathway for balancing rapid decarbonization with systemic stability. The study demonstrates that social acceptance is a critical determinant of feasible transition pace, with energy communities serving as effective mechanisms for redistributing power and enhancing participation. Denmark's experience illustrates the successful integration of high renewable energy shares through consistent policy frameworks and community engagement. At the same time, Latin American cases highlight the importance of addressing distributional justice and cultural considerations. The research concludes that optimal energy transition pacing requires differentiated approaches across sectors, sequenced implementation strategies, and continuous adaptation to local contexts. These insights provide a framework for policymakers seeking to navigate the complex trade-offs between speed and stability in energy transitions.

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]]> The global energy transition faces a fundamental challenge: how to accelerate renewable energy deployment while maintaining systemic stability and social equity. This research examines the principle of "as fast as possible, as slow as necessary" through a qualitative analysis of governance approaches, social acceptance mechanisms, and case studies from Latin America and Denmark. Using literature review and comparative case study methodology, we analyse how different governance models influence transition pacing and outcomes. Our findings reveal that hybrid governance models, combining centralised policy frameworks with decentralised community participation, offer the most viable pathway for balancing rapid decarbonization with systemic stability. The study demonstrates that social acceptance is a critical determinant of feasible transition pace, with energy communities serving as effective mechanisms for redistributing power and enhancing participation. Denmark's experience illustrates the successful integration of high renewable energy shares through consistent policy frameworks and community engagement. At the same time, Latin American cases highlight the importance of addressing distributional justice and cultural considerations. The research concludes that optimal energy transition pacing requires differentiated approaches across sectors, sequenced implementation strategies, and continuous adaptation to local contexts. These insights provide a framework for policymakers seeking to navigate the complex trade-offs between speed and stability in energy transitions.

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]]> TDHJ false No 1745 67 full The Horizon Audiofiles - Ep 060 - India’s Climate InAction Is Crucial For Global InStability The Horizon Audiofiles - Ep 060 - India’s Climate InAction Is Crucial For Global InStability https://tjasibi.podbean.com/e/the-horizon-audiofiles-ep-060-india-s-climate-inaction-is-crucial-for-global-instability/ https://tjasibi.podbean.com/e/the-horizon-audiofiles-ep-060-india-s-climate-inaction-is-crucial-for-global-instability/#comments Thu, 09 Oct 2025 06:02:00 +0200 tjasibi.podbean.com/223b5b73-9d3f-35b6-b12c-6820957391f3 India’s climate action trajectory holds immense implications for both national resilience and global climate stability. As the world’s most populous country, with a rapidly expanding economy and a young, skilled workforce, India finds itself at a strategic crossroads. This essay evaluates India’s current mitigation efforts, adaptation vulnerabilities, and the global implications of its energy and climate choices. With significant socio-economic disparities, geographical exposures, and political constraints, India presents both a risk and an opportunity for the global climate regime.

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]]> India’s climate action trajectory holds immense implications for both national resilience and global climate stability. As the world’s most populous country, with a rapidly expanding economy and a young, skilled workforce, India finds itself at a strategic crossroads. This essay evaluates India’s current mitigation efforts, adaptation vulnerabilities, and the global implications of its energy and climate choices. With significant socio-economic disparities, geographical exposures, and political constraints, India presents both a risk and an opportunity for the global climate regime.

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]]> TDHJ false No 1348 66 full The Horizon Audiofiles - Ep 059 - Dimensions In Defence-Critical Contexts The Horizon Audiofiles - Ep 059 - Dimensions In Defence-Critical Contexts https://tjasibi.podbean.com/e/the-horizon-audiofiles-ep-059-dimensions-in-defence-critical-contexts/ https://tjasibi.podbean.com/e/the-horizon-audiofiles-ep-059-dimensions-in-defence-critical-contexts/#comments Thu, 25 Sep 2025 09:17:05 +0200 tjasibi.podbean.com/61811f6b-dd10-38e0-a5e6-f5e03a5bfca7 Artificial Intelligence is transforming the functioning and interaction of weapon systems and changing how battles are fought. That said, there are still many unresolved questions regarding the safety and security of AI systems. The core concern is that military organisations must adopt a multifaceted approach to effectively manage AI-associated risks, combining technical measures with organisational adaptability. This can only be achieved by considering institutional mechanisms as well as software and hardware in the context of AI development. By addressing these challenges, military organisations can navigate the evolving landscape of AI more securely while enhancing their operational efficiency and effectiveness.

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]]> Artificial Intelligence is transforming the functioning and interaction of weapon systems and changing how battles are fought. That said, there are still many unresolved questions regarding the safety and security of AI systems. The core concern is that military organisations must adopt a multifaceted approach to effectively manage AI-associated risks, combining technical measures with organisational adaptability. This can only be achieved by considering institutional mechanisms as well as software and hardware in the context of AI development. By addressing these challenges, military organisations can navigate the evolving landscape of AI more securely while enhancing their operational efficiency and effectiveness.

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]]> TDHJ false No 1751 65 full The Horizon Audiofiles - Ep 058 - The Future Of Maritime Interactions In The Age of AI The Horizon Audiofiles - Ep 058 - The Future Of Maritime Interactions In The Age of AI https://tjasibi.podbean.com/e/the-horizon-audiofiles-ep-058-the-future-of-maritime-interactions-in-the-age-of-ai/ https://tjasibi.podbean.com/e/the-horizon-audiofiles-ep-058-the-future-of-maritime-interactions-in-the-age-of-ai/#comments Thu, 18 Sep 2025 06:04:00 +0200 tjasibi.podbean.com/f43bb7ba-de8d-3a11-8a3d-22e7cc246185 Artificial Intelligence is transforming warfare on land, in the air, and above all—for this paper—at sea. AI is not only enhancing non-kinetic dimensions, such as information dominance, cyber operations, and decision-making processes, but is also amplifying the effectiveness of kinetic means. Recent conflicts have demonstrated how AI-enabled systems are used to deter, degrade, and destroy enemy assets, reshaping both the physical and virtual battlefields. This change necessitates a new perspective on military operations, where AI and digital technology are seamlessly integrated from planning to logistics.

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]]> Artificial Intelligence is transforming warfare on land, in the air, and above all—for this paper—at sea. AI is not only enhancing non-kinetic dimensions, such as information dominance, cyber operations, and decision-making processes, but is also amplifying the effectiveness of kinetic means. Recent conflicts have demonstrated how AI-enabled systems are used to deter, degrade, and destroy enemy assets, reshaping both the physical and virtual battlefields. This change necessitates a new perspective on military operations, where AI and digital technology are seamlessly integrated from planning to logistics.

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]]> TDHJ false No 1585 64 full The Horizon Audiofiles - Ep 057 - The Impact Of Automation On Combat Effectiveness The Horizon Audiofiles - Ep 057 - The Impact Of Automation On Combat Effectiveness https://tjasibi.podbean.com/e/the-horizon-audiofiles-ep-057-the-impact-of-automation-on-combat-effectiveness/ https://tjasibi.podbean.com/e/the-horizon-audiofiles-ep-057-the-impact-of-automation-on-combat-effectiveness/#comments Thu, 11 Sep 2025 06:00:00 +0200 tjasibi.podbean.com/3203c998-d4ab-37d2-a8c5-9ddc4182aedb This study examines the relationship between the level of automation in warfare and combat effectiveness, focusing on unmanned combat systems (UCS). As the Republic of Korea faces a significant decline in the availability of military personnel due to demographic changes, UCS adoption has become a critical priority. While UCSs are anticipated to surpass human combatants in operational efficiency, they require substantial maintenance and repair resources. Using an agent-based model adapted from ecological frameworks, this study simulates conflict scenarios involving two opposing groups. Simulation results show that UCS units consistently outperform human combatants and play a substantial role in reducing the duration of conflict. These findings highlight the complex interplay between UCS, human soldiers, and maintenance personnel, suggesting that simply augmenting the combat effectiveness of human troops does not necessarily guarantee victory.

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]]> This study examines the relationship between the level of automation in warfare and combat effectiveness, focusing on unmanned combat systems (UCS). As the Republic of Korea faces a significant decline in the availability of military personnel due to demographic changes, UCS adoption has become a critical priority. While UCSs are anticipated to surpass human combatants in operational efficiency, they require substantial maintenance and repair resources. Using an agent-based model adapted from ecological frameworks, this study simulates conflict scenarios involving two opposing groups. Simulation results show that UCS units consistently outperform human combatants and play a substantial role in reducing the duration of conflict. These findings highlight the complex interplay between UCS, human soldiers, and maintenance personnel, suggesting that simply augmenting the combat effectiveness of human troops does not necessarily guarantee victory.

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]]> TDHJ false No 2120 63 full The Horizon Audiofiles - Ep 056 - Describing The Security Cooperation Dilemma The Horizon Audiofiles - Ep 056 - Describing The Security Cooperation Dilemma https://tjasibi.podbean.com/e/the-horizon-audiofiles-ep-056-describing-the-security-cooperation-dilemma/ https://tjasibi.podbean.com/e/the-horizon-audiofiles-ep-056-describing-the-security-cooperation-dilemma/#comments Thu, 04 Sep 2025 06:02:00 +0200 tjasibi.podbean.com/06658f30-638a-34a8-ba26-a9bf5fce0bf7 This paper explores the persistent tensions within U.S. security cooperation, where efforts to build partner capacity often collide with the realities of sovereignty, hierarchy, and risk. Although designed to enhance global stability, security cooperation initiatives frequently impose on partner autonomy, revealing the hierarchical nature of the international system beneath the rhetoric of equal partnership. Drawing from strategic theory and operational experience, the paper introduces the "security cooperation dilemma," highlighting the twin fears of entrapment for the dominant power and abandonment for the partner. It criticises existing Department of Defense (DOD) frameworks, especially the Significant Security Cooperation Initiative Construct (SSCIC), for inadequately addressing political willingness and absorptive capacity. The analysis argues that political commitment is a function of risk, particularly physical and political, and should be observed through tangible actions rather than verbal assurances. The study concludes by advocating for a recalibration of security cooperation practices, emphasising strategic patience, realistic timelines, and a rigorous focus on genuine political commitment and risk absorption as prerequisites for sustainable security cooperation success.

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]]> This paper explores the persistent tensions within U.S. security cooperation, where efforts to build partner capacity often collide with the realities of sovereignty, hierarchy, and risk. Although designed to enhance global stability, security cooperation initiatives frequently impose on partner autonomy, revealing the hierarchical nature of the international system beneath the rhetoric of equal partnership. Drawing from strategic theory and operational experience, the paper introduces the "security cooperation dilemma," highlighting the twin fears of entrapment for the dominant power and abandonment for the partner. It criticises existing Department of Defense (DOD) frameworks, especially the Significant Security Cooperation Initiative Construct (SSCIC), for inadequately addressing political willingness and absorptive capacity. The analysis argues that political commitment is a function of risk, particularly physical and political, and should be observed through tangible actions rather than verbal assurances. The study concludes by advocating for a recalibration of security cooperation practices, emphasising strategic patience, realistic timelines, and a rigorous focus on genuine political commitment and risk absorption as prerequisites for sustainable security cooperation success.

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]]> TDHJ false No 1175 62 full The Horizon Audiofiles - Ep 055 - Excruciation Of Prisoners of War – State Policy Of Russia The Horizon Audiofiles - Ep 055 - Excruciation Of Prisoners of War – State Policy Of Russia https://tjasibi.podbean.com/e/the-horizon-audiofiles-ep-055-excruciation-of-prisoners-of-war-%e2%80%93-state-policy-of-russia/ https://tjasibi.podbean.com/e/the-horizon-audiofiles-ep-055-excruciation-of-prisoners-of-war-%e2%80%93-state-policy-of-russia/#comments Thu, 28 Aug 2025 06:02:00 +0200 tjasibi.podbean.com/4618404f-65e8-3e83-be2f-5f406a3fe7e0 With each passing day, the amount of verified information regarding violations of international humanitarian law and human rights by the Russian Federation continues to grow. One of the most striking examples of the Russian Federation’s disregard for its international obligations is its treatment of Ukrainian prisoners of war (POWs). These violations include executions, torture, denial of access to fair trials, intelligence operations targeting their relatives, and more.

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]]> With each passing day, the amount of verified information regarding violations of international humanitarian law and human rights by the Russian Federation continues to grow. One of the most striking examples of the Russian Federation’s disregard for its international obligations is its treatment of Ukrainian prisoners of war (POWs). These violations include executions, torture, denial of access to fair trials, intelligence operations targeting their relatives, and more.

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]]> TDHJ false No 1540 61 full The Horizon Audiofiles - Ep 054 - Rethinking Defence In Taiwan The Horizon Audiofiles - Ep 054 - Rethinking Defence In Taiwan https://tjasibi.podbean.com/e/the-horizon-audiofiles-ep-054-rethinking-defence-in-taiwan/ https://tjasibi.podbean.com/e/the-horizon-audiofiles-ep-054-rethinking-defence-in-taiwan/#comments Thu, 21 Aug 2025 06:02:00 +0200 tjasibi.podbean.com/029f993b-610d-3744-84e8-6f5cfb0a15c2 Taiwan must rethink its defence strategy due to a rising threat from China’s overwhelming military and industrial capabilities. However, Taiwan faces critical imbalances in troop strength, defence budgets, and technological infrastructure, emphasising the need for an asymmetric approach to deterrence. In this respect, Taiwan could draw lessons from Ukraine’s civilian-led drone innovation and Israel’s integrated civil preparedness to formulate policies that harness its semiconductor leadership and technological expertise. By empowering civil society through coordinated training, decentralised drone production, and dual-use infrastructure, Taiwan can transform its vulnerabilities into a resilient defence ecosystem, capable of countering China’s strategic advantages.

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]]> Taiwan must rethink its defence strategy due to a rising threat from China’s overwhelming military and industrial capabilities. However, Taiwan faces critical imbalances in troop strength, defence budgets, and technological infrastructure, emphasising the need for an asymmetric approach to deterrence. In this respect, Taiwan could draw lessons from Ukraine’s civilian-led drone innovation and Israel’s integrated civil preparedness to formulate policies that harness its semiconductor leadership and technological expertise. By empowering civil society through coordinated training, decentralised drone production, and dual-use infrastructure, Taiwan can transform its vulnerabilities into a resilient defence ecosystem, capable of countering China’s strategic advantages.

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]]> TDHJ false No 1158 60 full The Horizon Audiofiles - Ep 053 - Resilience And Agility The Horizon Audiofiles - Ep 053 - Resilience And Agility https://tjasibi.podbean.com/e/the-horizon-audiofiles-ep-053-resilience-and-agility/ https://tjasibi.podbean.com/e/the-horizon-audiofiles-ep-053-resilience-and-agility/#comments Thu, 14 Aug 2025 06:02:00 +0200 tjasibi.podbean.com/e7246042-3366-3b1c-bca6-bc0d09f497fa In a less predictable operational environment, resilience and agility are vital requirements for military sustainment. To demonstrate this, we highlight the shortcomings in military supply chains and identify solutions and practices adopted by various organisations to address recognised challenges. Furthermore, there is a need to understand more about new practices and innovations in the business environment that impact supply chains. In conclusion, we highlight several key aspects that military leaders must address to enhance supply chain resilience and agility.

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]]> In a less predictable operational environment, resilience and agility are vital requirements for military sustainment. To demonstrate this, we highlight the shortcomings in military supply chains and identify solutions and practices adopted by various organisations to address recognised challenges. Furthermore, there is a need to understand more about new practices and innovations in the business environment that impact supply chains. In conclusion, we highlight several key aspects that military leaders must address to enhance supply chain resilience and agility.

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]]> TDHJ false No 2112 59 full The Horizon Audiofiles - Ep 052 - Trends And Practical Applications Of Energy Storage Solutions The Horizon Audiofiles - Ep 052 - Trends And Practical Applications Of Energy Storage Solutions https://tjasibi.podbean.com/e/the-horizon-audiofiles-ep-052-trends-and-practical-applications-of-energy-storage-solutions/ https://tjasibi.podbean.com/e/the-horizon-audiofiles-ep-052-trends-and-practical-applications-of-energy-storage-solutions/#comments Thu, 07 Aug 2025 06:02:00 +0200 tjasibi.podbean.com/b2906c50-d3c4-32f8-91f8-6e9b93ae46f5 Constantly increasing demands for efficiency, effectiveness, and resilience of military operations are interrelated with increasing military energy demands, particularly with the use of energy storage solutions. This paper provides an overview of the emerging trends in military energy use and management, along with the evolving needs for energy storage, in line with the novel developments of battery energy storage systems. The research considerations focus on a wide range of energy storage applications, ranging from soldier energy solutions to powering military bases or platforms. The study highlights future energy storage innovations, including next-generation batteries, hybrid energy solutions, or other energy storage innovation trends that will enhance the military's abilities to operate in dynamic environments.

 

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]]> Constantly increasing demands for efficiency, effectiveness, and resilience of military operations are interrelated with increasing military energy demands, particularly with the use of energy storage solutions. This paper provides an overview of the emerging trends in military energy use and management, along with the evolving needs for energy storage, in line with the novel developments of battery energy storage systems. The research considerations focus on a wide range of energy storage applications, ranging from soldier energy solutions to powering military bases or platforms. The study highlights future energy storage innovations, including next-generation batteries, hybrid energy solutions, or other energy storage innovation trends that will enhance the military's abilities to operate in dynamic environments.

 

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]]> TDHJ false No 2041 58 full The Horizon Audiofiles - Ep 051 - The Usage Of State-of-the-Art Simulators In The Formation Of Futur The Horizon Audiofiles - Ep 051 - The Usage Of State-of-the-Art Simulators In The Formation Of Futur https://tjasibi.podbean.com/e/the-horizon-audiofiles-ep-051-the-usage-of-state-of-the-art-simulators-in-the-formation-of-futur/ https://tjasibi.podbean.com/e/the-horizon-audiofiles-ep-051-the-usage-of-state-of-the-art-simulators-in-the-formation-of-futur/#comments Thu, 31 Jul 2025 06:02:00 +0200 tjasibi.podbean.com/e79b077e-00eb-3421-a53a-ccb4b3e015c1 This article examines how modern training simulators can aid in teaching future Navy officers. Traditional teaching methods often prioritise classroom learning with limited hands-on practice. This research examines whether the use of realistic simulators can enhance police officers' learning of their job responsibilities. The study utilises various types of simulators to teach essential Navy skills. These include making quick decisions in battle (using the Tactic simulator), safely navigating (with Navigation and River Navigation simulators), using communication systems (with the GMDSS simulator), using weapons (with Infantry Weapons and Navy Artillery simulators), working in the engine room (using the Engine Room simulator), and practising new experiences using Virtual Reality (VR).

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]]> This article examines how modern training simulators can aid in teaching future Navy officers. Traditional teaching methods often prioritise classroom learning with limited hands-on practice. This research examines whether the use of realistic simulators can enhance police officers' learning of their job responsibilities. The study utilises various types of simulators to teach essential Navy skills. These include making quick decisions in battle (using the Tactic simulator), safely navigating (with Navigation and River Navigation simulators), using communication systems (with the GMDSS simulator), using weapons (with Infantry Weapons and Navy Artillery simulators), working in the engine room (using the Engine Room simulator), and practising new experiences using Virtual Reality (VR).

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]]> TDHJ false No 1585 57 full The Horizon Audiofiles - Ep 050 - Autonomous Weapons and Soldier Morale The Horizon Audiofiles - Ep 050 - Autonomous Weapons and Soldier Morale https://tjasibi.podbean.com/e/the-horizon-audiofiles-ep-050-autonomous-weapons-and-soldier-morale/ https://tjasibi.podbean.com/e/the-horizon-audiofiles-ep-050-autonomous-weapons-and-soldier-morale/#comments Thu, 24 Jul 2025 06:02:00 +0200 tjasibi.podbean.com/f0931e60-4307-3474-a61d-b3092ef7f182 The emergence of autonomous weapons systems (AWS) represents a clear shift in warfare and raises critical questions about the impact this change will have on soldiers' morale on a 21st-century battlefield. The complex effects that such technology has on military morale are highlighted through historical parallels to previous, similar military innovations and supplemented by analyses of the ongoing drone warfare in the Ukraine War. Narratives surrounding military technologies mould both soldier and morale to defend, a dynamic that is explored through Annens’ tripartite theory of morale. It is made clear that morale is not closely linked to the invention of military technologies themselves but rather to how these technologies are implemented and the narratives that surround them. To bolster future fighting capabilities, these narratives must be actively constructed to face the changing organisations and psychological stresses of military service.

 

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]]> The emergence of autonomous weapons systems (AWS) represents a clear shift in warfare and raises critical questions about the impact this change will have on soldiers' morale on a 21st-century battlefield. The complex effects that such technology has on military morale are highlighted through historical parallels to previous, similar military innovations and supplemented by analyses of the ongoing drone warfare in the Ukraine War. Narratives surrounding military technologies mould both soldier and morale to defend, a dynamic that is explored through Annens’ tripartite theory of morale. It is made clear that morale is not closely linked to the invention of military technologies themselves but rather to how these technologies are implemented and the narratives that surround them. To bolster future fighting capabilities, these narratives must be actively constructed to face the changing organisations and psychological stresses of military service.

 

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]]> TDHJ false No 2146 56 full The Horizon Audiofiles - Ep 049 - Rethinking Ethics In The Face Of Nuclear Threats The Horizon Audiofiles - Ep 049 - Rethinking Ethics In The Face Of Nuclear Threats https://tjasibi.podbean.com/e/the-horizon-audiofiles-ep-049-rethinking-ethics-in-the-face-of-nuclear-threats/ https://tjasibi.podbean.com/e/the-horizon-audiofiles-ep-049-rethinking-ethics-in-the-face-of-nuclear-threats/#comments Thu, 17 Jul 2025 06:00:00 +0200 tjasibi.podbean.com/ed23d889-d65d-39e4-ad9f-23393a9f5f53 Decision-making regarding target engagement, including considerations for scenarios involving the tactical use of nuclear weapons, requires a multilayered, well-structured, predictable, and traceable approach. The integration of AI into such high-stakes scenarios amplifies the need for transparency, aligning decision-making models to trusted tenets and focused training (the 3Ts) in order to avoid the five cognitive pitfalls of overreliance, information overload, groupthink, misperception, and unrecognised systemic bias. For AI to be effectively integrated into Nuclear Command, Control and Communication (NC3) networks, decision makers delegated target engagement authority must have a clear understanding of the capabilities and limitations of the AI system, just as they understand the capabilities and limitations of their other team members. AI is not something to be feared, but it should be approached with a degree of healthy scepticism. The 3T framework provides a useful heuristic for ensuring proper integration and use of AI-enabled NC3 systems and decision-making processes.

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]]> Decision-making regarding target engagement, including considerations for scenarios involving the tactical use of nuclear weapons, requires a multilayered, well-structured, predictable, and traceable approach. The integration of AI into such high-stakes scenarios amplifies the need for transparency, aligning decision-making models to trusted tenets and focused training (the 3Ts) in order to avoid the five cognitive pitfalls of overreliance, information overload, groupthink, misperception, and unrecognised systemic bias. For AI to be effectively integrated into Nuclear Command, Control and Communication (NC3) networks, decision makers delegated target engagement authority must have a clear understanding of the capabilities and limitations of the AI system, just as they understand the capabilities and limitations of their other team members. AI is not something to be feared, but it should be approached with a degree of healthy scepticism. The 3T framework provides a useful heuristic for ensuring proper integration and use of AI-enabled NC3 systems and decision-making processes.

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]]> TDHJ false No 2126 55 full The Horizon Audiofiles - Ep 048 - From An Engineering Perspective: Small Drones Affecting The Course The Horizon Audiofiles - Ep 048 - From An Engineering Perspective: Small Drones Affecting The Course https://tjasibi.podbean.com/e/the-horizon-audiofiles-ep-048-from-an-engineering-perspective-small-drones-affecting-the-course/ https://tjasibi.podbean.com/e/the-horizon-audiofiles-ep-048-from-an-engineering-perspective-small-drones-affecting-the-course/#comments Thu, 10 Jul 2025 06:00:00 +0200 tjasibi.podbean.com/29bc4810-f0c5-3c0e-8a7d-f3788b50b3e3 At least since the beginning of the most recent Russian invasion of Ukraine and the massive use of unmanned aerial vehicles, it has become imperative to elaborate potential countermeasures, that is, counter-unmanned aerial systems. Accordingly, based on past and ongoing conflicts – including the war in Ukraine – this paper analyses the impact of technological changes on warfare. Specifically, it takes a closer look at the types of unmanned aerial vehicles deployed on the modern battlefield and how critical infrastructure, soldiers and civilian populations could be protected in the face of these novel threats.

 

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]]> At least since the beginning of the most recent Russian invasion of Ukraine and the massive use of unmanned aerial vehicles, it has become imperative to elaborate potential countermeasures, that is, counter-unmanned aerial systems. Accordingly, based on past and ongoing conflicts – including the war in Ukraine – this paper analyses the impact of technological changes on warfare. Specifically, it takes a closer look at the types of unmanned aerial vehicles deployed on the modern battlefield and how critical infrastructure, soldiers and civilian populations could be protected in the face of these novel threats.

 

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]]> TDHJ false No 1472 54 full The Horizon Audiofiles - Ep 047 - Additive Manufacturing A Key Enabler Of Low Cost Modern Warfare The Horizon Audiofiles - Ep 047 - Additive Manufacturing A Key Enabler Of Low Cost Modern Warfare https://tjasibi.podbean.com/e/the-horizon-audiofiles-ep-047-additive-manufacturing-a-key-enabler-of-low-cost-modern-warfare/ https://tjasibi.podbean.com/e/the-horizon-audiofiles-ep-047-additive-manufacturing-a-key-enabler-of-low-cost-modern-warfare/#comments Thu, 26 Jun 2025 06:02:00 +0200 tjasibi.podbean.com/ff915fd1-6177-34d9-9ff5-b4afd9de22f5 A need for low-cost warfare has emerged from the experiences of several nations in current conflicts. On the one hand, a recent missile and drone attack on Israel was successfully defeated, but at the unsustainable cost of an estimated $1-1.5 billion. Houthi drones, costing $2000 each, were successfully intercepted with Standard Missile-2s (SM-2), which cost $2 million each. On the other hand, the Russian Black Sea fleet was severely degraded by sea drones costing between $250 and $ 350,000 each. There are two consequences deriving from this: There is an urgent need for low-cost systems both in defence (to counter the Houthi-type attacks, for example) and offence (to engage in sea control or with combat drones as an artillery substitute).

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]]> A need for low-cost warfare has emerged from the experiences of several nations in current conflicts. On the one hand, a recent missile and drone attack on Israel was successfully defeated, but at the unsustainable cost of an estimated $1-1.5 billion. Houthi drones, costing $2000 each, were successfully intercepted with Standard Missile-2s (SM-2), which cost $2 million each. On the other hand, the Russian Black Sea fleet was severely degraded by sea drones costing between $250 and $ 350,000 each. There are two consequences deriving from this: There is an urgent need for low-cost systems both in defence (to counter the Houthi-type attacks, for example) and offence (to engage in sea control or with combat drones as an artillery substitute).

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]]> TDHJ false No 1579 53 full The Horizon Audiofiles - Ep 046 - The Impact Of AI On The Military Decision Making Process The Horizon Audiofiles - Ep 046 - The Impact Of AI On The Military Decision Making Process https://tjasibi.podbean.com/e/the-horizon-audiofiles-ep-046-the-impact-of-ai-on-the-military-decision-making-process/ https://tjasibi.podbean.com/e/the-horizon-audiofiles-ep-046-the-impact-of-ai-on-the-military-decision-making-process/#comments Thu, 19 Jun 2025 06:02:00 +0200 tjasibi.podbean.com/a9f3c6c0-0fd1-3c7b-b61a-24e0819b2c17 The progressive integration of artificial intelligence (AI) transforms military command across doctrinal, procedural, and cultural dimensions. AI reshapes the balance between centralisation and decentralisation across command levels. Using Col. John Boyd’s OODA Loop as a generic model of the military decision-making process (MDMP), it is possible to see how AI influences each step of decision-making—from information gathering to tactical execution—and assesses its implications for Mission Command (MC) as a decentralised leadership philosophy. Western militaries, with their longstanding tradition of decentralised decision-making, may be particularly well-positioned to harness AI as a tool of empowerment rather than surveillance.

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]]> The progressive integration of artificial intelligence (AI) transforms military command across doctrinal, procedural, and cultural dimensions. AI reshapes the balance between centralisation and decentralisation across command levels. Using Col. John Boyd’s OODA Loop as a generic model of the military decision-making process (MDMP), it is possible to see how AI influences each step of decision-making—from information gathering to tactical execution—and assesses its implications for Mission Command (MC) as a decentralised leadership philosophy. Western militaries, with their longstanding tradition of decentralised decision-making, may be particularly well-positioned to harness AI as a tool of empowerment rather than surveillance.

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]]> TDHJ false No 2175 52 full The Horizon Audiofiles - Ep 045 - The Ultimate Human-Machine Fusion? The Horizon Audiofiles - Ep 045 - The Ultimate Human-Machine Fusion? https://tjasibi.podbean.com/e/the-horizon-audiofiles-ep-045-the-ultimate-human-machine-fusion/ https://tjasibi.podbean.com/e/the-horizon-audiofiles-ep-045-the-ultimate-human-machine-fusion/#comments Thu, 12 Jun 2025 06:04:00 +0200 tjasibi.podbean.com/375bf8d4-122f-3e20-845d-726a91f20974 AI-powered autonomous weapons, from advanced drones to robotic soldiers, are reshaping warfare with unmatched speed, precision, and adaptability. Capable of life-and-death decisions, they deliver tactical power and coordination, reducing human risk and amplifying military strength. Intelligent swarming and real-time responses provide a formidable combat edge. However, robust controls are crucial to wield these tools responsibly, to shape the future of warfare with strategic brilliance and caution.

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]]> AI-powered autonomous weapons, from advanced drones to robotic soldiers, are reshaping warfare with unmatched speed, precision, and adaptability. Capable of life-and-death decisions, they deliver tactical power and coordination, reducing human risk and amplifying military strength. Intelligent swarming and real-time responses provide a formidable combat edge. However, robust controls are crucial to wield these tools responsibly, to shape the future of warfare with strategic brilliance and caution.

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]]> TDHJ false No 2330 51 full The Horizon Audiofiles - Ep 044 - The WarTech Nexus - Are Military Structures Fit Enough? The Horizon Audiofiles - Ep 044 - The WarTech Nexus - Are Military Structures Fit Enough? https://tjasibi.podbean.com/e/the-horizon-audiofiles-ep-044-the-wartech-nexus-are-military-structures-fit-enough/ https://tjasibi.podbean.com/e/the-horizon-audiofiles-ep-044-the-wartech-nexus-are-military-structures-fit-enough/#comments Thu, 05 Jun 2025 06:02:00 +0200 tjasibi.podbean.com/3ccbe852-ebb7-3c54-8f08-f10c261eba63 Military effectiveness hinges on technological innovation and organisational fitness—the ability to adapt, integrate, and exploit new capabilities. While AI, cyber warfare, and autonomous systems are reshaping conflict, rigid hierarchies and cultural resistance hinder their adoption. Bridging the gap between technological potential and institutional readiness requires decentralised decision-making, strategic alignment, and adaptive structures. Public-private partnerships, phased adoption, and cultural transformation are essential to ensuring military innovation and sustained strategic superiority.

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]]> Military effectiveness hinges on technological innovation and organisational fitness—the ability to adapt, integrate, and exploit new capabilities. While AI, cyber warfare, and autonomous systems are reshaping conflict, rigid hierarchies and cultural resistance hinder their adoption. Bridging the gap between technological potential and institutional readiness requires decentralised decision-making, strategic alignment, and adaptive structures. Public-private partnerships, phased adoption, and cultural transformation are essential to ensuring military innovation and sustained strategic superiority.

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]]> TDHJ false No 2128 50 full The Horizon Audiofiles - Ep 043 - 1+1 ≠ 2 The Horizon Audiofiles - Ep 043 - 1+1 ≠ 2 https://tjasibi.podbean.com/e/the-horizon-audiofiles-ep-043-11-%e2%89%a0-2/ https://tjasibi.podbean.com/e/the-horizon-audiofiles-ep-043-11-%e2%89%a0-2/#comments Thu, 29 May 2025 06:06:00 +0200 tjasibi.podbean.com/06511019-46d8-393f-a013-a4e86f1fdfb0 Emerging and Disruptive Technologies are fundamentally reshaping modern warfare, creating a paradox where military forces are empowered and constrained by digital advancements. Western militaries, particularly NATO, face growing friction as their force structures struggle to adapt to the constantly evolving Russian way of warfare witnessed in Ukraine. This paper introduces the concept of digital friction, the operational strain caused by overreliance on networked warfare in environments where war remains fundamentally analogue and unpredictable. By examining historical and contemporary conflicts, this study highlights the risks of digital determinism and advocates for a balanced approach where digital capabilities enhance rather than replace traditional warfighting competencies, as organised violence is inherently analogue.

 

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]]> Emerging and Disruptive Technologies are fundamentally reshaping modern warfare, creating a paradox where military forces are empowered and constrained by digital advancements. Western militaries, particularly NATO, face growing friction as their force structures struggle to adapt to the constantly evolving Russian way of warfare witnessed in Ukraine. This paper introduces the concept of digital friction, the operational strain caused by overreliance on networked warfare in environments where war remains fundamentally analogue and unpredictable. By examining historical and contemporary conflicts, this study highlights the risks of digital determinism and advocates for a balanced approach where digital capabilities enhance rather than replace traditional warfighting competencies, as organised violence is inherently analogue.

 

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]]> TDHJ false No 2410 49 full The Horizon Audiofiles - Ep 042 - Enhancing Battlefield Observation With Imitation Learning The Horizon Audiofiles - Ep 042 - Enhancing Battlefield Observation With Imitation Learning https://tjasibi.podbean.com/e/the-horizon-audiofiles-ep-042-enhancing-battlefield-observation-with-imitation-learning/ https://tjasibi.podbean.com/e/the-horizon-audiofiles-ep-042-enhancing-battlefield-observation-with-imitation-learning/#comments Thu, 22 May 2025 06:02:00 +0200 tjasibi.podbean.com/1965f349-b1c4-3647-8153-68c3d6f6fb6d The evolution of battlefield surveillance, from traditional elevated vantage points to advanced satellite remote sensing, has transformed geospatial data into actionable insights. The research focuses on creating a Digital Twin of a battlefield using a range of data sources. A methodology for assessing terrain features, such as visibility, slope, and soil moisture, is developed, along with a model for vegetation cover using Sentinel-2 data. Imitation Learning is employed to simulate military strategies based on human decision-making processes, generating synthetic data that represent real-world conditions.

 

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]]> The evolution of battlefield surveillance, from traditional elevated vantage points to advanced satellite remote sensing, has transformed geospatial data into actionable insights. The research focuses on creating a Digital Twin of a battlefield using a range of data sources. A methodology for assessing terrain features, such as visibility, slope, and soil moisture, is developed, along with a model for vegetation cover using Sentinel-2 data. Imitation Learning is employed to simulate military strategies based on human decision-making processes, generating synthetic data that represent real-world conditions.

 

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]]> TDHJ false No 1271 48 full The Horizon Audiofiles - Ep 041 - Training Minds & Systems For Tomorrow's Conflicts The Horizon Audiofiles - Ep 041 - Training Minds & Systems For Tomorrow's Conflicts https://tjasibi.podbean.com/e/the-horizon-audiofiles-ep-041-training-minds-systems-for-tomorrows-conflicts/ https://tjasibi.podbean.com/e/the-horizon-audiofiles-ep-041-training-minds-systems-for-tomorrows-conflicts/#comments Thu, 15 May 2025 06:02:00 +0200 tjasibi.podbean.com/40049191-7a88-30b9-adee-d9407bc290f7 Technological advancements and evolving security policies increasingly shape military conflicts through AI, autonomous systems, and cyber capabilities. Future developments can be analysed from both military-technological and tactical perspectives, highlighting challenges in command structures, information processing, and execution. The vignettes address the aspects of capability, understanding, and will, i.e., the parts of combat power. Countermeasures require cybersecurity, intelligence validation, and leadership training in cognitive resilience, as well as the proper usage of the decision-making process. Success depends on integrating technology with adaptive command structures and cognitive flexibility. Clausewitz’s adaptability is vital in modern conflicts, while Jomini’s structured approach remains relevant for technological coordination. True success integrates both perspectives, ensuring leadership, data integrity, and the flexibility to shape complexity rather than merely react to it.

Prompt on Capability: „First scenario, area: capability. Describe, from the perspective of a future battalion commander (three mechanised infantry companies, one tank company, one platoon of self-propelled anti-aircraft systems, one platoon for indirect fire support), why he has just lost a battle against an enemy and now stands before the smoking wreckage of his battalion. Cite as reasons, for example, that the anti-aircraft platoon was unable to fire because the chip supply chain for the fire control computers had been infiltrated or sabotaged. These chips reacted to a specific type of electronic emission in such a way that the entire anti-aircraft software system was overloaded, causing the components to burn out. The main battle tanks failed to hit the opposing tanks because the AI-assisted target acquisition software had been hacked. Upon detecting the contours of enemy vehicles, it consistently produced missed shots due to slight targeting deviations. Finally, describe how the infantry fighting vehicles constantly displayed a message on the driver's control panel indicating that the component “Burgmannring” urgently needed to be replaced. This was the result of satellite-based interference with the software, which had injected the false alert. Feel free to invent additional background information and elaborate creatively. Also, consider selecting other units from the battalion and constructing similar examples. Length: approximately 600 words, from the perspective of the battalion commander.“ Altman, ChatGPT 4o.

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]]> Technological advancements and evolving security policies increasingly shape military conflicts through AI, autonomous systems, and cyber capabilities. Future developments can be analysed from both military-technological and tactical perspectives, highlighting challenges in command structures, information processing, and execution. The vignettes address the aspects of capability, understanding, and will, i.e., the parts of combat power. Countermeasures require cybersecurity, intelligence validation, and leadership training in cognitive resilience, as well as the proper usage of the decision-making process. Success depends on integrating technology with adaptive command structures and cognitive flexibility. Clausewitz’s adaptability is vital in modern conflicts, while Jomini’s structured approach remains relevant for technological coordination. True success integrates both perspectives, ensuring leadership, data integrity, and the flexibility to shape complexity rather than merely react to it.

Prompt on Capability: „First scenario, area: capability. Describe, from the perspective of a future battalion commander (three mechanised infantry companies, one tank company, one platoon of self-propelled anti-aircraft systems, one platoon for indirect fire support), why he has just lost a battle against an enemy and now stands before the smoking wreckage of his battalion. Cite as reasons, for example, that the anti-aircraft platoon was unable to fire because the chip supply chain for the fire control computers had been infiltrated or sabotaged. These chips reacted to a specific type of electronic emission in such a way that the entire anti-aircraft software system was overloaded, causing the components to burn out. The main battle tanks failed to hit the opposing tanks because the AI-assisted target acquisition software had been hacked. Upon detecting the contours of enemy vehicles, it consistently produced missed shots due to slight targeting deviations. Finally, describe how the infantry fighting vehicles constantly displayed a message on the driver's control panel indicating that the component “Burgmannring” urgently needed to be replaced. This was the result of satellite-based interference with the software, which had injected the false alert. Feel free to invent additional background information and elaborate creatively. Also, consider selecting other units from the battalion and constructing similar examples. Length: approximately 600 words, from the perspective of the battalion commander.“ Altman, ChatGPT 4o.

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]]> TDHJ false No 2356 47 full The Horizon Audiofiles - Ep 040 - Innovative Technologies In The Development Of Explosives The Horizon Audiofiles - Ep 040 - Innovative Technologies In The Development Of Explosives https://tjasibi.podbean.com/e/the-horizon-audiofiles-ep-040-innovative-technologies-in-the-development-of-explosives/ https://tjasibi.podbean.com/e/the-horizon-audiofiles-ep-040-innovative-technologies-in-the-development-of-explosives/#comments Thu, 08 May 2025 06:02:00 +0200 tjasibi.podbean.com/c2658aaf-3a19-3d64-b241-5d4ba3317623 Explosives and pyrotechnics play a critical role in modern military technology. Recent advancements in nanotechnology, artificial intelligence, and 3D additive manufacturing are transforming the development, applications, and safety of these technologies. This paper examines how these disruptive technologies shape the future of explosives while addressing the challenges of their ethical application. Special attention is given to AI’s ability to detect, deactivate, and defend against explosive threats, significantly impacting military doctrines.

 

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]]> Explosives and pyrotechnics play a critical role in modern military technology. Recent advancements in nanotechnology, artificial intelligence, and 3D additive manufacturing are transforming the development, applications, and safety of these technologies. This paper examines how these disruptive technologies shape the future of explosives while addressing the challenges of their ethical application. Special attention is given to AI’s ability to detect, deactivate, and defend against explosive threats, significantly impacting military doctrines.

 

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]]> TDHJ false No 1811 46 full The Horizon Audiofiles - Ep 039 - Rethinking Cyber War: A Critical Analysis of Thomas Rid The Horizon Audiofiles - Ep 039 - Rethinking Cyber War: A Critical Analysis of Thomas Rid https://tjasibi.podbean.com/e/the-horizon-audiofiles-ep-039-rethinking-cyber-war-a-critical-analysis-of-thomas-rid/ https://tjasibi.podbean.com/e/the-horizon-audiofiles-ep-039-rethinking-cyber-war-a-critical-analysis-of-thomas-rid/#comments Thu, 24 Apr 2025 06:01:00 +0200 tjasibi.podbean.com/9191a8c1-c299-39ec-af6a-2404a311cff9 This critical analysis evaluates Thomas Rid's thesis in "Cyber War Will Not Take Place," which argues that cyber operations do not fulfil Clausewitzian criteria for war. It supports Rid's overall assertion while exploring nuances and limitations in his argument. Despite the compelling nature of Rid's claim that cyber war as a standalone phenomenon is unlikely, the analysis underscores the complementary role of cyber operations in modern warfare. It highlights their strategic implications within the broader framework of hybrid conflict.

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]]> This critical analysis evaluates Thomas Rid's thesis in "Cyber War Will Not Take Place," which argues that cyber operations do not fulfil Clausewitzian criteria for war. It supports Rid's overall assertion while exploring nuances and limitations in his argument. Despite the compelling nature of Rid's claim that cyber war as a standalone phenomenon is unlikely, the analysis underscores the complementary role of cyber operations in modern warfare. It highlights their strategic implications within the broader framework of hybrid conflict.

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]]> TDHJ false No 1169 45 full The Horizon Audiofiles - Ep 038 - Donetsk May Tell The Horizon Audiofiles - Ep 038 - Donetsk May Tell https://tjasibi.podbean.com/e/the-horizon-audiofiles-ep-038-donetsk-may-tell/ https://tjasibi.podbean.com/e/the-horizon-audiofiles-ep-038-donetsk-may-tell/#comments Thu, 17 Apr 2025 06:02:00 +0200 tjasibi.podbean.com/14b87b92-344a-30f5-b11c-5ceab936fd48 Following the annexation of Crimea a decade ago, Russian warfare tactics have evolved to adapt to technological advancements and make up for shortfalls in conventional military domains; among them falls the use of Russian television and Telegram channels to influence the Ukrainian public. As claimed by Maschmeyer et al.’s “Donetsk Don’t Tell - ‘Hybrid War’ in Ukraine and the Limits of Social Media Influence Operations”, television outperforms social media in the limited context of Ukrainian support to Russia’s influence operations. However, due to stringent limitations in broadcasting subsequent to Maschmeyer’s study, and theoretical shortcomings, such a statement is not criticism-proof.

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]]> Following the annexation of Crimea a decade ago, Russian warfare tactics have evolved to adapt to technological advancements and make up for shortfalls in conventional military domains; among them falls the use of Russian television and Telegram channels to influence the Ukrainian public. As claimed by Maschmeyer et al.’s “Donetsk Don’t Tell - ‘Hybrid War’ in Ukraine and the Limits of Social Media Influence Operations”, television outperforms social media in the limited context of Ukrainian support to Russia’s influence operations. However, due to stringent limitations in broadcasting subsequent to Maschmeyer’s study, and theoretical shortcomings, such a statement is not criticism-proof.

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]]> TDHJ false No 1136 44 full The Horizon Audiofiles - Ep 037 - Geopolitics of Technology in Taiwan The Horizon Audiofiles - Ep 037 - Geopolitics of Technology in Taiwan https://tjasibi.podbean.com/e/the-horizon-audiofiles-ep-037-geopolitics-of-technology-in-taiwan/ https://tjasibi.podbean.com/e/the-horizon-audiofiles-ep-037-geopolitics-of-technology-in-taiwan/#comments Thu, 10 Apr 2025 06:02:00 +0200 tjasibi.podbean.com/267fafc5-f0c1-3d00-9664-2e72e6dbfbd4 Taiwan occupies a pivotal position in the realm of technological geopolitics due to its dominance in semiconductor manufacturing and strategic location in the Indo-Pacific region. As global powers increasingly depend on advanced technologies for economic and security imperatives, Taiwan has emerged as a critical player in the strategic calculus of nations like the United States, China, and their allies. While these powers emphasise the One-China Policy in their diplomatic engagements, their growing collaboration with Taiwan inadvertently intensifies China's aggressive stance toward the island. This dynamic underscores Taiwan's dual role as both a bridge and a flashpoint in global strategic competition.

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]]> Taiwan occupies a pivotal position in the realm of technological geopolitics due to its dominance in semiconductor manufacturing and strategic location in the Indo-Pacific region. As global powers increasingly depend on advanced technologies for economic and security imperatives, Taiwan has emerged as a critical player in the strategic calculus of nations like the United States, China, and their allies. While these powers emphasise the One-China Policy in their diplomatic engagements, their growing collaboration with Taiwan inadvertently intensifies China's aggressive stance toward the island. This dynamic underscores Taiwan's dual role as both a bridge and a flashpoint in global strategic competition.

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]]> TDHJ false No 1003 43 full The Horizon Audiofiles - Ep 036 - Bosnia and Herzegovina's Bid to Enter NATO: Prospect or Mirage? The Horizon Audiofiles - Ep 036 - Bosnia and Herzegovina's Bid to Enter NATO: Prospect or Mirage? https://tjasibi.podbean.com/e/the-horizon-audiofiles-ep-036-bosnia-and-herzegovinas-bid-to-enter-nato-prospect-or-mirage/ https://tjasibi.podbean.com/e/the-horizon-audiofiles-ep-036-bosnia-and-herzegovinas-bid-to-enter-nato-prospect-or-mirage/#comments Thu, 03 Apr 2025 06:02:00 +0200 tjasibi.podbean.com/91284fd5-2912-32fe-b329-5d4163982f68 Since Russia's full-scale invasion of Ukraine, European policymakers have gained a renewed sense of how fragile peace is in Bosnia and Herzegovina (BiH). A brief brush through Bosnia's recent history reveals outstanding issues following the war in the 1990s, foreign meddling in internal politics, as well as an internal secessionist movement on the rise. All these factors point to the necessity of security guarantees. Moreover-due to its location in Europe and the majority of neighbouring Balkan states being part of NATO—the military alliance immediately springs to mind as the logical choice for security guarantees. However, BiH's bid to enter the Alliance has yet to come to fruition.

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]]> Since Russia's full-scale invasion of Ukraine, European policymakers have gained a renewed sense of how fragile peace is in Bosnia and Herzegovina (BiH). A brief brush through Bosnia's recent history reveals outstanding issues following the war in the 1990s, foreign meddling in internal politics, as well as an internal secessionist movement on the rise. All these factors point to the necessity of security guarantees. Moreover-due to its location in Europe and the majority of neighbouring Balkan states being part of NATO—the military alliance immediately springs to mind as the logical choice for security guarantees. However, BiH's bid to enter the Alliance has yet to come to fruition.

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]]> TDHJ false No 1785 42 full The Horizon Audiofiles - Ep 035 - Die Türkei im Spannungsfeld zwischen Religion und Militär The Horizon Audiofiles - Ep 035 - Die Türkei im Spannungsfeld zwischen Religion und Militär https://tjasibi.podbean.com/e/the-horizon-audiofiles-ep-035-die-turkei-im-spannungsfeld-zwischen-religion-und-militar/ https://tjasibi.podbean.com/e/the-horizon-audiofiles-ep-035-die-turkei-im-spannungsfeld-zwischen-religion-und-militar/#comments Thu, 27 Mar 2025 06:02:00 +0100 tjasibi.podbean.com/7cc6f514-541e-362f-a211-6e1a827e545a Religion und Militär in der Türkei, wie auch früher im Osmanischen Reich, werden als strukturbildende Größen für die gesellschaftliche Entwicklung erkannt. Diese wurden im Kemalismus neu ausgeformt und begründeten dann die Geschichte der modernen Türkei, bis sie durch Recep Tayyip Erdoğan erneut ausgeformt wurden und dadurch einen großen Einfluss auf die internationale geostrategische Lage ausüben.

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]]> Religion und Militär in der Türkei, wie auch früher im Osmanischen Reich, werden als strukturbildende Größen für die gesellschaftliche Entwicklung erkannt. Diese wurden im Kemalismus neu ausgeformt und begründeten dann die Geschichte der modernen Türkei, bis sie durch Recep Tayyip Erdoğan erneut ausgeformt wurden und dadurch einen großen Einfluss auf die internationale geostrategische Lage ausüben.

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]]> TDHJ false No 1739 41 full The Horizon Audiofiles - Ep 034 - Maritime Deterrence The Horizon Audiofiles - Ep 034 - Maritime Deterrence https://tjasibi.podbean.com/e/the-horizon-audiofiles-ep-034-maritime-deterrence/ https://tjasibi.podbean.com/e/the-horizon-audiofiles-ep-034-maritime-deterrence/#comments Thu, 20 Mar 2025 06:02:00 +0100 tjasibi.podbean.com/2a64f53c-96b7-3e21-b48e-232b1f4b8770 Although the US Navy is assessing hybrid fleet designs combining existing crewed vessels and autonomous systems, the process of devising a deterrent strategy to exploit these capabilities is just getting underway. A new bi-modal strategy combining sea denial and sea control capabilities is emerging as the basis of a maritime deterrent. NATO planners should consider this bi-modal approach to maritime deterrence to utilise better new autonomous capabilities that will be available soon.

 

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]]> Although the US Navy is assessing hybrid fleet designs combining existing crewed vessels and autonomous systems, the process of devising a deterrent strategy to exploit these capabilities is just getting underway. A new bi-modal strategy combining sea denial and sea control capabilities is emerging as the basis of a maritime deterrent. NATO planners should consider this bi-modal approach to maritime deterrence to utilise better new autonomous capabilities that will be available soon.

 

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]]> TDHJ false No 432 40 full The Horizon Audiofiles - Ep 033 - Deutschlands Militärstrategie The Horizon Audiofiles - Ep 033 - Deutschlands Militärstrategie https://tjasibi.podbean.com/e/the-horizon-audiofiles-ep-033-deutschlands-militarstrategie/ https://tjasibi.podbean.com/e/the-horizon-audiofiles-ep-033-deutschlands-militarstrategie/#comments Thu, 13 Mar 2025 06:00:00 +0100 tjasibi.podbean.com/21fb57e5-68dc-36b2-969d-a47af82c48ed Die deutsche Militärstrategie muss die konzeptionelle Lücke zwischen verteidigungspolitischen Vorgaben und der militärisch-operativen Ebene schließen. Im Dokument sind konkrete militärstrategische Bedrohungen zu identifizieren und diesen ist ein militärisches Gegenhandeln im Rahmen des durch die Verteidigungspolitischen Richtlinien definierten Aufgabenspektrums der Bundeswehr entgegenzustellen. Damit leistet die deutsche Militärstrategie einen Beitrag zur Weiterentwicklung der deutschen strategischen Kultur, die in der Nationalen Sicherheitsstrategie in einer gesellschaftlichen Debatte eingefordert wurde, aber bis dato ausblieb. Die Strategie bietet die Gelegenheit, historisch konstituierte identitäre, normative und ideelle Gewissheiten in Fragen zu Krieg und Frieden, dem Einsatz militärischer Mittel und Bedrohungsperzeptionen einer Neubewertung zu unterziehen und zur Debatte zu stellen.

 

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]]> Die deutsche Militärstrategie muss die konzeptionelle Lücke zwischen verteidigungspolitischen Vorgaben und der militärisch-operativen Ebene schließen. Im Dokument sind konkrete militärstrategische Bedrohungen zu identifizieren und diesen ist ein militärisches Gegenhandeln im Rahmen des durch die Verteidigungspolitischen Richtlinien definierten Aufgabenspektrums der Bundeswehr entgegenzustellen. Damit leistet die deutsche Militärstrategie einen Beitrag zur Weiterentwicklung der deutschen strategischen Kultur, die in der Nationalen Sicherheitsstrategie in einer gesellschaftlichen Debatte eingefordert wurde, aber bis dato ausblieb. Die Strategie bietet die Gelegenheit, historisch konstituierte identitäre, normative und ideelle Gewissheiten in Fragen zu Krieg und Frieden, dem Einsatz militärischer Mittel und Bedrohungsperzeptionen einer Neubewertung zu unterziehen und zur Debatte zu stellen.

 

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]]> TDHJ false No 1866 39 full The Horizon Audiofiles - Ep 032 - Militärische Nutzung von KI The Horizon Audiofiles - Ep 032 - Militärische Nutzung von KI https://tjasibi.podbean.com/e/the-horizon-audiofiles-ep-032-militarische-nutzung-von-ki/ https://tjasibi.podbean.com/e/the-horizon-audiofiles-ep-032-militarische-nutzung-von-ki/#comments Thu, 06 Mar 2025 06:02:00 +0100 tjasibi.podbean.com/1cb818cc-f2b6-3a2d-9cb0-e111922399b6 Dieser Podcast diskutiert die wachsende Bedeutung Künstlicher Intelligenz im militärischen Bereich, insbesondere im Kontext aktueller Konflikte. Die Entwicklung und Erprobung K.I.-gestützter Waffensysteme eröffnen neue strategische und technologische Möglichkeiten, werfen aber auch Fragen auf. Im Fokus der Analyse stehen die Rolle des Völkerrechts als regulatorischer Rahmen, die Notwendigkeit ethischer Leitlinien sowie die Sicherheitsrisiken, die mit militärischen K.I.-Systemen, aber insbesondere autonomen Waffensystemen einhergehen.

 

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]]> Dieser Podcast diskutiert die wachsende Bedeutung Künstlicher Intelligenz im militärischen Bereich, insbesondere im Kontext aktueller Konflikte. Die Entwicklung und Erprobung K.I.-gestützter Waffensysteme eröffnen neue strategische und technologische Möglichkeiten, werfen aber auch Fragen auf. Im Fokus der Analyse stehen die Rolle des Völkerrechts als regulatorischer Rahmen, die Notwendigkeit ethischer Leitlinien sowie die Sicherheitsrisiken, die mit militärischen K.I.-Systemen, aber insbesondere autonomen Waffensystemen einhergehen.

 

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]]> TDHJ false No 1712 38 full The Horizon Audiofiles - Ep 031 - Historical Approach The Horizon Audiofiles - Ep 031 - Historical Approach https://tjasibi.podbean.com/e/the-horizon-audiofiles-ep-031-historical-approach/ https://tjasibi.podbean.com/e/the-horizon-audiofiles-ep-031-historical-approach/#comments Thu, 27 Feb 2025 06:02:00 +0100 tjasibi.podbean.com/b3cebcc5-dd02-3cda-88fc-1fc311b36450 As an output of strategic culture, a State Defence Strategy should set the direction of the defence policy and focus on defence system development and employment. As the main effort line to shape plans to be a reliable alliance member, the Slovenian Defence Strategy takes over the burden of collective defence (capabilities and operations). It fosters democracy, human rights, and civil and parliamentary military control. Strategic culture as a result of a "negotiated reality" built over time is the sum of values specifically for Slovenia's culture, still partially based on the Second World War revolutionary character, comradeship, patterns of nonalignment foreign policy behaviour and ideologies of the one political party system. Emotional instead of rational responses to the legacy Total People’s Defence concept are presented at parliament and leading Slovenian newspapers.

 

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]]> As an output of strategic culture, a State Defence Strategy should set the direction of the defence policy and focus on defence system development and employment. As the main effort line to shape plans to be a reliable alliance member, the Slovenian Defence Strategy takes over the burden of collective defence (capabilities and operations). It fosters democracy, human rights, and civil and parliamentary military control. Strategic culture as a result of a "negotiated reality" built over time is the sum of values specifically for Slovenia's culture, still partially based on the Second World War revolutionary character, comradeship, patterns of nonalignment foreign policy behaviour and ideologies of the one political party system. Emotional instead of rational responses to the legacy Total People’s Defence concept are presented at parliament and leading Slovenian newspapers.

 

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]]> TDHJ false No 2823 37 full The Horizon Audiofiles - Ep 030 - Talking Action The Horizon Audiofiles - Ep 030 - Talking Action https://tjasibi.podbean.com/e/the-horizon-audiofiles-ep-030-talking-action/ https://tjasibi.podbean.com/e/the-horizon-audiofiles-ep-030-talking-action/#comments Thu, 20 Feb 2025 06:02:00 +0100 tjasibi.podbean.com/c62e49f7-777c-3902-bd3a-60e3d2590e1d As an output of strategic culture, a State Defence Strategy should set the direction of the defence policy and focus on defence system development and employment. As the main effort line to shape plans to be a reliable alliance member, the Slovenian Defence Strategy takes over the burden of collective defence (capabilities and operations). It fosters democracy, human rights, and civil and parliamentary military control. Strategic culture as a result of a "negotiated reality" built over time is the sum of values specifically for Slovenia's culture, still partially based on the Second World War revolutionary character, comradeship, patterns of nonalignment foreign policy behaviour and ideologies of the one political party system. Emotional instead of rational responses to the legacy Total People’s Defence concept are presented at parliament and leading Slovenian newspapers.

 

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]]> As an output of strategic culture, a State Defence Strategy should set the direction of the defence policy and focus on defence system development and employment. As the main effort line to shape plans to be a reliable alliance member, the Slovenian Defence Strategy takes over the burden of collective defence (capabilities and operations). It fosters democracy, human rights, and civil and parliamentary military control. Strategic culture as a result of a "negotiated reality" built over time is the sum of values specifically for Slovenia's culture, still partially based on the Second World War revolutionary character, comradeship, patterns of nonalignment foreign policy behaviour and ideologies of the one political party system. Emotional instead of rational responses to the legacy Total People’s Defence concept are presented at parliament and leading Slovenian newspapers.

 

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]]> TDHJ false No 3008 36 full The Horizon Audiofiles - Ep 029 - Manoeuvre And MDO Thinking In An Urban Defensive Scenario The Horizon Audiofiles - Ep 029 - Manoeuvre And MDO Thinking In An Urban Defensive Scenario https://tjasibi.podbean.com/e/the-horizon-audiofiles-ep-029-manoeuvre-and-mdo-thinking-in-an-urban-defensive-scenario/ https://tjasibi.podbean.com/e/the-horizon-audiofiles-ep-029-manoeuvre-and-mdo-thinking-in-an-urban-defensive-scenario/#comments Thu, 13 Feb 2025 06:00:00 +0100 tjasibi.podbean.com/3d56a5a8-8e35-305b-8eb1-8508de231661 Urban warfare presents complex challenges that necessitate rethinking traditional military strategies, particularly manoeuvre warfare. The Swiss defence doctrine "Armee 2030" addresses these challenges by emphasising multidomain operations, technological integration, and adaptability. Key to this approach is the decentralisation of command, allowing for autonomous decision-making by leaders on the lower tactical level who must consider the broader impact of their actions across various domains. Integrating advanced technologies, such as drones and AI, enhances situational awareness and precision in urban combat. By balancing military effectiveness with ethical considerations, the Swiss Armed Forces are well-prepared to navigate the complexities of urban warfare, ensuring the protection of civilian lives and national security.

 

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]]> Urban warfare presents complex challenges that necessitate rethinking traditional military strategies, particularly manoeuvre warfare. The Swiss defence doctrine "Armee 2030" addresses these challenges by emphasising multidomain operations, technological integration, and adaptability. Key to this approach is the decentralisation of command, allowing for autonomous decision-making by leaders on the lower tactical level who must consider the broader impact of their actions across various domains. Integrating advanced technologies, such as drones and AI, enhances situational awareness and precision in urban combat. By balancing military effectiveness with ethical considerations, the Swiss Armed Forces are well-prepared to navigate the complexities of urban warfare, ensuring the protection of civilian lives and national security.

 

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]]> TDHJ false No 1546 35 full The Horizon Audiofiles - Ep 028 - Betrachtungen zum manöverbasierten Ansatz in der Taktikausbildung The Horizon Audiofiles - Ep 028 - Betrachtungen zum manöverbasierten Ansatz in der Taktikausbildung https://tjasibi.podbean.com/e/the-horizon-audiofiles-ep-028-betrachtungen-zum-manoverbasierten-ansatz-in-der-taktikausbildung/ https://tjasibi.podbean.com/e/the-horizon-audiofiles-ep-028-betrachtungen-zum-manoverbasierten-ansatz-in-der-taktikausbildung/#comments Thu, 06 Feb 2025 06:02:00 +0100 tjasibi.podbean.com/f8712e04-8c53-340c-b6a7-3c0768d4c380 Die Taktikausbildung im Österreichischen Bundesheer (ÖBH) war in den letzten Jahrzehnten von der Idee des Manövers geprägt. Sämtliche Lösungen für taktische Herausforderungen haben sich daher am Manöver orientiert. Das Manöver hatte zum Ziel, eine eigene Überlegenheit aufgrund Beweglichkeit und Überraschung zu erreichen. Dieses Dogma wurde auch dem gegnerischen Verhalten zu Grunde gelegt. Spätestens seit Beginn des aktuellen Krieges in der Ukraine muss jedoch von einem „gläsernen Gefechtsfeld“ ausgegangen werden, welches das überraschende Auftreten von Streitkräften sehr erschwert hat. Ein weiterer Aspekt ist der massive Einsatz von Steilfeuer, geleitet mittels Drohnen, wodurch sichere Rückzugs- beziehungsweise Bereitstellungsräume praktisch verschwunden sind.

 

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]]> Die Taktikausbildung im Österreichischen Bundesheer (ÖBH) war in den letzten Jahrzehnten von der Idee des Manövers geprägt. Sämtliche Lösungen für taktische Herausforderungen haben sich daher am Manöver orientiert. Das Manöver hatte zum Ziel, eine eigene Überlegenheit aufgrund Beweglichkeit und Überraschung zu erreichen. Dieses Dogma wurde auch dem gegnerischen Verhalten zu Grunde gelegt. Spätestens seit Beginn des aktuellen Krieges in der Ukraine muss jedoch von einem „gläsernen Gefechtsfeld“ ausgegangen werden, welches das überraschende Auftreten von Streitkräften sehr erschwert hat. Ein weiterer Aspekt ist der massive Einsatz von Steilfeuer, geleitet mittels Drohnen, wodurch sichere Rückzugs- beziehungsweise Bereitstellungsräume praktisch verschwunden sind.

 

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]]> TDHJ false No 759 34 full The Horizon Audiofiles - Ep 027 - Manoeuvre And Attrition – Core Elements Of Naval Warfare The Horizon Audiofiles - Ep 027 - Manoeuvre And Attrition – Core Elements Of Naval Warfare https://tjasibi.podbean.com/e/the-horizon-audiofiles-ep-027-manoeuvre-and-attrition-%e2%80%93-core-elements-of-naval-warfare/ https://tjasibi.podbean.com/e/the-horizon-audiofiles-ep-027-manoeuvre-and-attrition-%e2%80%93-core-elements-of-naval-warfare/#comments Thu, 30 Jan 2025 06:02:00 +0100 tjasibi.podbean.com/e168ad57-4710-3205-8c05-dd4b529b1829 In contrast to recent engagements at sea defined nearly exclusively by the logic of attrition, this paper argues that manoeuvre warfare is an essential component of naval warfare. The article shows that, depending on mission objectives, naval operations are characterised by manoeuvre warfare and thus contribute to minimising an adversary’s attempt to attrite one's forces.

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]]> In contrast to recent engagements at sea defined nearly exclusively by the logic of attrition, this paper argues that manoeuvre warfare is an essential component of naval warfare. The article shows that, depending on mission objectives, naval operations are characterised by manoeuvre warfare and thus contribute to minimising an adversary’s attempt to attrite one's forces.

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]]> TDHJ false No 1830 33 full The Horizon Audiofiles - Ep 026 - Russian Views On The Future Of Manoeuvrist Approach The Horizon Audiofiles - Ep 026 - Russian Views On The Future Of Manoeuvrist Approach https://tjasibi.podbean.com/e/the-horizon-audiofiles-ep-026-russian-views-on-the-future-of-manoeuvrist-approach/ https://tjasibi.podbean.com/e/the-horizon-audiofiles-ep-026-russian-views-on-the-future-of-manoeuvrist-approach/#comments Thu, 23 Jan 2025 06:00:00 +0100 tjasibi.podbean.com/16d9bf83-cd1e-3d67-9e12-913e7ecdc39e In spite of the expectations of Moscow, the war in Ukraine has quickly turned into a war of attrition. Based on open-source military publications, this paper aims to present Russian views on the causes of positional war as well as on the future of manoeuvre warfare. While not questioning the purpose of the war, in between the lines, Russian military thinkers acknowledge the responsibility of the political leadership for underestimating Ukraine and using military force in a wasteful manner. On the other hand, they also recognise that the Russian military thinkers were selective when considering lessons of the previous decades, disregarding trends that were pointing to the heavily positional nature of contemporary wars. Finding ways to implement manoeuvre warfare in the current operational environment will most likely be high on the agenda of Russian military thought, as recent publications indicate.

 

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]]> In spite of the expectations of Moscow, the war in Ukraine has quickly turned into a war of attrition. Based on open-source military publications, this paper aims to present Russian views on the causes of positional war as well as on the future of manoeuvre warfare. While not questioning the purpose of the war, in between the lines, Russian military thinkers acknowledge the responsibility of the political leadership for underestimating Ukraine and using military force in a wasteful manner. On the other hand, they also recognise that the Russian military thinkers were selective when considering lessons of the previous decades, disregarding trends that were pointing to the heavily positional nature of contemporary wars. Finding ways to implement manoeuvre warfare in the current operational environment will most likely be high on the agenda of Russian military thought, as recent publications indicate.

 

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]]> TDHJ false No 1764 32 full The Horizon Audiofiles - Ep 025 - The Principles Of Manoeuvrist Approach In Military Leader Development The Horizon Audiofiles - Ep 025 - The Principles Of Manoeuvrist Approach In Military Leader Development https://tjasibi.podbean.com/e/the-horizon-audiofiles-ep-025-the-principles-of-manoeuvrist-approach-in-military-leader-development/ https://tjasibi.podbean.com/e/the-horizon-audiofiles-ep-025-the-principles-of-manoeuvrist-approach-in-military-leader-development/#comments Thu, 16 Jan 2025 06:08:00 +0100 tjasibi.podbean.com/db2508b1-9070-32db-847a-a9cd597bcdbc The manoeuvrist approach is highly relevant for militaries facing stronger adversaries, and its principles are, therefore, taught in the Estonian Military Academy. For evaluating the effectiveness of teaching methodology and its outcomes, essential maneuverist principles were identified, and their prominence was determined by analysing interviews with the lecturers and, thereafter, student’s written assignments. The study highlights both the principles that are generally adhered to and those that are missing while also addressing the challenges of their teaching and assessment.

 

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]]> The manoeuvrist approach is highly relevant for militaries facing stronger adversaries, and its principles are, therefore, taught in the Estonian Military Academy. For evaluating the effectiveness of teaching methodology and its outcomes, essential maneuverist principles were identified, and their prominence was determined by analysing interviews with the lecturers and, thereafter, student’s written assignments. The study highlights both the principles that are generally adhered to and those that are missing while also addressing the challenges of their teaching and assessment.

 

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]]> TDHJ false No 1646 31 full The Horizon Audiofiles - Ep 024 - Strategic And Political Manoeuvring In The Age Of AI The Horizon Audiofiles - Ep 024 - Strategic And Political Manoeuvring In The Age Of AI https://tjasibi.podbean.com/e/the-horizon-audiofiles-ep-024-strategic-and-political-manoeuvring-in-the-age-of-ai/ https://tjasibi.podbean.com/e/the-horizon-audiofiles-ep-024-strategic-and-political-manoeuvring-in-the-age-of-ai/#comments Thu, 09 Jan 2025 06:01:00 +0100 tjasibi.podbean.com/8258e7dd-60a9-35bf-bfa8-9241decf3d79 In the context of governance, AI offers chances to improve efficiency and effectiveness in public services. However, the strategic use of AI necessitates careful consideration of ethical concepts, including openness, accountability, and justice. Regarding security, AI is changing the nature of battle and conflict. Nations are investing significantly in AI-powered military capabilities, such as autonomous weapons systems and cyber warfare. Strategic issues are essential in this setting, as governments aim to discourage adversaries while maintaining a strategic advantage in an AI-enabled battlefield. Political leaders must also consider the ethical implications of artificial intelligence in conflict, such as the employment of lethal autonomous weapons and their impact on civilian populations.

 

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]]> In the context of governance, AI offers chances to improve efficiency and effectiveness in public services. However, the strategic use of AI necessitates careful consideration of ethical concepts, including openness, accountability, and justice. Regarding security, AI is changing the nature of battle and conflict. Nations are investing significantly in AI-powered military capabilities, such as autonomous weapons systems and cyber warfare. Strategic issues are essential in this setting, as governments aim to discourage adversaries while maintaining a strategic advantage in an AI-enabled battlefield. Political leaders must also consider the ethical implications of artificial intelligence in conflict, such as the employment of lethal autonomous weapons and their impact on civilian populations.

 

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]]> TDHJ false No 1786 30 full The Horizon Audiofiles - Ep 023 - Digging Into The Future The Horizon Audiofiles - Ep 023 - Digging Into The Future https://tjasibi.podbean.com/e/the-horizon-audiofiles-ep-023-digging-into-the-future/ https://tjasibi.podbean.com/e/the-horizon-audiofiles-ep-023-digging-into-the-future/#comments Thu, 02 Jan 2025 06:00:00 +0100 tjasibi.podbean.com/492c691c-a686-3d19-b35e-d96b4f724a74 This Podcast critically examines the Western military's reliance on manoeuvrist warfare as defined by NATO, positing that this approach may prove myopic in the context of potentially unlimited warfare. It argues that expecting a single set of forces to achieve decisive results against a resilient adversary swiftly is a high-risk strategy. Furthermore, an excessive focus on the manoeuvrist approach may disconnect military efforts from their fundamental political objectives, leading to tactical and operational disorientation and forfeiture of the strategic initiative. In response, the paper advocates for a recalibration of strategy towards attriting the adversarial Centre of Gravity instead of expecting definitive successes from quick and clean land operations. This approach requires Western forces to accept the dire consequences of strategic attrition and embrace prolonged and symmetric warfare strategies to secure favourable outcomes.

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]]> This Podcast critically examines the Western military's reliance on manoeuvrist warfare as defined by NATO, positing that this approach may prove myopic in the context of potentially unlimited warfare. It argues that expecting a single set of forces to achieve decisive results against a resilient adversary swiftly is a high-risk strategy. Furthermore, an excessive focus on the manoeuvrist approach may disconnect military efforts from their fundamental political objectives, leading to tactical and operational disorientation and forfeiture of the strategic initiative. In response, the paper advocates for a recalibration of strategy towards attriting the adversarial Centre of Gravity instead of expecting definitive successes from quick and clean land operations. This approach requires Western forces to accept the dire consequences of strategic attrition and embrace prolonged and symmetric warfare strategies to secure favourable outcomes.

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]]> TDHJ false No 1971 29 full The Horizon Audiofiles - Ep 022 - Reviving Tanks’ Manoeuvrability on Modern Battlefields The Horizon Audiofiles - Ep 022 - Reviving Tanks’ Manoeuvrability on Modern Battlefields https://tjasibi.podbean.com/e/the-horizon-audiofiles-ep-022-reviving-tanks-manoeuvrability-on-modern-battlefields/ https://tjasibi.podbean.com/e/the-horizon-audiofiles-ep-022-reviving-tanks-manoeuvrability-on-modern-battlefields/#comments Thu, 26 Dec 2024 06:00:00 +0100 tjasibi.podbean.com/dcfe440d-7ab9-37d2-be1b-2e0e53fbe155 New weapon systems, like drones, challenge the ability of tanks to manoeuvre on the battlefield, thereby influencing the conduct of operations by mechanised forces. In the 21st century, tank forces must persist in both attritional and manoeuvre warfare. Therefore, new design features, alongside updated tactics, techniques, and procedures (TTPs), must be introduced for tanks in Western armies.

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]]> New weapon systems, like drones, challenge the ability of tanks to manoeuvre on the battlefield, thereby influencing the conduct of operations by mechanised forces. In the 21st century, tank forces must persist in both attritional and manoeuvre warfare. Therefore, new design features, alongside updated tactics, techniques, and procedures (TTPs), must be introduced for tanks in Western armies.

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]]> TDHJ false No 1813 28 full The Horizon Audiofiles - Ep 021 - The Necessity To Defend Against Manoeuvre Warfare The Horizon Audiofiles - Ep 021 - The Necessity To Defend Against Manoeuvre Warfare https://tjasibi.podbean.com/e/the-horizon-audiofiles-ep-021-the-necessity-to-defend-against-manoeuvre-warfare/ https://tjasibi.podbean.com/e/the-horizon-audiofiles-ep-021-the-necessity-to-defend-against-manoeuvre-warfare/#comments Mon, 23 Dec 2024 06:02:00 +0100 tjasibi.podbean.com/1ee2ddba-99ba-3734-b201-2a8f8e1bc16f China's weaponisation of economics is fully in line with China’s grand strategy. China relies mainly on using the indirect instead of the direct approach. Manoeuvre warfare as an indirect approach sees the opponent as an interconnected system, to which measures against identified vulnerabilities are applied. The goal is systemic destruction – the incapacitation or collapse of the opponent’s whole system – rather than cumulative destruction through a series of attritional engagements. An authoritarian government, like China, with unified, centralised and nearly unlimited state power exercise economic coercion through state capitalism against states, which rely on the private sector and an international, integrated global supply chain system for their economic welfare, using speed, agility and simultaneity.

 

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]]> China's weaponisation of economics is fully in line with China’s grand strategy. China relies mainly on using the indirect instead of the direct approach. Manoeuvre warfare as an indirect approach sees the opponent as an interconnected system, to which measures against identified vulnerabilities are applied. The goal is systemic destruction – the incapacitation or collapse of the opponent’s whole system – rather than cumulative destruction through a series of attritional engagements. An authoritarian government, like China, with unified, centralised and nearly unlimited state power exercise economic coercion through state capitalism against states, which rely on the private sector and an international, integrated global supply chain system for their economic welfare, using speed, agility and simultaneity.

 

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]]> TDHJ false No 1518 27 full The Horizon Audiofiles - Ep 020 - Hider Finder Competition, Deception, and Ground Manoeuvre The Horizon Audiofiles - Ep 020 - Hider Finder Competition, Deception, and Ground Manoeuvre https://tjasibi.podbean.com/e/the-horizon-audiofiles-ep-020-hider-finder-competition-deception-and-ground-manoeuvre/ https://tjasibi.podbean.com/e/the-horizon-audiofiles-ep-020-hider-finder-competition-deception-and-ground-manoeuvre/#comments Fri, 20 Dec 2024 06:02:00 +0100 tjasibi.podbean.com/db2ba28e-eea5-3a26-8ae6-62fa8ac50cb6 The widespread use of sensors and stand-off precision fires is increasingly hampering ground manoeuvre and endangering manoeuvre forces in their staging areas. While some militaries adopt Multi-Domain Operations (MDO)-approaches as a remedy, it might be cheaper and more effective for small and medium-sized powers to disrupt adversaries' MDO capabilities than to try and replicate them. Instead, drawing on the lessons of hider-finder competitions in the aerial and maritime domains, it offers some initial suggestions on how ground forces can use deception and denial approaches to prevent their adversaries from exploiting the “transparent battlefield.”

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]]> The widespread use of sensors and stand-off precision fires is increasingly hampering ground manoeuvre and endangering manoeuvre forces in their staging areas. While some militaries adopt Multi-Domain Operations (MDO)-approaches as a remedy, it might be cheaper and more effective for small and medium-sized powers to disrupt adversaries' MDO capabilities than to try and replicate them. Instead, drawing on the lessons of hider-finder competitions in the aerial and maritime domains, it offers some initial suggestions on how ground forces can use deception and denial approaches to prevent their adversaries from exploiting the “transparent battlefield.”

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]]> TDHJ false No 1398 26 full The Horizon Audiofiles - Ep 019 - The German Army's Medium Forces The Horizon Audiofiles - Ep 019 - The German Army's Medium Forces https://tjasibi.podbean.com/e/the-horizon-audiofiles-ep-019-the-german-armys-medium-forces/ https://tjasibi.podbean.com/e/the-horizon-audiofiles-ep-019-the-german-armys-medium-forces/#comments Mon, 16 Dec 2024 06:02:00 +0100 tjasibi.podbean.com/5d9d2acf-4326-3c91-a935-c64b69e9f6ac The German Army's Medium Forces are crucial in maintaining the principles of Manoeuvre Warfare and the "Manoeuvrist Approach". Their mobility, flexibility, and rapid deployment capabilities make them essential for NATO's defence strategy, particularly on the eastern flank. These forces bridge the gap between light infantry and heavy armoured units, providing a versatile response to diverse threats. While challenges in logistics and adaptability exist, the Medium Forces represent a strategic asset in ensuring NATO's readiness and deterrence against potential adversaries. Their development underscores the importance of adaptability and innovation in contemporary military operations.

 

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]]> The German Army's Medium Forces are crucial in maintaining the principles of Manoeuvre Warfare and the "Manoeuvrist Approach". Their mobility, flexibility, and rapid deployment capabilities make them essential for NATO's defence strategy, particularly on the eastern flank. These forces bridge the gap between light infantry and heavy armoured units, providing a versatile response to diverse threats. While challenges in logistics and adaptability exist, the Medium Forces represent a strategic asset in ensuring NATO's readiness and deterrence against potential adversaries. Their development underscores the importance of adaptability and innovation in contemporary military operations.

 

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]]> TDHJ false No 1114 25 full The Horizon Audiofiles - Ep 018 - The Influence of Media Narratives on Military Strategy The Horizon Audiofiles - Ep 018 - The Influence of Media Narratives on Military Strategy https://tjasibi.podbean.com/e/the-horizon-audiofiles-ep-018-the-influence-of-media-narratives-on-military-strategy/ https://tjasibi.podbean.com/e/the-horizon-audiofiles-ep-018-the-influence-of-media-narratives-on-military-strategy/#comments Fri, 13 Dec 2024 06:02:00 +0100 tjasibi.podbean.com/2fc89d5d-e1f9-3593-80ea-afdd55cbafbb Media is pivotal in shaping the discourse around attrition and manoeuvre warfare strategies in modern military contexts. These narratives contribute greatly to the perceived rivalry between the two strategies, impacting public perception and strategic decision-making. Given the prevalence of media bias in military reporting and its implications for public support and strategic outcomes, it is necessary to further challenge the notion of manoeuvre warfare's obsolescence and reach a nuanced understanding that recognises the continued relevance and potential evolution of manoeuvre tactics in modern warfare.

 

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]]> Media is pivotal in shaping the discourse around attrition and manoeuvre warfare strategies in modern military contexts. These narratives contribute greatly to the perceived rivalry between the two strategies, impacting public perception and strategic decision-making. Given the prevalence of media bias in military reporting and its implications for public support and strategic outcomes, it is necessary to further challenge the notion of manoeuvre warfare's obsolescence and reach a nuanced understanding that recognises the continued relevance and potential evolution of manoeuvre tactics in modern warfare.

 

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]]> TDHJ false No 1871 24 full The Horizon Audiofiles - Ep 017 - Cyberspace has developed a Janus faced nature The Horizon Audiofiles - Ep 017 - Cyberspace has developed a Janus faced nature https://tjasibi.podbean.com/e/the-horizon-audiofiles-ep-017-cyberspace-has-developed-a-janus-faced-nature/ https://tjasibi.podbean.com/e/the-horizon-audiofiles-ep-017-cyberspace-has-developed-a-janus-faced-nature/#comments Mon, 09 Dec 2024 06:00:00 +0100 tjasibi.podbean.com/a2350620-90c3-3aee-b367-891cf936cb58 As a prerequisite to effectively identifying and countering cyber and hybrid threats, as well as cognitive warfare/superiority campaigns against Western democracies worldwide, it is crucial to have cross-governmental and international information-sharing capabilities. Due to the vast amount of data, this process must be supported by technically advanced AI/ML-powered technology to analyse multilingual and publicly available information in near real-time. Such monitoring systems must send timely alerts to specific decision-makers, supporting them in formulating appropriate responses to hybrid activities as part of emerging and evolving cognitive warfare campaigns from adversarial countries like Russia and/or the People’s Republic of China.

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]]> As a prerequisite to effectively identifying and countering cyber and hybrid threats, as well as cognitive warfare/superiority campaigns against Western democracies worldwide, it is crucial to have cross-governmental and international information-sharing capabilities. Due to the vast amount of data, this process must be supported by technically advanced AI/ML-powered technology to analyse multilingual and publicly available information in near real-time. Such monitoring systems must send timely alerts to specific decision-makers, supporting them in formulating appropriate responses to hybrid activities as part of emerging and evolving cognitive warfare campaigns from adversarial countries like Russia and/or the People’s Republic of China.

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]]> TDHJ false No 1322 23 full The Horizon Audiofiles - Ep 016 - Manoeuvre Is Dead – But It Can Be Revived The Horizon Audiofiles - Ep 016 - Manoeuvre Is Dead – But It Can Be Revived https://tjasibi.podbean.com/e/the-horizon-audiofiles-ep-016-manoeuvre-is-dead-%e2%80%93-but-it-can-be-revived/ https://tjasibi.podbean.com/e/the-horizon-audiofiles-ep-016-manoeuvre-is-dead-%e2%80%93-but-it-can-be-revived/#comments Fri, 06 Dec 2024 06:00:00 +0100 tjasibi.podbean.com/6a8cee15-5455-3af1-8a6f-325e80710b8d Technological innovations such as ubiquitous drones have led to a stalemate in the current war in Ukraine. Western observers who see the war of attrition as a disadvantage ask whether it can be transformed into a war of manoeuvre. We argue that this is only possible if the West succeeds in exploiting competitive advantage through innovations that are not accessible to or exploitable by opponents. To show this, we first extend the dichotomy to a triad of “guerrilla – attrition – manoeuvre”, including strategic shifts such as “unfreezing and freezing”. Drawing on civil literature on innovation, we argue that the unfreezing of attrition into manoeuvre corresponds to exploiting competitive advantages gained through innovation. However, because today's cutting-edge innovations come from civilian industry, they lack rarity and inimitability, and their respective advantages are, therefore, not sustainable. Until this situation is rectified, manoeuvre warfare will remain dead. The only way out is to develop decisive non-civil innovations or to focus on those competitive advantages, such as soft power, that the enemy cannot exploit.

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]]> Technological innovations such as ubiquitous drones have led to a stalemate in the current war in Ukraine. Western observers who see the war of attrition as a disadvantage ask whether it can be transformed into a war of manoeuvre. We argue that this is only possible if the West succeeds in exploiting competitive advantage through innovations that are not accessible to or exploitable by opponents. To show this, we first extend the dichotomy to a triad of “guerrilla – attrition – manoeuvre”, including strategic shifts such as “unfreezing and freezing”. Drawing on civil literature on innovation, we argue that the unfreezing of attrition into manoeuvre corresponds to exploiting competitive advantages gained through innovation. However, because today's cutting-edge innovations come from civilian industry, they lack rarity and inimitability, and their respective advantages are, therefore, not sustainable. Until this situation is rectified, manoeuvre warfare will remain dead. The only way out is to develop decisive non-civil innovations or to focus on those competitive advantages, such as soft power, that the enemy cannot exploit.

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]]> TDHJ false No 2120 22 full The Horizon Audiofiles - Ep 015 - Manoeuvre Warfare As A Challenge To The Former Strategic Concept Of The Horizon Audiofiles - Ep 015 - Manoeuvre Warfare As A Challenge To The Former Strategic Concept Of https://tjasibi.podbean.com/e/the-horizon-audiofiles-ep-15-manoeuvre-warfare-as-a-challenge-to-the-former-strategic-concept-of/ https://tjasibi.podbean.com/e/the-horizon-audiofiles-ep-15-manoeuvre-warfare-as-a-challenge-to-the-former-strategic-concept-of/#comments Mon, 02 Dec 2024 06:00:00 +0100 tjasibi.podbean.com/3e1f724c-6c67-326b-8841-457cd841ec92 NATO's defence concept in the central region called for the Forward Defence close to the Iron Curtain during the Cold War. The aim was to achieve superiority through fire and movement through a manoeuvrist approach: manoeuvre combined with attritional effects. How this was to be achieved in battles of combined arms was assessed differently in the troop-contributing nations and within the NATO Command Structure. This led to discussions among concerned military authorities until harmonisation was reached shortly before the end of the Cold War.

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]]> NATO's defence concept in the central region called for the Forward Defence close to the Iron Curtain during the Cold War. The aim was to achieve superiority through fire and movement through a manoeuvrist approach: manoeuvre combined with attritional effects. How this was to be achieved in battles of combined arms was assessed differently in the troop-contributing nations and within the NATO Command Structure. This led to discussions among concerned military authorities until harmonisation was reached shortly before the end of the Cold War.

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]]> TDHJ false No 1415 21 full The Horizon Audiofiles - Ep 014 - Then we will fight in the shade The Horizon Audiofiles - Ep 014 - Then we will fight in the shade https://tjasibi.podbean.com/e/the-horizon-audiofiles-ep-014-then-we-will-fight-in-the-shade/ https://tjasibi.podbean.com/e/the-horizon-audiofiles-ep-014-then-we-will-fight-in-the-shade/#comments Fri, 29 Nov 2024 06:00:00 +0100 tjasibi.podbean.com/f427c058-7307-3512-8966-b572b1fa7875 The recognition of existential threats such as cognitive warfare is crucial to avoid defeat. Western societies must address such threats by leveraging their militaries’ adaptability. Relying solely on the military poses risks, however, necessitating a comprehensive approach to national security. Coordination among all the instruments of power under democratic control is essential for effective outcomes. Western militaries should focus on deterrence and support political decision making. Cognitive warfare targeting civilians requires continuous societal education and enhanced governmental information capabilities. While international law addresses various challenges, there may not be a legal solution for those arising from cognitive warfare. In the face of modern threats Europe may need to defend its values through comprehensive, coordinated and synchronized means.

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]]> The recognition of existential threats such as cognitive warfare is crucial to avoid defeat. Western societies must address such threats by leveraging their militaries’ adaptability. Relying solely on the military poses risks, however, necessitating a comprehensive approach to national security. Coordination among all the instruments of power under democratic control is essential for effective outcomes. Western militaries should focus on deterrence and support political decision making. Cognitive warfare targeting civilians requires continuous societal education and enhanced governmental information capabilities. While international law addresses various challenges, there may not be a legal solution for those arising from cognitive warfare. In the face of modern threats Europe may need to defend its values through comprehensive, coordinated and synchronized means.

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]]> TDHJ false No 1119 20 full The Horizon Audiofiles - Ep 013 - The Significance Of Materialism &Postmaterialism Values For Future The Horizon Audiofiles - Ep 013 - The Significance Of Materialism &Postmaterialism Values For Future https://tjasibi.podbean.com/e/the-horizon-audiofiles-ep-013-the-significance-of-materialism-postmaterialism-values-for-future/ https://tjasibi.podbean.com/e/the-horizon-audiofiles-ep-013-the-significance-of-materialism-postmaterialism-values-for-future/#comments Mon, 25 Nov 2024 06:00:00 +0100 tjasibi.podbean.com/9e65d605-f873-3437-b461-67fd8b90751a Traditionally, ideal-typical officers are conservative and right-leaning both in terms of value-based and redistribution policies. In spite of the appearance of a new type of conservatism, our findings indicate that this is still the case: Intrinsic motivation is strongest among cadets whose personal values align with classical conservatism.

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]]> Traditionally, ideal-typical officers are conservative and right-leaning both in terms of value-based and redistribution policies. In spite of the appearance of a new type of conservatism, our findings indicate that this is still the case: Intrinsic motivation is strongest among cadets whose personal values align with classical conservatism.

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]]> TDHJ false No 1342 19 full The Horizon Audiofiles - Ep 012 - Legal And Strategic Approaches To AI Enhanced Threats In CI The Horizon Audiofiles - Ep 012 - Legal And Strategic Approaches To AI Enhanced Threats In CI https://tjasibi.podbean.com/e/the-horizon-audiofiles-ep-012-legal-and-strategic-approaches-to-ai-enhanced-threats-in-ci/ https://tjasibi.podbean.com/e/the-horizon-audiofiles-ep-012-legal-and-strategic-approaches-to-ai-enhanced-threats-in-ci/#comments Fri, 22 Nov 2024 06:01:00 +0100 tjasibi.podbean.com/78d41f08-ae83-3616-86b0-9484ffdb350a In today's interconnected world, communication networks form the backbone of society, enabling global connectivity and innovation. However, these systems are vulnerable to cyber-attacks, as evidenced by Russian forces targeting satellite-based networks during the Ukraine war, disrupting crucial services. This highlights the need to protect critical infrastructure from digital threats. AI-enhanced threats exacerbate vulnerabilities but also offer defence opportunities. To fortify against disruptions, strengthening legal frameworks, fostering international cooperation, and leveraging AI for defence is essential. Addressing these challenges requires a multifaceted international approach to safeguard our critical digital infrastructure from evolving cyber threats.

 

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]]> In today's interconnected world, communication networks form the backbone of society, enabling global connectivity and innovation. However, these systems are vulnerable to cyber-attacks, as evidenced by Russian forces targeting satellite-based networks during the Ukraine war, disrupting crucial services. This highlights the need to protect critical infrastructure from digital threats. AI-enhanced threats exacerbate vulnerabilities but also offer defence opportunities. To fortify against disruptions, strengthening legal frameworks, fostering international cooperation, and leveraging AI for defence is essential. Addressing these challenges requires a multifaceted international approach to safeguard our critical digital infrastructure from evolving cyber threats.

 

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]]> TDHJ false No 1768 18 full The Horizon Audiofiles - Ep 011 - Legislation As An Instrument Of Cognitive Warfare The Horizon Audiofiles - Ep 011 - Legislation As An Instrument Of Cognitive Warfare https://tjasibi.podbean.com/e/the-horizon-audiofiles-ep-011-legislation-as-an-instrument-of-cognitive-warfare/ https://tjasibi.podbean.com/e/the-horizon-audiofiles-ep-011-legislation-as-an-instrument-of-cognitive-warfare/#comments Mon, 18 Nov 2024 06:01:00 +0100 tjasibi.podbean.com/10f32a62-683e-34e5-a439-9e4a9392d483 While subduing the opponent's will has been the pinnacle of warfare since Sun Tzu, the existing notion of cognitive warfare has gained traction with the possibility of influencing the opponent directly via cyberspace and social media. Influence operations via cyberspace entail swaying public opinion, manipulative psychological warfare, and lawfare. The use of law as an instrument of power to affect perception and cognition is possible due to ongoing legal disputes on how to apply (international) law to cyberspace. States can cherry-pick or even assertively exploit variations in interpretations of international law to pursue or defend their national interests as a means of cognitive warfare.

 

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]]> While subduing the opponent's will has been the pinnacle of warfare since Sun Tzu, the existing notion of cognitive warfare has gained traction with the possibility of influencing the opponent directly via cyberspace and social media. Influence operations via cyberspace entail swaying public opinion, manipulative psychological warfare, and lawfare. The use of law as an instrument of power to affect perception and cognition is possible due to ongoing legal disputes on how to apply (international) law to cyberspace. States can cherry-pick or even assertively exploit variations in interpretations of international law to pursue or defend their national interests as a means of cognitive warfare.

 

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]]> TDHJ false No 1399 17 full The Horizon Audiofiles - Ep 010 - From Hunches To Forecasts The Horizon Audiofiles - Ep 010 - From Hunches To Forecasts https://tjasibi.podbean.com/e/the-horizon-audiofiles-ep-010-from-hunches-to-forecasts/ https://tjasibi.podbean.com/e/the-horizon-audiofiles-ep-010-from-hunches-to-forecasts/#comments Fri, 15 Nov 2024 06:02:00 +0100 tjasibi.podbean.com/ad983a6f-b62f-33c9-a137-ee958b2527d5 Hybrid warfare operations embrace “anything that gets results” strategy, including significant information operations. Western democracies need to better understand the information operations that are undertaken against them. This will need to involve more rigorous observation, monitoring, and measurement of malign political campaigns undertaken against them via the Internet.

 

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]]> Hybrid warfare operations embrace “anything that gets results” strategy, including significant information operations. Western democracies need to better understand the information operations that are undertaken against them. This will need to involve more rigorous observation, monitoring, and measurement of malign political campaigns undertaken against them via the Internet.

 

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]]> TDHJ false No 1194 16 full The Horizon Audiofiles - Ep 009 - Defending Free Speech With Free Choice The Horizon Audiofiles - Ep 009 - Defending Free Speech With Free Choice https://tjasibi.podbean.com/e/the-horizon-audiofiles-ep-009-defending-free-speech-with-free-choice/ https://tjasibi.podbean.com/e/the-horizon-audiofiles-ep-009-defending-free-speech-with-free-choice/#comments Mon, 11 Nov 2024 06:01:00 +0100 tjasibi.podbean.com/6453d0dd-8f52-3f4c-8a0c-f3b2cd3b2da4 Cognitive warfare and, particularly, disinformation, is now heavily reliant on social media platforms, cybertechnologies, and AI, with the aim to cause confusion, societal polarisation, mistrust, anger, and hatred against governments, organisations, communities, or opposing individuals. While disinformation is a global problem, early defences based on censorship also threaten core Western values, such as freedom of speech and democracy. Unsurprisingly, surveyed EU citizens overwhelmingly consider disinformation as a threat to democracy.

 

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]]> Cognitive warfare and, particularly, disinformation, is now heavily reliant on social media platforms, cybertechnologies, and AI, with the aim to cause confusion, societal polarisation, mistrust, anger, and hatred against governments, organisations, communities, or opposing individuals. While disinformation is a global problem, early defences based on censorship also threaten core Western values, such as freedom of speech and democracy. Unsurprisingly, surveyed EU citizens overwhelmingly consider disinformation as a threat to democracy.

 

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]]> TDHJ false No 1451 15 full The Horizon Audiofiles - Ep008 - Clausewitz's Culmination Principle As A Manoeuvre In The Figurative The Horizon Audiofiles - Ep008 - Clausewitz's Culmination Principle As A Manoeuvre In The Figurative https://tjasibi.podbean.com/e/the-horizon-audiofiles-ep008-clausewitzs-culmination-principle-as-a-manoeuvre-in-the-figurative/ https://tjasibi.podbean.com/e/the-horizon-audiofiles-ep008-clausewitzs-culmination-principle-as-a-manoeuvre-in-the-figurative/#comments Fri, 08 Nov 2024 06:01:00 +0100 tjasibi.podbean.com/75d51361-5ad8-33a5-8e6a-a6f1f4b716cf Manoeuvre is still the most challenging phase of military operations. However, it has changed from the temporal-spatial coordination of physical combat power factors to a more mentally based control of, among other things, the intensity progression of armed conflicts. The targeted use of the culmination principle offers armed forces — in particular those characterised by the continental European leadership philosophy and based on the war theory findings of Carl von Clausewitz — a unique opportunity to at least partially compensate for physical inferiority through mental agility — in other words, to ´outmanoeuvre´ the enemy in a figurative sense.

 

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]]> Manoeuvre is still the most challenging phase of military operations. However, it has changed from the temporal-spatial coordination of physical combat power factors to a more mentally based control of, among other things, the intensity progression of armed conflicts. The targeted use of the culmination principle offers armed forces — in particular those characterised by the continental European leadership philosophy and based on the war theory findings of Carl von Clausewitz — a unique opportunity to at least partially compensate for physical inferiority through mental agility — in other words, to ´outmanoeuvre´ the enemy in a figurative sense.

 

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]]> TDHJ false No 2046 14 full The Horizon Audiofiles - Ep 007 - How To Dismantle A Mental Atomic Bomb? The Horizon Audiofiles - Ep 007 - How To Dismantle A Mental Atomic Bomb? https://tjasibi.podbean.com/e/the-horizon-audiofiles-ep-007-how-to-dismantle-a-mental-atomic-bomb/ https://tjasibi.podbean.com/e/the-horizon-audiofiles-ep-007-how-to-dismantle-a-mental-atomic-bomb/#comments Mon, 04 Nov 2024 06:01:00 +0100 tjasibi.podbean.com/10f21c5c-6d78-3615-8297-2ac373db9534 Foresight refers to the ability to make assumptions about probable future events based on the analysis of a situation. In a game of chess, for example, the player simulates his opponent's next moves in his head and looks for the appropriate answers. This way of thinking has also gained importance in the military context. Suppose one applies the same logical principles to a different situation. If both cognitive processes were in complete agreement, everyone would have to arrive at the same next logical step that promises maximum benefit and minimum loss. In reality, however, human thinking is subject to numerous biases that need to be recognised and appreciated. Since life and complex conflicts go far beyond the binary decisions of a game of chess, for example, it is crucial to act beyond the limits of spatial and temporal thinking.

 

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]]> Foresight refers to the ability to make assumptions about probable future events based on the analysis of a situation. In a game of chess, for example, the player simulates his opponent's next moves in his head and looks for the appropriate answers. This way of thinking has also gained importance in the military context. Suppose one applies the same logical principles to a different situation. If both cognitive processes were in complete agreement, everyone would have to arrive at the same next logical step that promises maximum benefit and minimum loss. In reality, however, human thinking is subject to numerous biases that need to be recognised and appreciated. Since life and complex conflicts go far beyond the binary decisions of a game of chess, for example, it is crucial to act beyond the limits of spatial and temporal thinking.

 

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]]> TDHJ false No 1812 13 full The Horizon Audiofiles - Ep 006 - Manoeuvre Warfare 2 0 – Information Manoeuvre The Horizon Audiofiles - Ep 006 - Manoeuvre Warfare 2 0 – Information Manoeuvre https://tjasibi.podbean.com/e/the-horizon-audiofiles-ep-006-manoeuvre-warfare-2-0-%e2%80%93-information-manoeuvre/ https://tjasibi.podbean.com/e/the-horizon-audiofiles-ep-006-manoeuvre-warfare-2-0-%e2%80%93-information-manoeuvre/#comments Fri, 01 Nov 2024 06:01:00 +0100 tjasibi.podbean.com/47886082-2f46-3596-ae26-37dc6d129ed7 The manoeuvrist approach is, at its most elemental, a mode of thought for overcoming military challenges. By analysing historical and contemporary contexts and incorporating insights from emerging technologies, a manoeuvrist perspective can enhance strategic foresight, agility, and innovation. This study posits that the principles of the manoeuvrist approach underpin cognitive superiority, particularly in information manoeuvre within the OODA decision-making model; combined with appropriate strategic thought, it enables the assertion of interests in the 21st century.

 

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]]> The manoeuvrist approach is, at its most elemental, a mode of thought for overcoming military challenges. By analysing historical and contemporary contexts and incorporating insights from emerging technologies, a manoeuvrist perspective can enhance strategic foresight, agility, and innovation. This study posits that the principles of the manoeuvrist approach underpin cognitive superiority, particularly in information manoeuvre within the OODA decision-making model; combined with appropriate strategic thought, it enables the assertion of interests in the 21st century.

 

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]]> TDHJ false No 2363 12 full The Horizon Audiofiles - Ep 005 - Manoeuvre Warfare In The Modern Environment The Horizon Audiofiles - Ep 005 - Manoeuvre Warfare In The Modern Environment https://tjasibi.podbean.com/e/the-horizon-audiofiles-ep-005-manoeuvre-warfare-in-the-modern-environment/ https://tjasibi.podbean.com/e/the-horizon-audiofiles-ep-005-manoeuvre-warfare-in-the-modern-environment/#comments Mon, 28 Oct 2024 06:00:00 +0100 tjasibi.podbean.com/df5d66ac-9232-3287-aa84-7fd792b47fe0 Modern combat presents many challenges to combat arms, particularly in relation to manoeuvre warfare. Many theorists claim that the manoeuvre as a fighting approach is obsolete, suggesting that other approaches, such as attrition, are more relevant to the modern battlefield. To support the thesis, they argue that a manoeuvre is less relevant in conflicts like the war in Ukraine and Gaza. However, the Kharkiv and Kherson counteroffensives demonstrate the effectiveness of manoeuvre. Additionally, the war in Gaza shows that manoeuvre is feasible even in urban centres. These examples indicate that manoeuvre warfare, in its revised form, remains relevant in contemporary conflicts.

 

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]]> Modern combat presents many challenges to combat arms, particularly in relation to manoeuvre warfare. Many theorists claim that the manoeuvre as a fighting approach is obsolete, suggesting that other approaches, such as attrition, are more relevant to the modern battlefield. To support the thesis, they argue that a manoeuvre is less relevant in conflicts like the war in Ukraine and Gaza. However, the Kharkiv and Kherson counteroffensives demonstrate the effectiveness of manoeuvre. Additionally, the war in Gaza shows that manoeuvre is feasible even in urban centres. These examples indicate that manoeuvre warfare, in its revised form, remains relevant in contemporary conflicts.

 

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]]> TDHJ false No 1689 11 full The Horizon Audiofiles - Ep 004 - The Relevance Of Positional Warfare In The Manoeuvrist Approach The Horizon Audiofiles - Ep 004 - The Relevance Of Positional Warfare In The Manoeuvrist Approach https://tjasibi.podbean.com/e/the-horizon-audiofiles-ep-004-the-relevance-of-positional-warfare-in-the-manoeuvrist-approach/ https://tjasibi.podbean.com/e/the-horizon-audiofiles-ep-004-the-relevance-of-positional-warfare-in-the-manoeuvrist-approach/#comments Fri, 25 Oct 2024 06:09:00 +0200 tjasibi.podbean.com/ea047166-b363-3500-a554-014bfdcd522e Manoeuvre warfare, while still valuable, is insufficient on its own to address the complexities of contemporary and future conflicts. The war in Ukraine, characterised by static front lines and attritional tactics, highlights its limitations. Military strategies must evolve to integrate both manoeuvre and positional warfare. A flexible, hybrid approach, combining elements of manoeuvre, positional, and attritional warfare, is essential for achieving strategic success in conflict.

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]]> Manoeuvre warfare, while still valuable, is insufficient on its own to address the complexities of contemporary and future conflicts. The war in Ukraine, characterised by static front lines and attritional tactics, highlights its limitations. Military strategies must evolve to integrate both manoeuvre and positional warfare. A flexible, hybrid approach, combining elements of manoeuvre, positional, and attritional warfare, is essential for achieving strategic success in conflict.

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]]> TDHJ false No 1574 10 full The Horizon Audiofiles - Ep 003 - La Manoeuvre In Diplomacy And Defence The Horizon Audiofiles - Ep 003 - La Manoeuvre In Diplomacy And Defence https://tjasibi.podbean.com/e/the-horizon-audiofiles-ep-003-la-manoeuvre-in-diplomacy-and-defence/ https://tjasibi.podbean.com/e/the-horizon-audiofiles-ep-003-la-manoeuvre-in-diplomacy-and-defence/#comments Mon, 21 Oct 2024 06:09:00 +0200 tjasibi.podbean.com/4d4e9b0e-435c-343e-b68f-7c25f4f3f836 The concept of a 'Gentleman's War,' historically rooted in propriety and genteel rules, has traditionally downplayed the critical importance of strategy and manoeuvre. As modern warfare demands more complex approaches, the French term 'manœuvre,' with its inherently feminine connotations, emerges as particularly significant. During the Russia-Ukraine conflict, female leaders are introducing additional dimensions to defence strategies, pushing towards strategic parity in global security discussions. These women are impacting policy and outcomes via risk assessments, alliance expansion, and security arrangements in the Euro-Atlantic zone, offering a nuanced view of global security dynamics through the prism of "Ungentlemanly Warfare."

 

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]]> The concept of a 'Gentleman's War,' historically rooted in propriety and genteel rules, has traditionally downplayed the critical importance of strategy and manoeuvre. As modern warfare demands more complex approaches, the French term 'manœuvre,' with its inherently feminine connotations, emerges as particularly significant. During the Russia-Ukraine conflict, female leaders are introducing additional dimensions to defence strategies, pushing towards strategic parity in global security discussions. These women are impacting policy and outcomes via risk assessments, alliance expansion, and security arrangements in the Euro-Atlantic zone, offering a nuanced view of global security dynamics through the prism of "Ungentlemanly Warfare."

 

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]]> TDHJ false No 1861 9 full